MARKET WIREReuters • 2h ago
Oil slips more than 1% as talks continue on ending Iran war - ReutersOil slips more than 1% as talks continue on ending Iran war Reuters
Why CALX Stock advanced +0.37% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
$38.31 +0.37% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot)
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $38.26
Calix Inc (CALX) carries a Roarable Rating of D+ (Sell) with 54/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.
ROARABLE D+ • SELL / AVOID
Cap $2.41B
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Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on CALX Below — or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude
🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief)
Is CALX stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-01, Calix Inc (NYSE: CALX) is rated D+ (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 54/100 at a spot price of $38.31 (+0.37% 1D, market cap $2.41B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 11/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 8/20, Executive Insider Alignment 18/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 8/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 9/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, CALX ranks #562 in composite RQD confidence.
✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief)
How does CALX compare to IRDM and VSAT in the Consumer Discretionary sector?
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Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Telecommunications Equipment), CALX carries a Roarable D+ (54/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 134.9x, gross margin of 56.8%, and ROIC of 2.3%. By comparison, IRDM (Iridium Communications Inc) holds a B grade (74/100 RQD, P/E 42.7x, ROIC 50.9%, cap $4.89B) and VSAT (ViaSat Inc.) posts a C- grade (61/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC 1.1%, cap $10.74B). Among the 5-stock peer group, IRDM leads on earnings multiple (42.7x) while IRDM leads on capital efficiency (50.9% ROIC).
✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief)
What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for CALX?
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Per CALX's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001406666), Calix Inc generated $1.00B in revenue (+20.3% YoY), $17.9M in net income, and $115.5M in free cash flow against $1.06B in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Clean SEC annual filing review with no major hidden accounting time-bombs.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $38.26 (-0.12%)🧬 Disciplined Float (-0.40% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 11/20 (D+) • 11.6% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 54/100 (D+) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (-0.7% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 51.0% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).
Audit Bucket Track Record →RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D+
JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)
Cash
SEC
Whale
Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer
5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D · Rk C
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-1.8% Base Target
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for CALX)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±7%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (54/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY CALX SCORES 54/100 (D+) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+18/20 pts (33% of score)
Altman Z-Score 8.38 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 8/9
▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+11/20 pts (20% of score)
SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 11.6% FCF Margin ($115.5M FCF) & 56.8% Gross Margin
▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Macro Regime Fit8/20 pts (-12 pt drag)
Macro rate sensitivity & RSI-14 (51.6) create a -12 pt regime headwind
📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)Grade D$37.24-2% Next Q
46
Q2 (-2Q)Grade D$36.50-0.1% Next Q
49
Q3 (-1Q)Grade C-$36.47+5% Next Q
51
CurrentGrade D+$38.31-0.7% Hist 90D α
54
Trajectory: D (46) → D+ (54)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER
⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a CALX Turnaround Squeeze
While CALX currently carries a cautious 54/100 (D+) rating due to Macro Regime Fit (8/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.
🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1
Clean SEC annual filing review with no major hidden accounting time-bombs.
🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2
Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($36.19) and Max Pain ($40.23) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $73.22.
🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3
Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Disciplined Float (-0.40% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.
🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $CALX• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “CALX Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
AUTOMATED RQD QUANT DESK MOVER BRIEFINGFull Market News Desk →
Why CALX Stock advanced +0.37% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
Calix Inc (CALX) advanced +0.37% to $38.31, trading at 16% of its 52-week range ($32.35 – $69.73). Stretched risk/reward at 135x P/E (2% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.
- ▸Technical Tape: Trading at 16% of its 52-week range ($32.35 – $69.73) with RSI-14 at 51.6 (NEUTRAL RANGE).
- ▸Volatility Profile: Historical 20-day realized swing band of ±7% around $38.31 (no active unusual options sweep snapshot on file).
- ▸Fundamental Anchor: Roarable D+ (Sell) backed by 56.8% gross margin and $115.5M annual free cash flow.
Live CALX Headlines & Catalysts
MARKET WIREReuters • 3h ago
Nine people dead in Learjet crash in south Florida, officials say - ReutersNine people dead in Learjet crash in south Florida, officials say Reuters
MARKET WIREReuters • 5h ago
Iran's IRGC Navy says two tankers 'exploded' after hitting mines in Hormuz - ReutersIran's IRGC Navy says two tankers 'exploded' after hitting mines in Hormuz Reuters
MARKET WIRECNBC • 7h ago
Here are 3 big things we're watching in the stock market in the week aheadThe market could use a few victories in the days ahead, which will be filled with more earnings, an election, and jobs data.
MARKET WIRECNBC • 7h ago
Democratic Rep. Stevens endorses Rogers over El-Sayed in Michigan Senate electionHaley Stevens had lost the Democratic nomination for Senate in Michigan to Abdul El-Sayed earlier this year.
