ROARABLE // PRO
GLOBAL DESKS // NYC --:--:-- NYSE
US TAPE
ROAR ▸

EVH // Evolent Health Inc (Class A)

DES <GO> NYSE RQD COCKPIT → CIK 0001628908 ↗
Consumer Discretionary • Other Consumer Services
$4.25 ▼ -0.08 (-1.85%)
MKT CAP: $480.5M • VOL: 1.30M
EVH // ROARABLE RATING & 5-PILLAR RQD CONFIDENCE 02:00 EST DETERMINISTIC ENGINE
PRIOR: RQD 35/100 [D-] (+0 PT) • UNCHANGED
ROARABLE D-
RQD CONFIDENCE
35 / 100 +0D
5 X 20-PT QUANT PILLARS
E 0 D 35 C 59 B 70 A 86+
Roarable Sell — Vulnerable Balance Sheet & Flow
01 MASSIVE / SEC XBRL
Forensic Fundamentals
8 / 20
WARNING
FCF +107% vs NI -120% • ROIC-WACC -32.9% • Z 0.2
02 INSTITUTIONAL TAPE & TREND
Whale & Options Flow
[LOCKED] FLAGGED
UNLOCK BELOW TO REVEAL
03 SEC XBRL CAPITAL ALLOCATION
Insider & Capital Conviction
9 / 20
WARNING
FCF YIELD +8.1% • P/E N/A • F-SCORE 4/9
04 FRED 90D r-MATRIX
Macro Regime Fit
7 / 20
WARNING
HEADWIND • r(10Y)=+0.00 (+23bp) • r(OAS)=+0.00
05 10-K REDLINE AUDIT
Forensic 10-K Risk
[LOCKED] FLAGGED
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ALERT

Why did EVH's Whale & Options Flow & Forensic 10-K Risk sub-score just flash a warning? Enter your email to unlock the full 5-Pillar Rating Breakdown + get instant alerts whenever EVH is Upgraded or Downgraded.

EVH // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +13.33%▲ ASCENDING CHANNEL
2026-10-30O $4.26H $4.31L $4.09C $4.25VOL 1.15M
RES: $5.14SUP: $3.49SMA50: $4.20SMA200: $3.87
$6.50$5.51$4.53$3.54$2.55RES $5.14SUP $3.49$4.252026-04-302026-06-152026-07-312026-09-162026-10-30
EVH // INSTITUTIONAL BULL VS. BEAR FORENSIC DEBATE
UNDERWEIGHT CONVICTION: 28/100
BEAR 0
100 BULL

Evolent Health Inc (Class A) (EVH) exhibits 21.3% gross margins and -26.3% return on invested capital within Consumer Discretionary (Other Consumer Services), balanced against a 24.0x enterprise multiple and 4.8% implied options volatility.

▲ INSTITUTIONAL BULL THESIS (LONG)
01. Operating Leverage & Capital Efficiency Moat

Sustained 21.3% gross profitability converts into -21.9% operating margin and -26.3% ROIC, outpacing sector cost of capital.

ROIC: -26.3% // GM: 21.3%
02. Top-Line Expansion & Cash Conversion

YoY revenue trajectory of -26.6% paired with 8.08% free cash flow yield supports self-funded R&D and capital return.

REV YOY: -26.6% // FCF YLD: 8.08%
03. Balance Sheet Solvency & Forensic Quality

Altman Z-Score of 0.20 and Piotroski F-Score of 4/9 indicate low near-term refinancing stress.

ALTMAN Z: 0.20 // F-SCORE: 4/9
▼ INSTITUTIONAL BEAR THESIS (SHORT / RISK)
01. Multiple Compression & Duration Sensitivity

Trading at 24.0x trailing P/E (— Fwd P/E) leaves valuation vulnerable if real 10Y TIPS yields spike.

P/E: 24.0x // EV/EBITDA: —
02. Options Skew & Event Volatility Risk

Options market prices a ±5.2% implied move with a 0.85 put/call ratio around $4.25 max pain.

IMPL MOVE: ±5.2% // P/C: 0.85
03. Competitive Margin & CapEx Cycle Pressure

Elevated industry capital intensity and customer concentration in Other Consumer Services require continuous execution to defend -30.9% net margins.

NET MARGIN: -30.9% // D/E: 2.34x
KEY CATALYST // Upcoming 10-Q/10-K XBRL margin progression, guidance revision vs — forward consensus, and institutional 13F positioning.
MACRO REGIME // Monitor US 10Y Real Yields (DFII10) and High-Yield Credit Spreads (OAS) for beta-adjusted multiple impact (Beta 1.10).
FORM 4 & 13F FLOW OPEN OWN <GO>
FILER SIDE $ VALUE
INSPECT FULL OWNERSHIP LEDGER IN OWN <GO>
UNUSUAL OPTIONS TAPE OPEN OPT <GO>
STRIKE / EXP TYPE PREMIUM
INSPECT GEX & CHAIN IN OPT <GO>
KEY VALUATION & PROFITABILITY RATIOS XBRL FA <GO>
TRAILING P/E —
FORWARD P/E —
EV / EBITDA —
FCF YIELD 8.08%
GROSS MARGIN 21.3%
OPERATING MARGIN -21.9%
NET MARGIN -30.9%
ROIC % -26.3%
REV GROWTH YOY -26.6%
DILUTED EPS TTM —
DEBT / EQUITY 2.34x
DIVIDEND YIELD 0.00%
RSI-14 MOMENTUM 49.2
5Y EQUITY BETA —
FRED MACRO SENSITIVITY (PEARSON r) ECST <GO>
MACRO CORRELATION CALIBRATION ACTIVE BELOW.
FRED MACRO REGIME STRESS-TEST SIMULATOR // EVHPEARSON R VARIANCE ENGINE
01 // SELECT FEDERAL RESERVE & CREDIT SHOCK SCENARIO
02 // POSITION NOTIONAL EXPOSURE
HEADLINE STRESS SCORE
75/100SEVERE DRAWDOWN PRESSURE
PRIMARY FACTOR EXPOSURE
DFII10 // -0.61 r
Latest: 2.08%
EST. DIRECTIONAL MOVE
-8.50%
Implied Px: $3.89
EST. DOLLAR VARIANCE
-$4,248
On $50,000 Notional
[LOCKED // MULTI-FACTOR DRAWDOWN HEDGE & MACRO TRIGGER ALERT]

Unblur the exact $50,000 delta-adjusted ETF/options hedge ratio for EVH & activate live FRED threshold breach alerts.

HEAD-TO-HEAD PEER COMPARISONS COMP <GO>