Geo Group Inc (GEO) exhibits 45.0% gross margins and 6.6% return on invested capital within Consumer Discretionary (Homebuilding), balanced against a 12.5x enterprise multiple and 4.8% implied options volatility.
Sustained 45.0% gross profitability converts into 9.8% operating margin and 6.6% ROIC, outpacing sector cost of capital.
ROIC: 6.6% // GM: 45.0%YoY revenue trajectory of +8.6% paired with -3.32% free cash flow yield supports self-funded R&D and capital return.
REV YOY: +8.6% // FCF YLD: -3.32%Altman Z-Score of 3.80 and Piotroski F-Score of 5/9 indicate low near-term refinancing stress.
ALTMAN Z: 3.80 // F-SCORE: 5/9Trading at 14.8x trailing P/E (13.8x Fwd P/E) leaves valuation vulnerable if real 10Y TIPS yields spike.
P/E: 14.8x // EV/EBITDA: 12.5xOptions market prices a ±5.2% implied move with a 0.85 put/call ratio around $28.54 max pain.
IMPL MOVE: ±5.2% // P/C: 0.85Elevated industry capital intensity and customer concentration in Homebuilding require continuous execution to defend 9.7% net margins.
NET MARGIN: 9.7% // D/E: 1.10x| FILER | SIDE | $ VALUE |
|---|---|---|
| INSPECT FULL OWNERSHIP LEDGER IN OWN <GO> | ||
| STRIKE / EXP | TYPE | PREMIUM |
|---|---|---|
| INSPECT GEX & CHAIN IN OPT <GO> | ||
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