ROARABLE // PRO
GLOBAL DESKS // NYC --:--:-- NYSE
US TAPE
ROAR ▸

IRDM // Iridium Communications Inc

DES <GO> NASDAQ RQD COCKPIT → CIK 0001418819 ↗
Consumer Discretionary • Telecommunications Equipment
$46.05 ▲ +0.11 (+0.24%)
MKT CAP: $4.89B • VOL: 461.8K
IRDM // ROARABLE RATING & 5-PILLAR RQD CONFIDENCE 02:00 EST DETERMINISTIC ENGINE
PRIOR: RQD 74/100 [B] (+0 PT) • UNCHANGED
ROARABLE B
RQD CONFIDENCE
74 / 100 +0D
5 X 20-PT QUANT PILLARS
E 0 D 35 C 59 B 70 A 86+
Roarable Buy — Good Risk/Reward
01 MASSIVE / SEC XBRL
Forensic Fundamentals
16 / 20
STRONG
FCF -2% vs NI +1.4% • ROIC-WACC +42.3% • Z 1.92
02 INSTITUTIONAL TAPE & TREND
Whale & Options Flow
[LOCKED] FLAGGED
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03 SEC XBRL CAPITAL ALLOCATION
Insider & Capital Conviction
15 / 20
SOLID
FCF YIELD +6.1% • P/E 39.7x • F-SCORE 8/9
04 FRED 90D r-MATRIX
Macro Regime Fit
18 / 20
STRONG
TAILWIND • r(10Y)=+0.00 (+23bp) • r(OAS)=+0.00
05 10-K REDLINE AUDIT
Forensic 10-K Risk
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ALERT

Why did IRDM's Whale & Options Flow & Forensic 10-K Risk sub-score just flash a warning? Enter your email to unlock the full 5-Pillar Rating Breakdown + get instant alerts whenever IRDM is Upgraded or Downgraded.

IRDM // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +17.87%▼ DESCENDING CHANNEL
2026-10-30O $44.86H $46.05L $44.53C $46.05VOL 380.2K
RES: $48.96SUP: $42.66SMA50: $46.89SMA200: $39.78
$59.59$49.61$39.62$29.64$19.65RES $48.96SUP $42.66$46.052026-04-302026-06-152026-07-312026-09-162026-10-30
IRDM // INSTITUTIONAL BULL VS. BEAR FORENSIC DEBATE
HIGH-CONVICTION LONG CONVICTION: 74/100
BEAR 0
100 BULL

Iridium Communications Inc (IRDM) exhibits 45.0% gross margins and 50.9% return on invested capital within Consumer Discretionary (Telecommunications Equipment), balanced against a 14.9x enterprise multiple and 4.8% implied options volatility.

▲ INSTITUTIONAL BULL THESIS (LONG)
01. Operating Leverage & Capital Efficiency Moat

Sustained 45.0% gross profitability converts into 27.1% operating margin and 50.9% ROIC, outpacing sector cost of capital.

ROIC: 50.9% // GM: 45.0%
02. Top-Line Expansion & Cash Conversion

YoY revenue trajectory of +4.9% paired with 6.13% free cash flow yield supports self-funded R&D and capital return.

REV YOY: +4.9% // FCF YLD: 6.13%
03. Balance Sheet Solvency & Forensic Quality

Altman Z-Score of 1.92 and Piotroski F-Score of 8/9 indicate low near-term refinancing stress.

ALTMAN Z: 1.92 // F-SCORE: 8/9
▼ INSTITUTIONAL BEAR THESIS (SHORT / RISK)
01. Multiple Compression & Duration Sensitivity

Trading at 42.7x trailing P/E (39.7x Fwd P/E) leaves valuation vulnerable if real 10Y TIPS yields spike.

P/E: 42.7x // EV/EBITDA: 14.9x
02. Options Skew & Event Volatility Risk

Options market prices a ±5.2% implied move with a 0.85 put/call ratio around $46.05 max pain.

IMPL MOVE: ±5.2% // P/C: 0.85
03. Competitive Margin & CapEx Cycle Pressure

Elevated industry capital intensity and customer concentration in Telecommunications Equipment require continuous execution to defend 13.1% net margins.

NET MARGIN: 13.1% // D/E: 0.45x
KEY CATALYST // Upcoming 10-Q/10-K XBRL margin progression, guidance revision vs 39.7x forward consensus, and institutional 13F positioning.
MACRO REGIME // Monitor US 10Y Real Yields (DFII10) and High-Yield Credit Spreads (OAS) for beta-adjusted multiple impact (Beta 1.10).
FORM 4 & 13F FLOW OPEN OWN <GO>
FILER SIDE $ VALUE
INSPECT FULL OWNERSHIP LEDGER IN OWN <GO>
UNUSUAL OPTIONS TAPE OPEN OPT <GO>
STRIKE / EXP TYPE PREMIUM
INSPECT GEX & CHAIN IN OPT <GO>
KEY VALUATION & PROFITABILITY RATIOS XBRL FA <GO>
TRAILING P/E 42.7x
FORWARD P/E 39.7x
EV / EBITDA 14.9x
FCF YIELD 6.13%
GROSS MARGIN —
OPERATING MARGIN 27.1%
NET MARGIN 13.1%
ROIC % 50.9%
REV GROWTH YOY +4.9%
DILUTED EPS TTM $1.08
DEBT / EQUITY —
DIVIDEND YIELD 1.29%
RSI-14 MOMENTUM 42.3
5Y EQUITY BETA —
FRED MACRO SENSITIVITY (PEARSON r) ECST <GO>
MACRO CORRELATION CALIBRATION ACTIVE BELOW.
FRED MACRO REGIME STRESS-TEST SIMULATOR // IRDMPEARSON R VARIANCE ENGINE
01 // SELECT FEDERAL RESERVE & CREDIT SHOCK SCENARIO
02 // POSITION NOTIONAL EXPOSURE
HEADLINE STRESS SCORE
75/100SEVERE DRAWDOWN PRESSURE
PRIMARY FACTOR EXPOSURE
DFII10 // -0.61 r
Latest: 2.08%
EST. DIRECTIONAL MOVE
-8.50%
Implied Px: $42.14
EST. DOLLAR VARIANCE
-$4,248
On $50,000 Notional
[LOCKED // MULTI-FACTOR DRAWDOWN HEDGE & MACRO TRIGGER ALERT]

Unblur the exact $50,000 delta-adjusted ETF/options hedge ratio for IRDM & activate live FRED threshold breach alerts.

HEAD-TO-HEAD PEER COMPARISONS COMP <GO>