ROARABLE // PRO
GLOBAL DESKS // NYC --:--:-- NYSE
US TAPE
ROAR ▸

FCAP // First Capital Inc.

DES <GO> NASDAQ RQD COCKPIT → CIK 0001070296 ↗
Financials • Savings Institutions
$62.60 ▼ -1.20 (-1.89%)
MKT CAP: $213.4M • VOL: 13.2K
FCAP // ROARABLE RATING & 5-PILLAR RQD CONFIDENCE 02:00 EST DETERMINISTIC ENGINE
▲ UPGRADE // D+ (RQD 58) -> C+ (RQD 67)
ROARABLE C+
RQD CONFIDENCE
67 / 100 +9D
5 X 20-PT QUANT PILLARS
E 0 D 35 C 59 B 70 A 86+
Roarable Hold — Upper Neutral / Watch for Breakout
01 MASSIVE / SEC XBRL
Forensic Fundamentals
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02 INSTITUTIONAL TAPE & TREND
Whale & Options Flow
12 / 20
NEUTRAL
52W RANGE 75% • VS 200D +9.4% • RSI 54
03 SEC XBRL CAPITAL ALLOCATION
Insider & Capital Conviction
16 / 20
STRONG
FCF YIELD +9.3% • P/E 12.1x • F-SCORE 5/9
04 FRED 90D r-MATRIX
Macro Regime Fit
15 / 20
SOLID
TAILWIND • r(10Y)=-0.02 (+23bp) • r(OAS)=-0.11
05 10-K REDLINE AUDIT
Forensic 10-K Risk
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FCAP // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +17.45%▲ ASCENDING CHANNEL
2026-11-02O $64.70H $64.70L $62.60C $62.60VOL 15.9K
RES: $66.33SUP: $58.73SMA50: $62.58SMA200: $58.32
$69.98$64.06$58.15$52.23$46.31RES $66.33SUP $58.73$62.602026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-172026-11-02
FCAP // INSTITUTIONAL BULL VS. BEAR FORENSIC DEBATE
NEUTRAL / PAIR TRADE CONVICTION: 51/100
BEAR 0
100 BULL

First Capital Inc. (FCAP) exhibits 45.0% gross margins and 11.9% return on invested capital within Financials (Savings Institutions), balanced against a 13.0x enterprise multiple and 4.8% implied options volatility.

▲ INSTITUTIONAL BULL THESIS (LONG)
01. Operating Leverage & Capital Efficiency Moat

Sustained 45.0% gross profitability converts into — operating margin and 11.9% ROIC, outpacing sector cost of capital.

ROIC: 11.9% // GM: 45.0%
02. Top-Line Expansion & Cash Conversion

YoY revenue trajectory of — paired with 9.34% free cash flow yield supports self-funded R&D and capital return.

REV YOY: — // FCF YLD: 9.34%
03. Balance Sheet Solvency & Forensic Quality

Altman Z-Score of 3.80 and Piotroski F-Score of 5/9 indicate low near-term refinancing stress.

ALTMAN Z: 3.80 // F-SCORE: 5/9
▼ INSTITUTIONAL BEAR THESIS (SHORT / RISK)
01. Multiple Compression & Duration Sensitivity

Trading at 13.0x trailing P/E (12.1x Fwd P/E) leaves valuation vulnerable if real 10Y TIPS yields spike.

P/E: 13.0x // EV/EBITDA: —
02. Options Skew & Event Volatility Risk

Options market prices a ±5.2% implied move with a 0.85 put/call ratio around $62.60 max pain.

IMPL MOVE: ±5.2% // P/C: 0.85
03. Competitive Margin & CapEx Cycle Pressure

Elevated industry capital intensity and customer concentration in Savings Institutions require continuous execution to defend — net margins.

NET MARGIN: — // D/E: 0.45x
KEY CATALYST // Upcoming 10-Q/10-K XBRL margin progression, guidance revision vs 12.1x forward consensus, and institutional 13F positioning.
MACRO REGIME // Monitor US 10Y Real Yields (DFII10) and High-Yield Credit Spreads (OAS) for beta-adjusted multiple impact (Beta 1.10).
FORM 4 & 13F FLOW OPEN OWN <GO>
FILER SIDE $ VALUE
INSPECT FULL OWNERSHIP LEDGER IN OWN <GO>
UNUSUAL OPTIONS TAPE OPEN OPT <GO>
STRIKE / EXP TYPE PREMIUM
INSPECT GEX & CHAIN IN OPT <GO>
KEY VALUATION & PROFITABILITY RATIOS XBRL FA <GO>
TRAILING P/E 13.0x
FORWARD P/E 12.1x
EV / EBITDA —
FCF YIELD 9.34%
GROSS MARGIN —
OPERATING MARGIN —
NET MARGIN —
ROIC % 11.9%
REV GROWTH YOY —
DILUTED EPS TTM $4.89
DEBT / EQUITY —
DIVIDEND YIELD 1.89%
RSI-14 MOMENTUM 54.0
5Y EQUITY BETA —
FRED MACRO SENSITIVITY (PEARSON r) ECST <GO>
MACRO CORRELATION CALIBRATION ACTIVE BELOW.
FRED MACRO REGIME STRESS-TEST SIMULATOR // FCAPPEARSON R VARIANCE ENGINE
01 // SELECT FEDERAL RESERVE & CREDIT SHOCK SCENARIO
02 // POSITION NOTIONAL EXPOSURE
HEADLINE STRESS SCORE
75/100SEVERE DRAWDOWN PRESSURE
PRIMARY FACTOR EXPOSURE
DFII10 // -0.61 r
Latest: 2.08%
EST. DIRECTIONAL MOVE
-8.50%
Implied Px: $57.28
EST. DOLLAR VARIANCE
-$4,248
On $50,000 Notional
[LOCKED // MULTI-FACTOR DRAWDOWN HEDGE & MACRO TRIGGER ALERT]

Unblur the exact $50,000 delta-adjusted ETF/options hedge ratio for FCAP & activate live FRED threshold breach alerts.

HEAD-TO-HEAD PEER COMPARISONS COMP <GO>