ROARABLE // PRO
GLOBAL DESKS // NYC --:--:-- NYSE
US TAPE
ROAR ▸

HNRG // Hallador Energy Company

DES <GO> NASDAQ RQD COCKPIT → CIK 0000788965 ↗
Utilities • Electric Utilities: Central
$11.73 ▼ -0.16 (-1.35%)
MKT CAP: $553.0M • VOL: 505.5K
HNRG // ROARABLE RATING & 5-PILLAR RQD CONFIDENCE 02:00 EST DETERMINISTIC ENGINE
PRIOR: RQD 61/100 [C-] (+0 PT) • UNCHANGED
ROARABLE C-
RQD CONFIDENCE
61 / 100 +0D
5 X 20-PT QUANT PILLARS
E 0 D 35 C 59 B 70 A 86+
Roarable Hold — Cautious Neutral
01 MASSIVE / SEC XBRL
Forensic Fundamentals
10 / 20
NEUTRAL
FCF -5.2% vs NI +118.5% • ROIC-WACC +17.5% • Z 2.75
02 INSTITUTIONAL TAPE & TREND
Whale & Options Flow
[LOCKED] FLAGGED
UNLOCK BELOW TO REVEAL
03 SEC XBRL CAPITAL ALLOCATION
Insider & Capital Conviction
17 / 20
STRONG
FCF YIELD +2.2% • P/E 11.1x • F-SCORE 7/9
04 FRED 90D r-MATRIX
Macro Regime Fit
12 / 20
NEUTRAL
NEUTRAL • r(10Y)=+0.00 (+23bp) • r(OAS)=+0.00
05 10-K REDLINE AUDIT
Forensic 10-K Risk
[LOCKED] FLAGGED
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ALERT

Why did HNRG's Whale & Options Flow & Forensic 10-K Risk sub-score just flash a warning? Enter your email to unlock the full 5-Pillar Rating Breakdown + get instant alerts whenever HNRG is Upgraded or Downgraded.

HNRG // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -24.47%▼ DESCENDING CHANNEL
2026-10-30O $11.25H $11.73L $10.69C $11.73VOL 828.2K
RES: $15.53SUP: $9.75SMA50: $14.22SMA200: $16.53
$23.22$19.82$16.43$13.03$9.64RES $15.53SUP $9.75$11.732026-04-302026-06-152026-07-312026-09-162026-10-30
HNRG // INSTITUTIONAL BULL VS. BEAR FORENSIC DEBATE
ACCUMULATE CONVICTION: 66/100
BEAR 0
100 BULL

Hallador Energy Company (HNRG) exhibits 45.0% gross margins and 26.9% return on invested capital within Utilities (Electric Utilities: Central), balanced against a 4.8x enterprise multiple and 4.8% implied options volatility.

▲ INSTITUTIONAL BULL THESIS (LONG)
01. Operating Leverage & Capital Efficiency Moat

Sustained 45.0% gross profitability converts into 13.0% operating margin and 26.9% ROIC, outpacing sector cost of capital.

ROIC: 26.9% // GM: 45.0%
02. Top-Line Expansion & Cash Conversion

YoY revenue trajectory of +16.2% paired with 2.16% free cash flow yield supports self-funded R&D and capital return.

REV YOY: +16.2% // FCF YLD: 2.16%
03. Balance Sheet Solvency & Forensic Quality

Altman Z-Score of 2.75 and Piotroski F-Score of 7/9 indicate low near-term refinancing stress.

ALTMAN Z: 2.75 // F-SCORE: 7/9
▼ INSTITUTIONAL BEAR THESIS (SHORT / RISK)
01. Multiple Compression & Duration Sensitivity

Trading at 13.2x trailing P/E (11.1x Fwd P/E) leaves valuation vulnerable if real 10Y TIPS yields spike.

P/E: 13.2x // EV/EBITDA: 4.8x
02. Options Skew & Event Volatility Risk

Options market prices a ±5.2% implied move with a 0.85 put/call ratio around $11.73 max pain.

IMPL MOVE: ±5.2% // P/C: 0.85
03. Competitive Margin & CapEx Cycle Pressure

Elevated industry capital intensity and customer concentration in Electric Utilities: Central require continuous execution to defend 8.9% net margins.

NET MARGIN: 8.9% // D/E: 0.19x
KEY CATALYST // Upcoming 10-Q/10-K XBRL margin progression, guidance revision vs 11.1x forward consensus, and institutional 13F positioning.
MACRO REGIME // Monitor US 10Y Real Yields (DFII10) and High-Yield Credit Spreads (OAS) for beta-adjusted multiple impact (Beta 1.10).
FORM 4 & 13F FLOW OPEN OWN <GO>
FILER SIDE $ VALUE
INSPECT FULL OWNERSHIP LEDGER IN OWN <GO>
UNUSUAL OPTIONS TAPE OPEN OPT <GO>
STRIKE / EXP TYPE PREMIUM
INSPECT GEX & CHAIN IN OPT <GO>
KEY VALUATION & PROFITABILITY RATIOS XBRL FA <GO>
TRAILING P/E 13.2x
FORWARD P/E 11.1x
EV / EBITDA 4.8x
FCF YIELD 2.16%
GROSS MARGIN —
OPERATING MARGIN 13.0%
NET MARGIN 8.9%
ROIC % 26.9%
REV GROWTH YOY +16.2%
DILUTED EPS TTM $0.89
DEBT / EQUITY 0.19x
DIVIDEND YIELD 0.00%
RSI-14 MOMENTUM 35.7
5Y EQUITY BETA —
FRED MACRO SENSITIVITY (PEARSON r) ECST <GO>
MACRO CORRELATION CALIBRATION ACTIVE BELOW.
FRED MACRO REGIME STRESS-TEST SIMULATOR // HNRGPEARSON R VARIANCE ENGINE
01 // SELECT FEDERAL RESERVE & CREDIT SHOCK SCENARIO
02 // POSITION NOTIONAL EXPOSURE
HEADLINE STRESS SCORE
75/100SEVERE DRAWDOWN PRESSURE
PRIMARY FACTOR EXPOSURE
DFII10 // -0.61 r
Latest: 2.08%
EST. DIRECTIONAL MOVE
-8.50%
Implied Px: $10.73
EST. DOLLAR VARIANCE
-$4,248
On $50,000 Notional
[LOCKED // MULTI-FACTOR DRAWDOWN HEDGE & MACRO TRIGGER ALERT]

Unblur the exact $50,000 delta-adjusted ETF/options hedge ratio for HNRG & activate live FRED threshold breach alerts.

HEAD-TO-HEAD PEER COMPARISONS COMP <GO>