Stock Ratings / Consumer Discretionary / IRDM / earnings

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Iridium Communications Inc (IRDM) Next Earnings Date & Expected ±4.3% Move

$46.05 +0.24% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $46.18

Iridium Communications Inc (IRDM) earns a Roarable Rating of B- (Buy) with 71/100 RQD Confidence. High-quality cash engine (steady margins, 51% return on capital) with steady institutional support. The company’s underlying cash engine and institutional positioning keep the composite score in the Green Buy zone.

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 71/100 (B-) historically ranked in the Top 14% of excess returns over the next 90 days (+6.8% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 68.4% hit rate) →

ROARABLE B- • BUY Cap $4.89B

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

⚡ INSTANT AI QUANT PREVIEW • $0 FREE TIER Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on IRDM Below — or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude

🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is IRDM stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

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As of 2026-11-02, Iridium Communications Inc (NASDAQ: IRDM) is rated B- (Buy / BUY) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 71/100 at a spot price of $46.05 (+0.24% 1D, market cap $4.89B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 16/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 11/20, Executive Insider Alignment 14/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 15/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 15/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, IRDM ranks #134 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does IRDM compare to CALX and VSAT in the Consumer Discretionary sector?

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Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Telecommunications Equipment), IRDM carries a Roarable B- (71/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 42.7x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 50.9%. By comparison, CALX (Calix Inc) holds a D+ grade (52/100 RQD, P/E 134.9x, ROIC 2.3%, cap $2.41B) and VSAT (ViaSat Inc.) posts a C- grade (61/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC 1.1%, cap $10.74B). Among the 5-stock peer group, IRDM leads on earnings multiple (42.7x) while IRDM leads on capital efficiency (50.9% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for IRDM?

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Per IRDM's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001418819), Iridium Communications Inc generated $871.7M in revenue (+4.9% YoY), $114.4M in net income, and $299.8M in free cash flow against $2.53B in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Strong cash generator (steady margins)—profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks.. Primary risk factors monitored: Priced at 43x earnings—high expectations leave less room for a lukewarm quarter.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

EXT / AFTER-HRS: $46.18 (+0.28%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-2.08% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 16/20 (B+) • 34.4% FCF Margin

Verify 90D Bucket Audit →

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 71/100 (B-) historically ranked in the Top 14% of excess returns over the next 90 days (+6.8% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 68.4% hit rate).

Audit Bucket Track Record →

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERBUY • B-

3-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bullish

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw B- · Rk B

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE+5.8% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for IRDM)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±4.3%

Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (71/100 Composite)

🔍 WHY IRDM SCORES 71/100 (B-) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag

▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+16/20 pts (23% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 34.4% FCF Margin ($299.8M FCF) & 52% Gross Margin

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+15/20 pts (21% of score)

FRED Regime × Technicals: 73% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 50.3 (NEUTRAL RANGE)

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning11/20 pts (-9 pt drag)

Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-9 pts vs max)

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current

Q1 (-3Q)

Grade A-$47.07-6.1% Next Q

Q2 (-2Q)

Grade B+$44.18+0.8% Next Q

Q3 (-1Q)

Grade B+$44.52+3.4% Next Q

Current

Grade B-$46.05+6.8% Hist 90D α

Trajectory: A- (79) → B- (71)Full Audit →

⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the IRDM Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 71/100 (B-) score, IRDM faces multiple-compression risk if 42.7x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Priced at 43x earnings—high expectations leave less room for a lukewarm quarter.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-2.08% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 49.5% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($46.83) or 200D SMA ($39.91) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($48.74) toward Bear Floor ($37.76).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $IRDM• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite

Contract: “IRDM Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”

YES 71%NO 29%Trade / Inspect Odds →

NEXT EST. WINDOW: Dec 30, 2026 (~58 DAYS)

Historical OHLCV Volatility ±4.3% Swing Band

±$1.98 Expected Swing

MODEL EARNINGS SETUP GAUGE

IRDM Quantitative Pre-Earnings Setup: 71/100

Trailing EPS: $1.08 • YoY Revenue Growth: 4.9%

Model Bullish Setup (71/100)Model Risk Weight (29/100)

Derived deterministically from RQD cash-flow quality, SEC accrual safety, and institutional flow (not a community poll).

