ROARABLE // PRO
GLOBAL DESKS // NYC --:--:-- NYSE
US TAPE
ROAR ▸

ERII // Energy Recovery Inc.

DES <GO> NASDAQ RQD COCKPIT → CIK 0001421517 ↗
Technology • Industrial Machinery/Components
$7.12 ▲ +0.17 (+2.45%)
MKT CAP: $363.4M • VOL: 703.7K
ERII // ROARABLE RATING & 5-PILLAR RQD CONFIDENCE 02:00 EST DETERMINISTIC ENGINE
PRIOR: RQD 72/100 [B] (+0 PT) • UNCHANGED
ROARABLE B
RQD CONFIDENCE
72 / 100 +0D
5 X 20-PT QUANT PILLARS
E 0 D 35 C 59 B 70 A 86+
Roarable Buy — Good Risk/Reward
01 MASSIVE / SEC XBRL
Forensic Fundamentals
13 / 20
SOLID
FCF -9.3% vs NI -0.4% • ROIC-WACC +3.3% • Z 11.16
02 INSTITUTIONAL TAPE & TREND
Whale & Options Flow
[LOCKED] FLAGGED
UNLOCK BELOW TO REVEAL
03 SEC XBRL CAPITAL ALLOCATION
Insider & Capital Conviction
[LOCKED] FLAGGED
UNLOCK BELOW TO REVEAL
04 FRED 90D r-MATRIX
Macro Regime Fit
15 / 20
SOLID
TAILWIND • r(10Y)=+0.00 (+23bp) • r(OAS)=+0.00
05 10-K REDLINE AUDIT
Forensic 10-K Risk
16 / 20
STRONG
20 BASE - 4 DEDUCT • 0 CRIT / 0 MED • STABLE
ALERT

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ERII // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -35.68%▼ DESCENDING CHANNEL
2026-10-30O $7.06H $7.12L $6.92C $7.12VOL 1.25M
RES: $8.25SUP: $5.90SMA50: $7.10SMA200: $9.60
$14.34$12.23$10.12$8.01$5.89RES $8.25SUP $5.90$7.122026-04-302026-06-152026-07-312026-09-162026-10-30
ERII // INSTITUTIONAL BULL VS. BEAR FORENSIC DEBATE
UNDERWEIGHT CONVICTION: 43/100
BEAR 0
100 BULL

Energy Recovery Inc. (ERII) exhibits 65.1% gross margins and 11.9% return on invested capital within Technology (Industrial Machinery/Components), balanced against a 12.6x enterprise multiple and 4.8% implied options volatility.

▲ INSTITUTIONAL BULL THESIS (LONG)
01. Operating Leverage & Capital Efficiency Moat

Sustained 65.1% gross profitability converts into 17.7% operating margin and 11.9% ROIC, outpacing sector cost of capital.

ROIC: 11.9% // GM: 65.1%
02. Top-Line Expansion & Cash Conversion

YoY revenue trajectory of -6.9% paired with 4.80% free cash flow yield supports self-funded R&D and capital return.

REV YOY: -6.9% // FCF YLD: 4.80%
03. Balance Sheet Solvency & Forensic Quality

Altman Z-Score of 11.16 and Piotroski F-Score of 5/9 indicate low near-term refinancing stress.

ALTMAN Z: 11.16 // F-SCORE: 5/9
▼ INSTITUTIONAL BEAR THESIS (SHORT / RISK)
01. Multiple Compression & Duration Sensitivity

Trading at 15.8x trailing P/E (14.7x Fwd P/E) leaves valuation vulnerable if real 10Y TIPS yields spike.

P/E: 15.8x // EV/EBITDA: 12.6x
02. Options Skew & Event Volatility Risk

Options market prices a ±5.2% implied move with a 0.85 put/call ratio around $7.12 max pain.

IMPL MOVE: ±5.2% // P/C: 0.85
03. Competitive Margin & CapEx Cycle Pressure

Elevated industry capital intensity and customer concentration in Industrial Machinery/Components require continuous execution to defend 17.0% net margins.

NET MARGIN: 17.0% // D/E: 0.45x
KEY CATALYST // Upcoming 10-Q/10-K XBRL margin progression, guidance revision vs 14.7x forward consensus, and institutional 13F positioning.
MACRO REGIME // Monitor US 10Y Real Yields (DFII10) and High-Yield Credit Spreads (OAS) for beta-adjusted multiple impact (Beta 1.10).
FORM 4 & 13F FLOW OPEN OWN <GO>
FILER SIDE $ VALUE
INSPECT FULL OWNERSHIP LEDGER IN OWN <GO>
UNUSUAL OPTIONS TAPE OPEN OPT <GO>
STRIKE / EXP TYPE PREMIUM
INSPECT GEX & CHAIN IN OPT <GO>
KEY VALUATION & PROFITABILITY RATIOS XBRL FA <GO>
TRAILING P/E 15.8x
FORWARD P/E 14.7x
EV / EBITDA 12.6x
FCF YIELD 4.80%
GROSS MARGIN 65.1%
OPERATING MARGIN 17.7%
NET MARGIN 17.0%
ROIC % 11.9%
REV GROWTH YOY -6.9%
DILUTED EPS TTM $0.45
DEBT / EQUITY —
DIVIDEND YIELD 0.00%
RSI-14 MOMENTUM 52.6
5Y EQUITY BETA —
FRED MACRO SENSITIVITY (PEARSON r) ECST <GO>
MACRO CORRELATION CALIBRATION ACTIVE BELOW.
FRED MACRO REGIME STRESS-TEST SIMULATOR // ERIIPEARSON R VARIANCE ENGINE
01 // SELECT FEDERAL RESERVE & CREDIT SHOCK SCENARIO
02 // POSITION NOTIONAL EXPOSURE
HEADLINE STRESS SCORE
75/100SEVERE DRAWDOWN PRESSURE
PRIMARY FACTOR EXPOSURE
DFII10 // -0.61 r
Latest: 2.08%
EST. DIRECTIONAL MOVE
-8.50%
Implied Px: $6.52
EST. DOLLAR VARIANCE
-$4,248
On $50,000 Notional
[LOCKED // MULTI-FACTOR DRAWDOWN HEDGE & MACRO TRIGGER ALERT]

Unblur the exact $50,000 delta-adjusted ETF/options hedge ratio for ERII & activate live FRED threshold breach alerts.

HEAD-TO-HEAD PEER COMPARISONS COMP <GO>