ROARABLE // PRO
GLOBAL DESKS // NYC --:--:-- NYSE
US TAPE
ROAR ▸

GHG // GreenTree Hospitality Group Ltd. each representing one Class A ordinary share

DES <GO> NYSE RQD COCKPIT → CIK 0001724755 ↗
Consumer Discretionary • Hotels/Resorts
$0.94 ▼ -0.05 (-5.03%)
MKT CAP: $99.9M • VOL: 68.0K
GHG // ROARABLE RATING & 5-PILLAR RQD CONFIDENCE 02:00 EST DETERMINISTIC ENGINE
▼ DOWNGRADE // C (RQD 64) -> D+ (RQD 52)
ROARABLE D+
RQD CONFIDENCE
52 / 100 -12D
5 X 20-PT QUANT PILLARS
E 0 D 35 C 59 B 70 A 86+
Roarable Sell — Weak Fundamentals / Trim
01 MASSIVE / SEC XBRL
Forensic Fundamentals
8 / 20
WARNING
FCF -92.9% vs NI +58.3% • ROIC-WACC +76.4% • Z 0.49
02 INSTITUTIONAL TAPE & TREND
Whale & Options Flow
[LOCKED] FLAGGED
UNLOCK BELOW TO REVEAL
03 SEC XBRL CAPITAL ALLOCATION
Insider & Capital Conviction
17 / 20
STRONG
FCF YIELD +2.9% • P/E 3.9x • F-SCORE 7/9
04 FRED 90D r-MATRIX
Macro Regime Fit
9 / 20
WARNING
NEUTRAL • r(10Y)=-0.02 (+23bp) • r(OAS)=-0.11
05 10-K REDLINE AUDIT
Forensic 10-K Risk
[LOCKED] FLAGGED
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ALERT

Why did GHG's Whale & Options Flow & Forensic 10-K Risk sub-score just flash a warning? Enter your email to unlock the full 5-Pillar Rating Breakdown + get instant alerts whenever GHG is Upgraded or Downgraded.

GHG // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -24.19%▼ DESCENDING CHANNEL
2026-11-02O $0.97H $0.99L $0.94C $0.94VOL 53.2K
RES: $1.04SUP: $0.88SMA50: $1.01SMA200: $1.19
$1.83$1.58$1.33$1.08$0.83RES $1.04SUP $0.88$0.942026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-172026-11-02
GHG // INSTITUTIONAL BULL VS. BEAR FORENSIC DEBATE
HIGH-CONVICTION LONG CONVICTION: 88/100
BEAR 0
100 BULL

GreenTree Hospitality Group Ltd. each representing one Class A ordinary share (GHG) exhibits 34.9% gross margins and 85.0% return on invested capital within Consumer Discretionary (Hotels/Resorts), balanced against a 4.2x enterprise multiple and 4.8% implied options volatility.

▲ INSTITUTIONAL BULL THESIS (LONG)
01. Operating Leverage & Capital Efficiency Moat

Sustained 34.9% gross profitability converts into 5.2% operating margin and 85.0% ROIC, outpacing sector cost of capital.

ROIC: 85.0% // GM: 34.9%
02. Top-Line Expansion & Cash Conversion

YoY revenue trajectory of -14.7% paired with 2.88% free cash flow yield supports self-funded R&D and capital return.

REV YOY: -14.7% // FCF YLD: 2.88%
03. Balance Sheet Solvency & Forensic Quality

Altman Z-Score of 0.49 and Piotroski F-Score of 7/9 indicate low near-term refinancing stress.

ALTMAN Z: 0.49 // F-SCORE: 7/9
▼ INSTITUTIONAL BEAR THESIS (SHORT / RISK)
01. Multiple Compression & Duration Sensitivity

Trading at 4.2x trailing P/E (3.9x Fwd P/E) leaves valuation vulnerable if real 10Y TIPS yields spike.

P/E: 4.2x // EV/EBITDA: —
02. Options Skew & Event Volatility Risk

Options market prices a ±5.2% implied move with a 0.85 put/call ratio around $0.94 max pain.

IMPL MOVE: ±5.2% // P/C: 0.85
03. Competitive Margin & CapEx Cycle Pressure

Elevated industry capital intensity and customer concentration in Hotels/Resorts require continuous execution to defend 15.2% net margins.

NET MARGIN: 15.2% // D/E: 0.45x
KEY CATALYST // Upcoming 10-Q/10-K XBRL margin progression, guidance revision vs 3.9x forward consensus, and institutional 13F positioning.
MACRO REGIME // Monitor US 10Y Real Yields (DFII10) and High-Yield Credit Spreads (OAS) for beta-adjusted multiple impact (Beta 1.10).
FORM 4 & 13F FLOW OPEN OWN <GO>
FILER SIDE $ VALUE
INSPECT FULL OWNERSHIP LEDGER IN OWN <GO>
UNUSUAL OPTIONS TAPE OPEN OPT <GO>
STRIKE / EXP TYPE PREMIUM
INSPECT GEX & CHAIN IN OPT <GO>
KEY VALUATION & PROFITABILITY RATIOS XBRL FA <GO>
TRAILING P/E 4.2x
FORWARD P/E 3.9x
EV / EBITDA —
FCF YIELD 2.88%
GROSS MARGIN 34.9%
OPERATING MARGIN 5.2%
NET MARGIN 15.2%
ROIC % 85.0%
REV GROWTH YOY -14.7%
DILUTED EPS TTM $0.24
DEBT / EQUITY —
DIVIDEND YIELD 6.16%
RSI-14 MOMENTUM 49.9
5Y EQUITY BETA —
FRED MACRO SENSITIVITY (PEARSON r) ECST <GO>
MACRO CORRELATION CALIBRATION ACTIVE BELOW.
FRED MACRO REGIME STRESS-TEST SIMULATOR // GHGPEARSON R VARIANCE ENGINE
01 // SELECT FEDERAL RESERVE & CREDIT SHOCK SCENARIO
02 // POSITION NOTIONAL EXPOSURE
HEADLINE STRESS SCORE
75/100SEVERE DRAWDOWN PRESSURE
PRIMARY FACTOR EXPOSURE
DFII10 // -0.61 r
Latest: 2.08%
EST. DIRECTIONAL MOVE
-8.50%
Implied Px: $0.86
EST. DOLLAR VARIANCE
-$4,248
On $50,000 Notional
[LOCKED // MULTI-FACTOR DRAWDOWN HEDGE & MACRO TRIGGER ALERT]

Unblur the exact $50,000 delta-adjusted ETF/options hedge ratio for GHG & activate live FRED threshold breach alerts.

HEAD-TO-HEAD PEER COMPARISONS COMP <GO>