Stock Ratings / Consumer Discretionary / IRDM

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Iridium Communications Inc (IRDM) — RQD Stock Rating Cockpit

$46.05 +0.24% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $46.18

Iridium Communications Inc (IRDM) earns a Roarable Rating of B (Buy) with 74/100 RQD Confidence. High-quality cash engine (steady margins, 51% return on capital) with steady institutional support. The company’s underlying cash engine and institutional positioning keep the composite score in the Green Buy zone.

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 74/100 (B) historically ranked in the Top 12% of excess returns over the next 90 days (+7.3% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 69.4% hit rate) →

ROARABLE B • BUY Cap $4.89B

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

EXT / AFTER-HRS: $46.18 (+0.28%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-2.08% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 16/20 (B+) • 34.4% FCF Margin

Verify 90D Bucket Audit →

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 74/100 (B) historically ranked in the Top 12% of excess returns over the next 90 days (+7.3% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 69.4% hit rate).

Audit Bucket Track Record →

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERBUY • B

3-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bullish

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw B- · Rk B+

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE+7.2% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for IRDM)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±4.4%

Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (74/100 Composite)

🔍 WHY IRDM SCORES 74/100 (B) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag

▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+18/20 pts (24% of score)

FRED Regime × Technicals: 73% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 42.3 (NEUTRAL RANGE)

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+16/20 pts (22% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 34.4% FCF Margin ($299.8M FCF) & 52% Gross Margin

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning11/20 pts (-9 pt drag)

Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-9 pts vs max)

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current

Q1 (-3Q)

Grade A$47.47-7.8% Next Q

Q2 (-2Q)

Grade A-$43.76+1.5% Next Q

Q3 (-1Q)

Grade B+$44.40+3.7% Next Q

Current

Grade B$46.05+7.3% Hist 90D α

Trajectory: A (82) → B (74)Full Audit →

⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the IRDM Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 74/100 (B) score, IRDM faces multiple-compression risk if 42.7x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Priced at 43x earnings—high expectations leave less room for a lukewarm quarter.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-2.08% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 49.5% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($46.89) or 200D SMA ($39.78) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($49.37) toward Bear Floor ($37.76).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $IRDM• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite

Contract: “IRDM Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”

YES 74%NO 26%Trade / Inspect Odds →

RSI-14 MOMENTUMNEUTRAL RANGE

42.330 Oversold · 70 Hot

ALTMAN-Z SHIELDWATCH ZONE (1.8–3.0)

1.92>3.0 Fortress Safe

PIOTROSKI F-SCOREHIGH QUALITY (7–9)

8 / 99-Pt Accounting

52-WEEK LASER RANGE73% OF RANGE

L: $16$46.05H: $57

1. Money & Cash Health● HEALTHY

Are profits real cash in the bank?

Real cash coming in backs up reported profits (steady margins and healthy balance-sheet cushion).

Factor Grade: B+RQD 16 / 20

2. Big Money & Insiders● NEUTRAL

Are whales & executives buying or selling?

Big funds and company insiders are mostly holding steady without aggressive buying or panic selling.

Factor Grade: CRQD 26 / 40

3. Hidden Risks & Market Weather● ALL CLEAR

SEC fine-print scan & interest-rate fit

Clean SEC fine-print check with low hidden accounting risk and favorable interest-rate weather.

Factor Grade: B+RQD 32 / 40

MULTI-MODEL JEV QUANT JURY DELIBERATION

3-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bullish on IRDM

Cash & Moat Bull AI

ROIC & Free Cash Flow Model

BULLISH (80)

50.9% ROIC with 42.0% gross margin and 6.13% FCF yield.

SEC Forensic Auditor AI

10-K Accruals & Altman-Z Guard

BULLISH (70)

Altman-Z 1.92 and Piotroski 8/9 pass balance-sheet audit.

Whale & Macro Hawk AI

Options Skew, 13F & Fed NetLiq

BULLISH (73)

26/40 institutional & smart-money positioning score with 18/20 macro alignment.

Bull Case: Why Buyers Like IRDM

✓Strong cash generator (steady margins)—profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks.
✓Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction.

Bear Case: What Could Go Wrong

!Priced at 43x earnings—high expectations leave less room for a lukewarm quarter.

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Quantitative Research Desk

Scheduled RQD Strong Buys & Whale Accumulation Briefing (IRDM Tape Review)

✓Breakdown of the highest-scoring RQD Green-Light breakouts across our 5,200+ rated universe
✓Forensic Red-Light accounting & dilution traps to review on your watchlist
✓Includes downloadable .ics calendar invite & nightly RQD rating-change email alerts

RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED

Want Custom AI PineScript / Python Indicators & Priority Rating-Change Alerts?

