Stock Ratings / Consumer Discretionary / CALX

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Calix Inc (CALX) — RQD Stock Rating Cockpit

$38.31 +0.37% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $38.26

Calix Inc (CALX) carries a Roarable Rating of D+ (Sell) with 52/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 52/100 (D+) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (-1.1% avg 90D alpha vs SPY) →

ROARABLE D+ • SELL / AVOID Cap $2.41B

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

⚡ INSTANT AI QUANT PREVIEW • $0 FREE TIER Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on CALX Below — or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude

🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is CALX stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

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As of 2026-11-02, Calix Inc (NYSE: CALX) is rated D+ (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 52/100 at a spot price of $38.31 (+0.37% 1D, market cap $2.41B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 11/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 9/20, Executive Insider Alignment 18/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 5/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 9/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, CALX ranks #521 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does CALX compare to IRDM and VSAT in the Consumer Discretionary sector?

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Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Telecommunications Equipment), CALX carries a Roarable D+ (52/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 134.9x, gross margin of 56.8%, and ROIC of 2.3%. By comparison, IRDM (Iridium Communications Inc) holds a B- grade (71/100 RQD, P/E 42.7x, ROIC 50.9%, cap $4.89B) and VSAT (ViaSat Inc.) posts a C- grade (61/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC 1.1%, cap $10.74B). Among the 5-stock peer group, IRDM leads on earnings multiple (42.7x) while IRDM leads on capital efficiency (50.9% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for CALX?

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Per CALX's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001406666), Calix Inc generated $1.00B in revenue (+20.3% YoY), $17.9M in net income, and $115.5M in free cash flow against $1.06B in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Clean SEC annual filing review with no major hidden accounting time-bombs.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

EXT / AFTER-HRS: $38.26 (-0.12%)🧬 Disciplined Float (-0.40% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 11/20 (D+) • 11.6% FCF Margin

Verify 90D Bucket Audit →

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 52/100 (D+) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (-1.1% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 50.1% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).

Audit Bucket Track Record →

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D+

JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D · Rk D+

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE-2.7% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for CALX)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±6.8%

Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (52/100 Composite)

🔍 WHY CALX SCORES 52/100 (D+) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag

▲ #1 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+18/20 pts (35% of score)

Altman Z-Score 8.38 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 8/9

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+11/20 pts (21% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 11.6% FCF Margin ($115.5M FCF) & 56.8% Gross Margin

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Macro Regime Fit5/20 pts (-15 pt drag)

Macro rate sensitivity & RSI-14 (59.3) create a -15 pt regime headwind

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current

Q1 (-3Q)

Grade D$36.08-1.2% Next Q

Q2 (-2Q)

Grade D$35.64+5.7% Next Q

Q3 (-1Q)

Grade D$37.68+1.7% Next Q

Current

Grade D+$38.31-1.1% Hist 90D α

Trajectory: D (44) → D+ (52)Full Audit →

⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a CALX Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While CALX currently carries a cautious 52/100 (D+) rating due to Macro Regime Fit (5/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Clean SEC annual filing review with no major hidden accounting time-bombs.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($36.16) and Max Pain ($40.23) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $74.78.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Disciplined Float (-0.40% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $CALX• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite

Contract: “CALX Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”

YES 52%NO 48%Trade / Inspect Odds →

RSI-14 MOMENTUMBULLISH MOMENTUM

59.330 Oversold · 70 Hot

ALTMAN-Z SHIELDFORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)

8.38>3.0 Fortress Safe

PIOTROSKI F-SCOREHIGH QUALITY (7–9)

8 / 99-Pt Accounting

52-WEEK LASER RANGE15% OF RANGE

L: $32$38.31H: $71

1. Money & Cash Health● MIXED

Are profits real cash in the bank?

Decent core business (57% profit margin), though cash flow growth is moderate rather than explosive right now.

Factor Grade: D+RQD 11 / 20

2. Big Money & Insiders● TRIMMING

Are whales & executives buying or selling?

Insiders and big institutional desks have been trimming shares rather than stepping up to buy.

Factor Grade: DRQD 18 / 40

3. Hidden Risks & Market Weather● WATCH

SEC fine-print scan & interest-rate fit

No major SEC filing blowups, though current interest rates and Fed liquidity call for normal position sizing.

Factor Grade: D+RQD 23 / 40

MULTI-MODEL JEV QUANT JURY DELIBERATION

JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground) on CALX

Cash & Moat Bull AI

ROIC & Free Cash Flow Model

NEUTRAL (55)

2.3% ROIC with 56.8% gross margin and 4.79% FCF yield.

