Stock Ratings / Consumer Discretionary / CALX / dividends

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Calix Inc (CALX) Dividend Safety Gauge & 10-Year DRIP Compounder

$38.31 +0.37% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $38.26

Calix Inc (CALX) carries a Roarable Rating of D+ (Sell) with 54/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 54/100 (D+) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (-0.7% avg 90D alpha vs SPY) →

ROARABLE D+ • SELL / AVOID Cap $2.41B

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

EXT / AFTER-HRS: $38.26 (-0.12%)🧬 Disciplined Float (-0.40% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 11/20 (D+) • 11.6% FCF Margin

Verify 90D Bucket Audit →

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 54/100 (D+) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (-0.7% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 51.0% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).

Audit Bucket Track Record →

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D+

JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D · Rk C

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE-1.8% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for CALX)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±7%

Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (54/100 Composite)

🔍 WHY CALX SCORES 54/100 (D+) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag

▲ #1 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+18/20 pts (33% of score)

Altman Z-Score 8.38 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 8/9

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+11/20 pts (20% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 11.6% FCF Margin ($115.5M FCF) & 56.8% Gross Margin

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Macro Regime Fit8/20 pts (-12 pt drag)

Macro rate sensitivity & RSI-14 (51.6) create a -12 pt regime headwind

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current

Q1 (-3Q)

Grade D$37.24-2% Next Q

Q2 (-2Q)

Grade D$36.50-0.1% Next Q

Q3 (-1Q)

Grade C-$36.47+5% Next Q

Current

Grade D+$38.31-0.7% Hist 90D α

Trajectory: D (46) → D+ (54)Full Audit →

⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a CALX Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While CALX currently carries a cautious 54/100 (D+) rating due to Macro Regime Fit (8/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Clean SEC annual filing review with no major hidden accounting time-bombs.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($36.19) and Max Pain ($40.23) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $73.22.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Disciplined Float (-0.40% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $CALX• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite

Contract: “CALX Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”

YES 54%NO 46%Trade / Inspect Odds →

CASH DIVIDEND + BUYBACK YIELD

1.8% Total Yield

0% Cash ($0.00/yr) + 1.8% Buybacks

PAYOUT SAFETY SPEEDOMETER

74/100 • REINVESTING IN GROWTH + BUYBACKS

FREE CASH FLOW PAYOUT RATIO

0% (100% Reinvested)

Retains cash flow for R&D and share repurchases

INTERACTIVE DRIP & SHAREHOLDER-YIELD COMPOUNDER (13% EST. ANNUAL)

$10,000 Compounded Over 10 Years → $33,946

Est. Year-10 Shareholder Yield: $611/yr

Starting Investment: $10,000

Compounding Horizon: 10 Years

$11.3K

Yr 1

$12.8K

Yr 2

$14.4K

Yr 3

$16.3K

Yr 4

$18.4K

Yr 5

$20.8K

Yr 6

$23.5K

Yr 7

$26.6K

Yr 8

$30.0K

Yr 9

$33.9K

Yr 10

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring CALX)

✓Walkthrough of CALX's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks

RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED

Want Custom AI PineScript / Python Indicators & Priority Rating-Change Alerts?

Join Founding VIP Waitlist (No Card Required) →$100K Arena

CALX // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -12.05%⚡ TESTING RESISTANCE

2026-10-30O $38.06H $38.40L $36.65C $38.31VOL 852.1K

RES: $38.58SUP: $31.41SMA50: $36.19SMA200: $42.55

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

CALX Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 CALX Butterfly Map → + Track CALX →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)

48.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +20.3% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on CALX today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for CALX. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for CALX today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (CALX)

Consumer Discretionary Rank #562 of 1011 ⚔️ IRDM vs CALX Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Consumer Discretionary Peer Comparison (CALX vs. IRDM, VSAT, GSAT, CCOI)

