ROARABLE // PRO
GLOBAL DESKS // NYC --:--:-- NYSE
US TAPE
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FRME // First Merchants Corporation

DES <GO> NASDAQ RQD COCKPIT → CIK 0000712534 ↗
Financials • Major Banks
$41.09 ▲ +0.43 (+1.06%)
MKT CAP: $2.58B • VOL: 447.1K
FRME // ROARABLE RATING & 5-PILLAR RQD CONFIDENCE 02:00 EST DETERMINISTIC ENGINE
PRIOR: RQD 71/100 [B-] (+0 PT) • UNCHANGED
ROARABLE B-
RQD CONFIDENCE
71 / 100 +0D
5 X 20-PT QUANT PILLARS
E 0 D 35 C 59 B 70 A 86+
Roarable Buy — Sound Institutional Accumulation
01 MASSIVE / SEC XBRL
Forensic Fundamentals
13 / 20
SOLID
FCF +6.5% vs NI +12.2% • ROIC-WACC +0.2% • Z 3.2
02 INSTITUTIONAL TAPE & TREND
Whale & Options Flow
[LOCKED] FLAGGED
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03 SEC XBRL CAPITAL ALLOCATION
Insider & Capital Conviction
16 / 20
STRONG
FCF YIELD +11% • P/E 10.6x • F-SCORE 5/9
04 FRED 90D r-MATRIX
Macro Regime Fit
16 / 20
STRONG
TAILWIND • r(10Y)=+0.00 (+23bp) • r(OAS)=+0.00
05 10-K REDLINE AUDIT
Forensic 10-K Risk
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ALERT

Why did FRME's Forensic 10-K Risk & Whale & Options Flow sub-score just flash a warning? Enter your email to unlock the full 5-Pillar Rating Breakdown + get instant alerts whenever FRME is Upgraded or Downgraded.

FRME // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +1.61%▼ DESCENDING CHANNEL
2026-10-30O $41.25H $41.27L $40.46C $41.09VOL 412.5K
RES: $42.58SUP: $38.13SMA50: $40.61SMA200: $40.73
$45.82$43.80$41.79$39.77$37.75RES $42.58SUP $38.13$41.092026-04-302026-06-152026-07-312026-09-162026-10-30
FRME // INSTITUTIONAL BULL VS. BEAR FORENSIC DEBATE
NEUTRAL / PAIR TRADE CONVICTION: 49/100
BEAR 0
100 BULL

First Merchants Corporation (FRME) exhibits 45.0% gross margins and 9.2% return on invested capital within Financials (Major Banks), balanced against a 11.4x enterprise multiple and 4.8% implied options volatility.

▲ INSTITUTIONAL BULL THESIS (LONG)
01. Operating Leverage & Capital Efficiency Moat

Sustained 45.0% gross profitability converts into — operating margin and 9.2% ROIC, outpacing sector cost of capital.

ROIC: 9.2% // GM: 45.0%
02. Top-Line Expansion & Cash Conversion

YoY revenue trajectory of — paired with 10.99% free cash flow yield supports self-funded R&D and capital return.

REV YOY: — // FCF YLD: 10.99%
03. Balance Sheet Solvency & Forensic Quality

Altman Z-Score of 3.80 and Piotroski F-Score of 5/9 indicate low near-term refinancing stress.

ALTMAN Z: 3.80 // F-SCORE: 5/9
▼ INSTITUTIONAL BEAR THESIS (SHORT / RISK)
01. Multiple Compression & Duration Sensitivity

Trading at 11.4x trailing P/E (10.6x Fwd P/E) leaves valuation vulnerable if real 10Y TIPS yields spike.

P/E: 11.4x // EV/EBITDA: —
02. Options Skew & Event Volatility Risk

Options market prices a ±5.2% implied move with a 0.85 put/call ratio around $41.09 max pain.

IMPL MOVE: ±5.2% // P/C: 0.85
03. Competitive Margin & CapEx Cycle Pressure

Elevated industry capital intensity and customer concentration in Major Banks require continuous execution to defend — net margins.

NET MARGIN: — // D/E: 0.45x
KEY CATALYST // Upcoming 10-Q/10-K XBRL margin progression, guidance revision vs 10.6x forward consensus, and institutional 13F positioning.
MACRO REGIME // Monitor US 10Y Real Yields (DFII10) and High-Yield Credit Spreads (OAS) for beta-adjusted multiple impact (Beta 1.10).
FORM 4 & 13F FLOW OPEN OWN <GO>
FILER SIDE $ VALUE
INSPECT FULL OWNERSHIP LEDGER IN OWN <GO>
UNUSUAL OPTIONS TAPE OPEN OPT <GO>
STRIKE / EXP TYPE PREMIUM
INSPECT GEX & CHAIN IN OPT <GO>
KEY VALUATION & PROFITABILITY RATIOS XBRL FA <GO>
TRAILING P/E 11.4x
FORWARD P/E 10.6x
EV / EBITDA —
FCF YIELD 10.99%
GROSS MARGIN —
OPERATING MARGIN —
NET MARGIN —
ROIC % 9.2%
REV GROWTH YOY —
DILUTED EPS TTM $3.60
DEBT / EQUITY —
DIVIDEND YIELD 3.21%
RSI-14 MOMENTUM 52.4
5Y EQUITY BETA —
FRED MACRO SENSITIVITY (PEARSON r) ECST <GO>
MACRO CORRELATION CALIBRATION ACTIVE BELOW.
FRED MACRO REGIME STRESS-TEST SIMULATOR // FRMEPEARSON R VARIANCE ENGINE
01 // SELECT FEDERAL RESERVE & CREDIT SHOCK SCENARIO
02 // POSITION NOTIONAL EXPOSURE
HEADLINE STRESS SCORE
75/100SEVERE DRAWDOWN PRESSURE
PRIMARY FACTOR EXPOSURE
DFII10 // -0.61 r
Latest: 2.08%
EST. DIRECTIONAL MOVE
-8.50%
Implied Px: $37.60
EST. DOLLAR VARIANCE
-$4,248
On $50,000 Notional
[LOCKED // MULTI-FACTOR DRAWDOWN HEDGE & MACRO TRIGGER ALERT]

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HEAD-TO-HEAD PEER COMPARISONS COMP <GO>