RISK WATCHReuters • 8h ago
Israeli strikes kill eight people in Gaza - medics say - ReutersIsraeli strikes kill eight people in Gaza - medics say Reuters
MARKET WIREReuters • 9h ago
Russia's FSB says minor detained over park attack threat after US tip-off - ReutersRussia's FSB says minor detained over park attack threat after US tip-off Reuters
MARKET WIREReuters • 10h ago
Iran, Qatari mediators hold third day of talks to end US-Iran war - ReutersIran, Qatari mediators hold third day of talks to end US-Iran war Reuters
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Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring CALX)
- ✓Walkthrough of CALX's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
- ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
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CALX // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -12.05%⚡ TESTING RESISTANCE
2026-10-30O $38.06H $38.40L $36.65C $38.31VOL 852.1K
RES: $38.58SUP: $31.41SMA50: $36.19SMA200: $42.55
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK
CALX Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure
Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)
Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).
Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
48.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth
vs. +20.3% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).
Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)
No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on CALX today. View full Setup Ledger →
🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections
Open Graph →
No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for CALX. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.
AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for CALX today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK
📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (CALX)
Consumer Discretionary Rank #562 of 1011
⚔️ IRDM vs CALX Full Matrix →
1. Head-to-Head Consumer Discretionary Peer Comparison (CALX vs. IRDM, VSAT, GSAT, CCOI)
Industry: Telecommunications Equipment (81 Tracked Issuers)Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Calix Inc (CALX) ranks #562 by composite RQD confidence (54/100, grade D+) and #394 by equity capitalization ($2.41B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, IRDM leads on earnings valuation at 42.7x trailing P/E, while IRDM leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 50.9% ROIC and — gross margin. IRDM currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 74/100 (B) compared with CALX at 54/100 (D+).
| Ticker / Company | Roarable Grade | RQD Score | Trailing P/E | Gross Margin | ROIC | 1D Change | Market Cap | Head-to-Head |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CALX
ACTIVE
Calix Inc | D+ | 54/100 | 134.9x | 56.8% | 2.3% | +0.37% | $2.41B | Benchmark Subject |
| IRDM Iridium Communications Inc | B | 74/100 | 42.7x | — | 50.9% | +0.24% | $4.89B | /irdm-vs-calx → |
| VSAT ViaSat Inc. | C- | 61/100 | — | — | 1.1% | -0.34% | $10.74B | /vsat-vs-calx → |
| GSAT Globalstar Inc. | C | 62/100 | — | — | 0.7% | -0.64% | $10.82B | /gsat-vs-calx → |
| CCOI Cogent Communications Holdings Inc. | D | 49/100 | — | — | -35.0% | +1.57% | $397.4M | /ccoi-vs-calx → |
2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)
SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001406666In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Calix Inc (CALX) reported GAAP revenue of $1.00B (+20.3% vs. FY2024 revenue of $831.5M , and -3.8% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $17.9M, operating cash flow of $135.0M, and free cash flow of $115.5M (+129.4% YoY). On the balance sheet, CALX closed FY2025 with $1.06B in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 8.38, Piotroski F-Score: 8/9).
| Fiscal Period | Filing Date | Revenue | Net Income | Operating Cash Flow | Free Cash Flow | Total Assets | Total Debt |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2025 (FY) | 2025-12-31 | $1.00B | $17.9M | $135.0M | $115.5M | $1.06B | — |
| FY2024 (FY) | 2024-12-31 | $831.5M | -$29.7M | $68.4M | $50.3M | $939.3M | — |
| FY2023 (FY) | 2023-12-31 | $1.04B | $29.3M | $56.3M | $56.3M | — | — |
3. CALX Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)
✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLEDIs CALX stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
As of 2026-11-01, Calix Inc (NYSE: CALX) is rated D+ (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 54/100 at a spot price of $38.31 (+0.37% 1D, market cap $2.41B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 11/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 8/20, Executive Insider Alignment 18/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 8/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 9/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, CALX ranks #562 in composite RQD confidence.
How does CALX compare to IRDM and VSAT in the Consumer Discretionary sector?
Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Telecommunications Equipment), CALX carries a Roarable D+ (54/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 134.9x, gross margin of 56.8%, and ROIC of 2.3%. By comparison, IRDM (Iridium Communications Inc) holds a B grade (74/100 RQD, P/E 42.7x, ROIC 50.9%, cap $4.89B) and VSAT (ViaSat Inc.) posts a C- grade (61/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC 1.1%, cap $10.74B). Among the 5-stock peer group, IRDM leads on earnings multiple (42.7x) while IRDM leads on capital efficiency (50.9% ROIC).
What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for CALX?
Per CALX's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001406666), Calix Inc generated $1.00B in revenue (+20.3% YoY), $17.9M in net income, and $115.5M in free cash flow against $1.06B in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Clean SEC annual filing review with no major hidden accounting time-bombs.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
Where is CALX trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?
CALX last traded at $38.31 (+0.37% on volume of 795,431 shares), positioning the stock +5.86% above its 50-day simple moving average ($36.19) and -9.96% below its 200-day simple moving average ($42.55). Across its 52-week range of $32.35 to $69.73, CALX sits at the 15.9% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 51.6 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±7.0% ($35.63 to $40.99).
CALX Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index
100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FREDWhy is CALX stock moving today?
Why CALX Stock advanced +0.37% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash. Stretched risk/reward at 135x P/E (2% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.