Industry: Telecommunications Equipment (81 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Calix Inc (CALX) ranks #562 by composite RQD confidence (54/100, grade D+) and #394 by equity capitalization ($2.41B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, IRDM leads on earnings valuation at 42.7x trailing P/E, while IRDM leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 50.9% ROIC and — gross margin. IRDM currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 74/100 (B) compared with CALX at 54/100 (D+).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
CALX ACTIVE Calix Inc	D+	54/100	134.9x	56.8%	2.3%	+0.37%	$2.41B	Benchmark Subject
IRDM Iridium Communications Inc	B	74/100	42.7x	—	50.9%	+0.24%	$4.89B	/irdm-vs-calx →
VSAT ViaSat Inc.	C-	61/100	—	—	1.1%	-0.34%	$10.74B	/vsat-vs-calx →
GSAT Globalstar Inc.	C	62/100	—	—	0.7%	-0.64%	$10.82B	/gsat-vs-calx →
CCOI Cogent Communications Holdings Inc.	D	49/100	—	—	-35.0%	+1.57%	$397.4M	/ccoi-vs-calx →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001406666

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Calix Inc (CALX) reported GAAP revenue of $1.00B (+20.3% vs. FY2024 revenue of $831.5M , and -3.8% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $17.9M, operating cash flow of $135.0M, and free cash flow of $115.5M (+129.4% YoY). On the balance sheet, CALX closed FY2025 with $1.06B in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 8.38, Piotroski F-Score: 8/9).

Fiscal Period	Filing Date	Revenue	Net Income	Operating Cash Flow	Free Cash Flow	Total Assets	Total Debt
FY2025 (FY)	2025-12-31	$1.00B	$17.9M	$135.0M	$115.5M	$1.06B	—
FY2024 (FY)	2024-12-31	$831.5M	-$29.7M	$68.4M	$50.3M	$939.3M	—
FY2023 (FY)	2023-12-31	$1.04B	$29.3M	$56.3M	$56.3M	—	—

3. CALX Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is CALX stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-01, Calix Inc (NYSE: CALX) is rated D+ (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 54/100 at a spot price of $38.31 (+0.37% 1D, market cap $2.41B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 11/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 8/20, Executive Insider Alignment 18/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 8/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 9/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, CALX ranks #562 in composite RQD confidence.

How does CALX compare to IRDM and VSAT in the Consumer Discretionary sector?

Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Telecommunications Equipment), CALX carries a Roarable D+ (54/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 134.9x, gross margin of 56.8%, and ROIC of 2.3%. By comparison, IRDM (Iridium Communications Inc) holds a B grade (74/100 RQD, P/E 42.7x, ROIC 50.9%, cap $4.89B) and VSAT (ViaSat Inc.) posts a C- grade (61/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC 1.1%, cap $10.74B). Among the 5-stock peer group, IRDM leads on earnings multiple (42.7x) while IRDM leads on capital efficiency (50.9% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for CALX?

Per CALX's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001406666), Calix Inc generated $1.00B in revenue (+20.3% YoY), $17.9M in net income, and $115.5M in free cash flow against $1.06B in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Clean SEC annual filing review with no major hidden accounting time-bombs.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is CALX trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

CALX last traded at $38.31 (+0.37% on volume of 795,431 shares), positioning the stock +5.86% above its 50-day simple moving average ($36.19) and -9.96% below its 200-day simple moving average ($42.55). Across its 52-week range of $32.35 to $69.73, CALX sits at the 15.9% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 51.6 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±7.0% ($35.63 to $40.99).

CALX Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

Does CALX pay a dividend and is it safe?

Calix Inc (CALX) offers a 0% cash dividend yield ($0.00 annualized) and 1.8% total shareholder yield including buybacks. Roarable rates its payout coverage as REINVESTING IN GROWTH + BUYBACKS.

Direct Sub-Reports: CALX RQD Cockpit CALX 12M Forecast CALX Earnings & Move CALX Dividends & DRIP CALX Insiders & 13F CALX Whale Options CALX Profit Sankey CALX News & Why