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Why IRDM Stock advanced +0.24% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
$46.05 +0.24% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot)
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $46.18
Iridium Communications Inc (IRDM) earns a Roarable Rating of B- (Buy) with 71/100 RQD Confidence. High-quality cash engine (steady margins, 51% return on capital) with steady institutional support. The company’s underlying cash engine and institutional positioning keep the composite score in the Green Buy zone.
ROARABLE B- • BUY
Cap $4.89B
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Is IRDM stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-02, Iridium Communications Inc (NASDAQ: IRDM) is rated B- (Buy / BUY) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 71/100 at a spot price of $46.05 (+0.24% 1D, market cap $4.89B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 16/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 11/20, Executive Insider Alignment 14/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 15/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 15/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, IRDM ranks #134 in composite RQD confidence.
✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief)
How does IRDM compare to CALX and VSAT in the Consumer Discretionary sector?
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Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Telecommunications Equipment), IRDM carries a Roarable B- (71/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 42.7x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 50.9%. By comparison, CALX (Calix Inc) holds a D+ grade (52/100 RQD, P/E 134.9x, ROIC 2.3%, cap $2.41B) and VSAT (ViaSat Inc.) posts a C- grade (61/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC 1.1%, cap $10.74B). Among the 5-stock peer group, IRDM leads on earnings multiple (42.7x) while IRDM leads on capital efficiency (50.9% ROIC).
✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief)
What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for IRDM?
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Per IRDM's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001418819), Iridium Communications Inc generated $871.7M in revenue (+4.9% YoY), $114.4M in net income, and $299.8M in free cash flow against $2.53B in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Strong cash generator (steady margins)—profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks.. Primary risk factors monitored: Priced at 43x earnings—high expectations leave less room for a lukewarm quarter.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
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INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $46.18 (+0.28%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-2.08% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 16/20 (B+) • 34.4% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 71/100 (B-) historically ranked in the Top 14% of excess returns over the next 90 days (+6.8% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 68.4% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record →RQD QUANT TACHOMETERBUY • B-
3-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bullish
Cash
SEC
Whale
Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer
5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw B- · Rk B
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE+5.8% Base Target
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for IRDM)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±4.3%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (71/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY IRDM SCORES 71/100 (B-) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+16/20 pts (23% of score)
SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 34.4% FCF Margin ($299.8M FCF) & 52% Gross Margin
▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+15/20 pts (21% of score)
FRED Regime × Technicals: 73% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 50.3 (NEUTRAL RANGE)
▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning11/20 pts (-9 pt drag)
Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-9 pts vs max)
📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)Grade A-$47.07-6.1% Next Q
79
Q2 (-2Q)Grade B+$44.18+0.8% Next Q
76
Q3 (-1Q)Grade B+$44.52+3.4% Next Q
74
CurrentGrade B-$46.05+6.8% Hist 90D α
71
Trajectory: A- (79) → B- (71)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER
⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the IRDM Bull Thesis Could Fail
Even with a 71/100 (B-) score, IRDM faces multiple-compression risk if 42.7x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.
⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1
Priced at 43x earnings—high expectations leave less room for a lukewarm quarter.
⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2
Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-2.08% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 49.5% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.
⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3
Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($46.83) or 200D SMA ($39.91) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($48.74) toward Bear Floor ($37.76).
🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $IRDM• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “IRDM Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
AUTOMATED RQD QUANT DESK MOVER BRIEFINGFull Market News Desk →
Why IRDM Stock advanced +0.24% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
Iridium Communications Inc (IRDM) advanced +0.24% to $46.05, trading at 73% of its 52-week range ($15.65 – $57.18). High-quality cash engine (steady margins, 51% return on capital) with steady institutional support.
- ▸Technical Tape: Trading at 73% of its 52-week range ($15.65 – $57.18) with RSI-14 at 50.3 (NEUTRAL RANGE).
- ▸Volatility Profile: Historical 20-day realized swing band of ±4.3% around $46.05 (no active unusual options sweep snapshot on file).
- ▸Fundamental Anchor: Roarable B- (Buy) backed by 52% gross margin and $299.8M annual free cash flow.
Live IRDM Headlines & Catalysts
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Scheduled RQD Strong Buys & Whale Accumulation Briefing (IRDM Tape Review)
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IRDM // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +15.44%▼ DESCENDING CHANNEL
2026-11-02O $45.94H $46.05L $45.94C $46.05VOL 461.8K
RES: $48.92SUP: $42.58SMA50: $46.83SMA200: $39.91
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK
IRDM Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure
Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)
Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).
Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
32.1%/yr Implied 5Y Growth
vs. +4.9% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).
Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)
No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on IRDM today. View full Setup Ledger →
🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections
Open Graph →
No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for IRDM. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.
AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for IRDM today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK
📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (IRDM)
Consumer Discretionary Rank #134 of 1011
⚔️ CALX vs IRDM Full Matrix →
1. Head-to-Head Consumer Discretionary Peer Comparison (IRDM vs. CALX, VSAT, GSAT, ASTS)
Industry: Telecommunications Equipment (81 Tracked Issuers)Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Iridium Communications Inc (IRDM) ranks #134 by composite RQD confidence (71/100, grade B-) and #278 by equity capitalization ($4.89B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, IRDM leads on earnings valuation at 42.7x trailing P/E, while IRDM leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 50.9% ROIC and — gross margin. IRDM currently leads its immediate peer cohort in composite quantitative strength at 71/100 (B-).
| Ticker / Company | Roarable Grade | RQD Score | Trailing P/E | Gross Margin | ROIC | 1D Change | Market Cap | Head-to-Head |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| IRDM
ACTIVE
Iridium Communications Inc | B- | 71/100 | 42.7x | — | 50.9% | +0.24% | $4.89B | Benchmark Subject |
| CALX Calix Inc | D+ | 52/100 | 134.9x | 56.8% | 2.3% | +0.37% | $2.41B | /calx-vs-irdm → |
| VSAT ViaSat Inc. | C- | 61/100 | — | — | 1.1% | -0.34% | $10.74B | /vsat-vs-irdm → |
| GSAT Globalstar Inc. | C | 62/100 | — | — | 0.7% | -0.64% | $10.82B | /gsat-vs-irdm → |
| ASTS AST SpaceMobile Inc. | E | 34/100 | — | — | -14.6% | +1.82% | $16.76B | /asts-vs-irdm → |
2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)
SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001418819In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Iridium Communications Inc (IRDM) reported GAAP revenue of $871.7M (+4.9% vs. FY2024 revenue of $830.7M , and +10.2% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $114.4M, operating cash flow of $400.1M, and free cash flow of $299.8M (-2.0% YoY). On the balance sheet, IRDM closed FY2025 with $2.53B in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 1.92, Piotroski F-Score: 8/9).
| Fiscal Period | Filing Date | Revenue | Net Income | Operating Cash Flow | Free Cash Flow | Total Assets | Total Debt |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2025 (FY) | 2025-12-31 | $871.7M | $114.4M | $400.1M | $299.8M | $2.53B | — |
| FY2024 (FY) | 2024-12-31 | $830.7M | $112.8M | $376.0M | $306.1M | $2.67B | — |
| FY2023 (FY) | 2023-12-31 | $790.7M | $15.4M | $314.9M | $314.9M | — | — |
3. IRDM Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)
✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLEDIs IRDM stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
As of 2026-11-02, Iridium Communications Inc (NASDAQ: IRDM) is rated B- (Buy / BUY) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 71/100 at a spot price of $46.05 (+0.24% 1D, market cap $4.89B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 16/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 11/20, Executive Insider Alignment 14/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 15/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 15/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, IRDM ranks #134 in composite RQD confidence.
How does IRDM compare to CALX and VSAT in the Consumer Discretionary sector?
Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Telecommunications Equipment), IRDM carries a Roarable B- (71/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 42.7x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 50.9%. By comparison, CALX (Calix Inc) holds a D+ grade (52/100 RQD, P/E 134.9x, ROIC 2.3%, cap $2.41B) and VSAT (ViaSat Inc.) posts a C- grade (61/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC 1.1%, cap $10.74B). Among the 5-stock peer group, IRDM leads on earnings multiple (42.7x) while IRDM leads on capital efficiency (50.9% ROIC).
What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for IRDM?
Per IRDM's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001418819), Iridium Communications Inc generated $871.7M in revenue (+4.9% YoY), $114.4M in net income, and $299.8M in free cash flow against $2.53B in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Strong cash generator (steady margins)—profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks.. Primary risk factors monitored: Priced at 43x earnings—high expectations leave less room for a lukewarm quarter.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
Where is IRDM trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?
IRDM last traded at $46.05 (+0.24% on volume of 461,770 shares), positioning the stock -1.67% below its 50-day simple moving average ($46.83) and +15.38% above its 200-day simple moving average ($39.91). Across its 52-week range of $15.65 to $57.18, IRDM sits at the 73.2% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 50.3 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±4.3% ($44.07 to $48.03).
IRDM Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index
100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FREDWhy is IRDM stock moving today?
Why IRDM Stock advanced +0.24% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash. High-quality cash engine (steady margins, 51% return on capital) with steady institutional support.