LOG YOUR PERSONAL PRE-EARNINGS STANCE (SAVED LOCALLY IN BROWSER):

Recent SEC Reported Revenue, Net Profit & Diluted EPS Cadence

Period	Filed	Revenue	Net Profit	Free Cash Flow	Gross Margin
FY 2025	2025-12-31	$871.7M	$114.4M	$299.8M	52%
FY 2024	2024-12-31	$830.7M	$112.8M	$306.1M	52%
FY 2023	2023-12-31	$790.7M	$15.4M	$314.9M	52%

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher + Options & Swing Structure Desk

Whale Flow & Momentum Playbook: Evaluating IRDM & AI Leaders Without Chasing Tops

✓Institutional whale strikes & implied earnings move audit on IRDM
✓How disciplined traders manage risk using pre-published trigger & invalidation levels
✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on tracked leaders

RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED

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Join Founding VIP Waitlist (No Card Required) →$100K Arena

IRDM // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +15.44%▼ DESCENDING CHANNEL

2026-11-02O $45.94H $46.05L $45.94C $46.05VOL 461.8K

RES: $48.92SUP: $42.58SMA50: $46.83SMA200: $39.91

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

IRDM Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 IRDM Butterfly Map → + Track IRDM →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)

32.1%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +4.9% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on IRDM today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for IRDM. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for IRDM today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (IRDM)

Consumer Discretionary Rank #134 of 1011 ⚔️ CALX vs IRDM Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Consumer Discretionary Peer Comparison (IRDM vs. CALX, VSAT, GSAT, ASTS)

Industry: Telecommunications Equipment (81 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Iridium Communications Inc (IRDM) ranks #134 by composite RQD confidence (71/100, grade B-) and #278 by equity capitalization ($4.89B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, IRDM leads on earnings valuation at 42.7x trailing P/E, while IRDM leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 50.9% ROIC and — gross margin. IRDM currently leads its immediate peer cohort in composite quantitative strength at 71/100 (B-).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
IRDM ACTIVE Iridium Communications Inc	B-	71/100	42.7x	—	50.9%	+0.24%	$4.89B	Benchmark Subject
CALX Calix Inc	D+	52/100	134.9x	56.8%	2.3%	+0.37%	$2.41B	/calx-vs-irdm →
VSAT ViaSat Inc.	C-	61/100	—	—	1.1%	-0.34%	$10.74B	/vsat-vs-irdm →
GSAT Globalstar Inc.	C	62/100	—	—	0.7%	-0.64%	$10.82B	/gsat-vs-irdm →
ASTS AST SpaceMobile Inc.	E	34/100	—	—	-14.6%	+1.82%	$16.76B	/asts-vs-irdm →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001418819

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Iridium Communications Inc (IRDM) reported GAAP revenue of $871.7M (+4.9% vs. FY2024 revenue of $830.7M , and +10.2% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $114.4M, operating cash flow of $400.1M, and free cash flow of $299.8M (-2.0% YoY). On the balance sheet, IRDM closed FY2025 with $2.53B in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 1.92, Piotroski F-Score: 8/9).

Fiscal Period	Filing Date	Revenue	Net Income	Operating Cash Flow	Free Cash Flow	Total Assets	Total Debt
FY2025 (FY)	2025-12-31	$871.7M	$114.4M	$400.1M	$299.8M	$2.53B	—
FY2024 (FY)	2024-12-31	$830.7M	$112.8M	$376.0M	$306.1M	$2.67B	—
FY2023 (FY)	2023-12-31	$790.7M	$15.4M	$314.9M	$314.9M	—	—

3. IRDM Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is IRDM stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

How does IRDM compare to CALX and VSAT in the Consumer Discretionary sector?

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for IRDM?

Where is IRDM trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

IRDM last traded at $46.05 (+0.24% on volume of 461,770 shares), positioning the stock -1.67% below its 50-day simple moving average ($46.83) and +15.38% above its 200-day simple moving average ($39.91). Across its 52-week range of $15.65 to $57.18, IRDM sits at the 73.2% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 50.3 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±4.3% ($44.07 to $48.03).