Join Founding VIP Waitlist (No Card Required) →$100K Arena

IRDM // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +17.87%▼ DESCENDING CHANNEL

2026-10-30O $44.86H $46.05L $44.53C $46.05VOL 380.2K

RES: $48.96SUP: $42.66SMA50: $46.89SMA200: $39.78

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

IRDM Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 IRDM Butterfly Map → + Track IRDM →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)

32.1%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +4.9% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on IRDM today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for IRDM. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for IRDM today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (IRDM)

Consumer Discretionary Rank #96 of 1011 ⚔️ CALX vs IRDM Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Consumer Discretionary Peer Comparison (IRDM vs. CALX, VSAT, GSAT, ASTS)

Industry: Telecommunications Equipment (81 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Iridium Communications Inc (IRDM) ranks #96 by composite RQD confidence (74/100, grade B) and #278 by equity capitalization ($4.89B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, IRDM leads on earnings valuation at 42.7x trailing P/E, while IRDM leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 50.9% ROIC and — gross margin. IRDM currently leads its immediate peer cohort in composite quantitative strength at 74/100 (B).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
IRDM ACTIVE Iridium Communications Inc	B	74/100	42.7x	—	50.9%	+0.24%	$4.89B	Benchmark Subject
CALX Calix Inc	D+	54/100	134.9x	56.8%	2.3%	+0.37%	$2.41B	/calx-vs-irdm →
VSAT ViaSat Inc.	C-	61/100	—	—	1.1%	-0.34%	$10.74B	/vsat-vs-irdm →
GSAT Globalstar Inc.	C	62/100	—	—	0.7%	-0.64%	$10.82B	/gsat-vs-irdm →
ASTS AST SpaceMobile Inc.	E	34/100	—	—	-14.6%	+1.82%	$16.76B	/asts-vs-irdm →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001418819

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Iridium Communications Inc (IRDM) reported GAAP revenue of $871.7M (+4.9% vs. FY2024 revenue of $830.7M , and +10.2% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $114.4M, operating cash flow of $400.1M, and free cash flow of $299.8M (-2.0% YoY). On the balance sheet, IRDM closed FY2025 with $2.53B in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 1.92, Piotroski F-Score: 8/9).

Fiscal Period	Filing Date	Revenue	Net Income	Operating Cash Flow	Free Cash Flow	Total Assets	Total Debt
FY2025 (FY)	2025-12-31	$871.7M	$114.4M	$400.1M	$299.8M	$2.53B	—
FY2024 (FY)	2024-12-31	$830.7M	$112.8M	$376.0M	$306.1M	$2.67B	—
FY2023 (FY)	2023-12-31	$790.7M	$15.4M	$314.9M	$314.9M	—	—

3. IRDM Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is IRDM stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-01, Iridium Communications Inc (NASDAQ: IRDM) is rated B (Buy / BUY) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 74/100 at a spot price of $46.05 (+0.24% 1D, market cap $4.89B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 16/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 11/20, Executive Insider Alignment 14/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 18/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 15/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, IRDM ranks #96 in composite RQD confidence.

How does IRDM compare to CALX and VSAT in the Consumer Discretionary sector?

Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Telecommunications Equipment), IRDM carries a Roarable B (74/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 42.7x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 50.9%. By comparison, CALX (Calix Inc) holds a D+ grade (54/100 RQD, P/E 134.9x, ROIC 2.3%, cap $2.41B) and VSAT (ViaSat Inc.) posts a C- grade (61/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC 1.1%, cap $10.74B). Among the 5-stock peer group, IRDM leads on earnings multiple (42.7x) while IRDM leads on capital efficiency (50.9% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for IRDM?

Per IRDM's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001418819), Iridium Communications Inc generated $871.7M in revenue (+4.9% YoY), $114.4M in net income, and $299.8M in free cash flow against $2.53B in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Strong cash generator (steady margins)—profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks.. Primary risk factors monitored: Priced at 43x earnings—high expectations leave less room for a lukewarm quarter.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is IRDM trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

IRDM last traded at $46.05 (+0.24% on volume of 461,770 shares), positioning the stock -1.79% below its 50-day simple moving average ($46.89) and +15.76% above its 200-day simple moving average ($39.78). Across its 52-week range of $15.65 to $57.18, IRDM sits at the 73.2% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 42.3 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±4.4% ($44.02 to $48.08).

IRDM Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

Should I buy, hold, or sell IRDM stock right now?

Iridium Communications Inc (IRDM) currently earns a Roarable Rating of B (Buy — BUY) with 74/100 RQD Confidence. High-quality cash engine (steady margins, 51% return on capital) with steady institutional support.

What is IRDM's 12-month price target and RQD AI Jury consensus?

IRDM's 12-month base price target is $49.37 (range $37.76 to $60.04), backed by transparent SEC XBRL cash-flow, Form 4 insider, and CBOE options flow analysis.

Direct Sub-Reports: IRDM RQD Cockpit IRDM 12M Forecast IRDM Earnings & Move IRDM Dividends & DRIP IRDM Insiders & 13F IRDM Whale Options IRDM Profit Sankey IRDM News & Why