SEC Forensic Auditor AI

10-K Accruals & Altman-Z Guard

BULLISH (90)

Altman-Z 8.38 and Piotroski 8/9 pass balance-sheet audit.

Whale & Macro Hawk AI

Options Skew, 13F & Fed NetLiq

BEARISH (38)

18/40 institutional & smart-money positioning score with 5/20 macro alignment.

Bull Case: Why Buyers Like CALX

✓Clean SEC annual filing review with no major hidden accounting time-bombs.

Bear Case: What Could Go Wrong

!Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.
!Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.
!Priced at 135x earnings—high expectations leave less room for a lukewarm quarter.

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring CALX)

✓Walkthrough of CALX's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks

RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED

Want Custom AI PineScript / Python Indicators & Priority Rating-Change Alerts?

Join Founding VIP Waitlist (No Card Required) →$100K Arena

CALX // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -11.81%⚡ TESTING RESISTANCE

2026-11-02O $38.17H $38.31L $38.17C $38.31VOL 795.4K

RES: $38.54SUP: $31.37SMA50: $36.16SMA200: $42.44

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

CALX Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 CALX Butterfly Map → + Track CALX →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)

48.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +20.3% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on CALX today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for CALX. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for CALX today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (CALX)

Consumer Discretionary Rank #521 of 1011 ⚔️ IRDM vs CALX Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Consumer Discretionary Peer Comparison (CALX vs. IRDM, VSAT, GSAT, CCOI)

Industry: Telecommunications Equipment (81 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Calix Inc (CALX) ranks #521 by composite RQD confidence (52/100, grade D+) and #394 by equity capitalization ($2.41B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, IRDM leads on earnings valuation at 42.7x trailing P/E, while IRDM leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 50.9% ROIC and — gross margin. IRDM currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 71/100 (B-) compared with CALX at 52/100 (D+).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
CALX ACTIVE Calix Inc	D+	52/100	134.9x	56.8%	2.3%	+0.37%	$2.41B	Benchmark Subject
IRDM Iridium Communications Inc	B-	71/100	42.7x	—	50.9%	+0.24%	$4.89B	/irdm-vs-calx →
VSAT ViaSat Inc.	C-	61/100	—	—	1.1%	-0.34%	$10.74B	/vsat-vs-calx →
GSAT Globalstar Inc.	C	62/100	—	—	0.7%	-0.64%	$10.82B	/gsat-vs-calx →
CCOI Cogent Communications Holdings Inc.	E	34/100	—	—	-35.0%	+1.57%	$397.4M	/ccoi-vs-calx →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001406666

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Calix Inc (CALX) reported GAAP revenue of $1.00B (+20.3% vs. FY2024 revenue of $831.5M , and -3.8% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $17.9M, operating cash flow of $135.0M, and free cash flow of $115.5M (+129.4% YoY). On the balance sheet, CALX closed FY2025 with $1.06B in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 8.38, Piotroski F-Score: 8/9).

Fiscal Period	Filing Date	Revenue	Net Income	Operating Cash Flow	Free Cash Flow	Total Assets	Total Debt
FY2025 (FY)	2025-12-31	$1.00B	$17.9M	$135.0M	$115.5M	$1.06B	—
FY2024 (FY)	2024-12-31	$831.5M	-$29.7M	$68.4M	$50.3M	$939.3M	—
FY2023 (FY)	2023-12-31	$1.04B	$29.3M	$56.3M	$56.3M	—	—

3. CALX Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is CALX stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

How does CALX compare to IRDM and VSAT in the Consumer Discretionary sector?

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for CALX?

Where is CALX trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

CALX last traded at $38.31 (+0.37% on volume of 795,431 shares), positioning the stock +5.95% above its 50-day simple moving average ($36.16) and -9.73% below its 200-day simple moving average ($42.44). Across its 52-week range of $32.35 to $71.22, CALX sits at the 15.3% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 59.3 (BULLISH MOMENTUM) and an implied next-earnings move of ±6.8% ($35.70 to $40.92).

CALX Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

Should I buy, hold, or sell CALX stock right now?

Calix Inc (CALX) currently earns a Roarable Rating of D+ (Sell — SELL) with 52/100 RQD Confidence. Stretched risk/reward at 135x P/E (2% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.

What is CALX's 12-month price target and RQD AI Jury consensus?

CALX's 12-month base price target is $37.28 (range $29.08 to $74.78), backed by transparent SEC XBRL cash-flow, Form 4 insider, and CBOE options flow analysis.

Direct Sub-Reports: CALX RQD Cockpit CALX 12M Forecast CALX Earnings & Move CALX Dividends & DRIP CALX Insiders & 13F CALX Whale Options CALX Profit Sankey CALX News & Why