ROARABLE // PRO
GLOBAL DESKS // NYC --:--:-- NYSE
US TAPE
ROAR ▸

IPI // Intrepid Potash Inc

DES <GO> NYSE RQD COCKPIT → CIK 0001421461 ↗
Materials • Mining & Quarrying of Nonmetallic Minerals (No Fuels)
$31.04 ▼ -0.57 (-1.80%)
MKT CAP: $417.7M • VOL: 169.4K
IPI // ROARABLE RATING & 5-PILLAR RQD CONFIDENCE 02:00 EST DETERMINISTIC ENGINE
PRIOR: RQD 51/100 [D] (+0 PT) • UNCHANGED
ROARABLE D
RQD CONFIDENCE
51 / 100 +0D
5 X 20-PT QUANT PILLARS
E 0 D 35 C 59 B 70 A 86+
Roarable Sell — Underperform / Distribution Warning
01 MASSIVE / SEC XBRL
Forensic Fundamentals
9 / 20
WARNING
FCF -24.4% vs NI +105.3% • ROIC-WACC -6.5% • Z 3.2
02 INSTITUTIONAL TAPE & TREND
Whale & Options Flow
[LOCKED] FLAGGED
UNLOCK BELOW TO REVEAL
03 SEC XBRL CAPITAL ALLOCATION
Insider & Capital Conviction
[LOCKED] FLAGGED
UNLOCK BELOW TO REVEAL
04 FRED 90D r-MATRIX
Macro Regime Fit
12 / 20
NEUTRAL
NEUTRAL • r(10Y)=+0.00 (+23bp) • r(OAS)=+0.00
05 10-K REDLINE AUDIT
Forensic 10-K Risk
13 / 20
SOLID
20 BASE - 7 DEDUCT • 0 CRIT / 0 MED • STABLE
ALERT

Why did IPI's Whale & Options Flow & Insider & Capital Conviction sub-score just flash a warning? Enter your email to unlock the full 5-Pillar Rating Breakdown + get instant alerts whenever IPI is Upgraded or Downgraded.

IPI // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -21.56%🛡️ HOLDING TREND SUPPORT
2026-10-30O $31.18H $31.66L $30.72C $31.04VOL 155.5K
RES: $48.65SUP: $30.24SMA50: $35.39SMA200: $36.58
$49.23$44.12$39.00$33.89$28.77RES $48.65SUP $30.24$31.042026-04-302026-06-152026-07-312026-09-162026-10-30
IPI // INSTITUTIONAL BULL VS. BEAR FORENSIC DEBATE
UNDERWEIGHT CONVICTION: 43/100
BEAR 0
100 BULL

Intrepid Potash Inc (IPI) exhibits 45.0% gross margins and 2.1% return on invested capital within Materials (Mining & Quarrying of Nonmetallic Minerals (No Fuels)), balanced against a 9.2x enterprise multiple and 4.8% implied options volatility.

▲ INSTITUTIONAL BULL THESIS (LONG)
01. Operating Leverage & Capital Efficiency Moat

Sustained 45.0% gross profitability converts into — operating margin and 2.1% ROIC, outpacing sector cost of capital.

ROIC: 2.1% // GM: 45.0%
02. Top-Line Expansion & Cash Conversion

YoY revenue trajectory of — paired with 6.11% free cash flow yield supports self-funded R&D and capital return.

REV YOY: — // FCF YLD: 6.11%
03. Balance Sheet Solvency & Forensic Quality

Altman Z-Score of 3.80 and Piotroski F-Score of 6/9 indicate low near-term refinancing stress.

ALTMAN Z: 3.80 // F-SCORE: 6/9
▼ INSTITUTIONAL BEAR THESIS (SHORT / RISK)
01. Multiple Compression & Duration Sensitivity

Trading at 37.3x trailing P/E (34.7x Fwd P/E) leaves valuation vulnerable if real 10Y TIPS yields spike.

P/E: 37.3x // EV/EBITDA: 9.2x
02. Options Skew & Event Volatility Risk

Options market prices a ±5.2% implied move with a 0.85 put/call ratio around $31.04 max pain.

IMPL MOVE: ±5.2% // P/C: 0.85
03. Competitive Margin & CapEx Cycle Pressure

Elevated industry capital intensity and customer concentration in Mining & Quarrying of Nonmetallic Minerals (No Fuels) require continuous execution to defend — net margins.

NET MARGIN: — // D/E: 0.45x
KEY CATALYST // Upcoming 10-Q/10-K XBRL margin progression, guidance revision vs 34.7x forward consensus, and institutional 13F positioning.
MACRO REGIME // Monitor US 10Y Real Yields (DFII10) and High-Yield Credit Spreads (OAS) for beta-adjusted multiple impact (Beta 1.10).
FORM 4 & 13F FLOW OPEN OWN <GO>
FILER SIDE $ VALUE
INSPECT FULL OWNERSHIP LEDGER IN OWN <GO>
UNUSUAL OPTIONS TAPE OPEN OPT <GO>
STRIKE / EXP TYPE PREMIUM
INSPECT GEX & CHAIN IN OPT <GO>
KEY VALUATION & PROFITABILITY RATIOS XBRL FA <GO>
TRAILING P/E 37.3x
FORWARD P/E 34.7x
EV / EBITDA 9.2x
FCF YIELD 6.11%
GROSS MARGIN —
OPERATING MARGIN —
NET MARGIN —
ROIC % 2.1%
REV GROWTH YOY —
DILUTED EPS TTM $0.83
DEBT / EQUITY —
DIVIDEND YIELD 0.00%
RSI-14 MOMENTUM 40.0
5Y EQUITY BETA —
FRED MACRO SENSITIVITY (PEARSON r) ECST <GO>
MACRO CORRELATION CALIBRATION ACTIVE BELOW.
FRED MACRO REGIME STRESS-TEST SIMULATOR // IPIPEARSON R VARIANCE ENGINE
01 // SELECT FEDERAL RESERVE & CREDIT SHOCK SCENARIO
02 // POSITION NOTIONAL EXPOSURE
HEADLINE STRESS SCORE
75/100SEVERE DRAWDOWN PRESSURE
PRIMARY FACTOR EXPOSURE
DFII10 // -0.61 r
Latest: 2.08%
EST. DIRECTIONAL MOVE
-8.50%
Implied Px: $28.40
EST. DOLLAR VARIANCE
-$4,248
On $50,000 Notional
[LOCKED // MULTI-FACTOR DRAWDOWN HEDGE & MACRO TRIGGER ALERT]

Unblur the exact $50,000 delta-adjusted ETF/options hedge ratio for IPI & activate live FRED threshold breach alerts.

HEAD-TO-HEAD PEER COMPARISONS COMP <GO>