ROARABLE // PRO
GLOBAL DESKS // NYC --:--:-- NYSE
US TAPE
ROAR ▸

HLLY // Holley Inc.

DES <GO> NYSE RQD COCKPIT → CIK 0001822928 ↗
Consumer Discretionary • Auto Parts:O.E.M.
$2.66 ▲ +0.02 (+0.76%)
MKT CAP: $322.5M • VOL: 568.2K
HLLY // ROARABLE RATING & 5-PILLAR RQD CONFIDENCE 02:00 EST DETERMINISTIC ENGINE
PRIOR: RQD 55/100 [D+] (+0 PT) • UNCHANGED
ROARABLE D+
RQD CONFIDENCE
55 / 100 +0D
5 X 20-PT QUANT PILLARS
E 0 D 35 C 59 B 70 A 86+
Roarable Sell — Weak Fundamentals / Trim
01 MASSIVE / SEC XBRL
Forensic Fundamentals
8 / 20
WARNING
FCF -15.5% vs NI +182.5% • ROIC-WACC -0.4% • Z 1.32
02 INSTITUTIONAL TAPE & TREND
Whale & Options Flow
[LOCKED] FLAGGED
UNLOCK BELOW TO REVEAL
03 SEC XBRL CAPITAL ALLOCATION
Insider & Capital Conviction
17 / 20
STRONG
FCF YIELD +10.5% • P/E 15.6x • F-SCORE 7/9
04 FRED 90D r-MATRIX
Macro Regime Fit
12 / 20
NEUTRAL
NEUTRAL • r(10Y)=+0.00 (+23bp) • r(OAS)=+0.00
05 10-K REDLINE AUDIT
Forensic 10-K Risk
[LOCKED] FLAGGED
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ALERT

Why did HLLY's Whale & Options Flow & Forensic 10-K Risk sub-score just flash a warning? Enter your email to unlock the full 5-Pillar Rating Breakdown + get instant alerts whenever HLLY is Upgraded or Downgraded.

HLLY // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -19.39%📐 HORIZONTAL RANGE
2026-10-30O $2.63H $2.71L $2.58C $2.66VOL 569.3K
RES: $3.57SUP: $2.23SMA50: $2.63SMA200: $3.00
$3.62$3.25$2.88$2.51$2.13RES $3.57SUP $2.23$2.662026-04-302026-06-152026-07-312026-09-162026-10-30
HLLY // INSTITUTIONAL BULL VS. BEAR FORENSIC DEBATE
UNDERWEIGHT CONVICTION: 44/100
BEAR 0
100 BULL

Holley Inc. (HLLY) exhibits 43.4% gross margins and 7.0% return on invested capital within Consumer Discretionary (Auto Parts:O.E.M.), balanced against a 8.6x enterprise multiple and 4.8% implied options volatility.

▲ INSTITUTIONAL BULL THESIS (LONG)
01. Operating Leverage & Capital Efficiency Moat

Sustained 43.4% gross profitability converts into 13.4% operating margin and 7.0% ROIC, outpacing sector cost of capital.

ROIC: 7.0% // GM: 43.4%
02. Top-Line Expansion & Cash Conversion

YoY revenue trajectory of +1.9% paired with 10.51% free cash flow yield supports self-funded R&D and capital return.

REV YOY: +1.9% // FCF YLD: 10.51%
03. Balance Sheet Solvency & Forensic Quality

Altman Z-Score of 1.32 and Piotroski F-Score of 7/9 indicate low near-term refinancing stress.

ALTMAN Z: 1.32 // F-SCORE: 7/9
▼ INSTITUTIONAL BEAR THESIS (SHORT / RISK)
01. Multiple Compression & Duration Sensitivity

Trading at 16.8x trailing P/E (15.6x Fwd P/E) leaves valuation vulnerable if real 10Y TIPS yields spike.

P/E: 16.8x // EV/EBITDA: 8.6x
02. Options Skew & Event Volatility Risk

Options market prices a ±5.2% implied move with a 0.85 put/call ratio around $2.66 max pain.

IMPL MOVE: ±5.2% // P/C: 0.85
03. Competitive Margin & CapEx Cycle Pressure

Elevated industry capital intensity and customer concentration in Auto Parts:O.E.M. require continuous execution to defend 3.1% net margins.

NET MARGIN: 3.1% // D/E: 1.15x
KEY CATALYST // Upcoming 10-Q/10-K XBRL margin progression, guidance revision vs 15.6x forward consensus, and institutional 13F positioning.
MACRO REGIME // Monitor US 10Y Real Yields (DFII10) and High-Yield Credit Spreads (OAS) for beta-adjusted multiple impact (Beta 1.10).
FORM 4 & 13F FLOW OPEN OWN <GO>
FILER SIDE $ VALUE
INSPECT FULL OWNERSHIP LEDGER IN OWN <GO>
UNUSUAL OPTIONS TAPE OPEN OPT <GO>
STRIKE / EXP TYPE PREMIUM
INSPECT GEX & CHAIN IN OPT <GO>
KEY VALUATION & PROFITABILITY RATIOS XBRL FA <GO>
TRAILING P/E 16.8x
FORWARD P/E 15.6x
EV / EBITDA 8.6x
FCF YIELD 10.51%
GROSS MARGIN 43.4%
OPERATING MARGIN 13.4%
NET MARGIN 3.1%
ROIC % 7.0%
REV GROWTH YOY +1.9%
DILUTED EPS TTM $0.16
DEBT / EQUITY 1.15x
DIVIDEND YIELD 0.00%
RSI-14 MOMENTUM 54.7
5Y EQUITY BETA —
FRED MACRO SENSITIVITY (PEARSON r) ECST <GO>
MACRO CORRELATION CALIBRATION ACTIVE BELOW.
FRED MACRO REGIME STRESS-TEST SIMULATOR // HLLYPEARSON R VARIANCE ENGINE
01 // SELECT FEDERAL RESERVE & CREDIT SHOCK SCENARIO
02 // POSITION NOTIONAL EXPOSURE
HEADLINE STRESS SCORE
75/100SEVERE DRAWDOWN PRESSURE
PRIMARY FACTOR EXPOSURE
DFII10 // -0.61 r
Latest: 2.08%
EST. DIRECTIONAL MOVE
-8.50%
Implied Px: $2.43
EST. DOLLAR VARIANCE
-$4,248
On $50,000 Notional
[LOCKED // MULTI-FACTOR DRAWDOWN HEDGE & MACRO TRIGGER ALERT]

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HEAD-TO-HEAD PEER COMPARISONS COMP <GO>