ROARABLE // PRO
GLOBAL DESKS // NYC --:--:-- NYSE
US TAPE
ROAR ▸

EDUC // Educational Development Corporation

DES <GO> NASDAQ RQD COCKPIT → CIK 0000031667 ↗
Consumer Discretionary • Consumer Specialties
$1.04 ▲ +0.01 (+0.97%)
MKT CAP: $8.9M • VOL: 20.9K
EDUC // ROARABLE RATING & 5-PILLAR RQD CONFIDENCE 02:00 EST DETERMINISTIC ENGINE
PRIOR: RQD 61/100 [C-] (+0 PT) • UNCHANGED
ROARABLE C-
RQD CONFIDENCE
61 / 100 +0D
5 X 20-PT QUANT PILLARS
E 0 D 35 C 59 B 70 A 86+
Roarable Hold — Cautious Neutral
01 MASSIVE / SEC XBRL
Forensic Fundamentals
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02 INSTITUTIONAL TAPE & TREND
Whale & Options Flow
8 / 20
WARNING
52W RANGE 46% • VS 200D -1.9% • RSI 51.3
03 SEC XBRL CAPITAL ALLOCATION
Insider & Capital Conviction
17 / 20
STRONG
FCF YIELD +16.5% • P/E 3.5x • F-SCORE 7/9
04 FRED 90D r-MATRIX
Macro Regime Fit
14 / 20
SOLID
TAILWIND • r(10Y)=+0.00 (+23bp) • r(OAS)=+0.00
05 10-K REDLINE AUDIT
Forensic 10-K Risk
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EDUC // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -25.71%▼ DESCENDING CHANNEL
2026-10-30O $1.03H $1.09L $1.03C $1.04VOL 11.9K
RES: $1.30SUP: $0.95SMA50: $1.25SMA200: $1.37
$1.70$1.50$1.31$1.12$0.93RES $1.30SUP $0.95$1.042026-04-302026-06-152026-07-312026-09-162026-10-30
EDUC // INSTITUTIONAL BULL VS. BEAR FORENSIC DEBATE
UNDERWEIGHT CONVICTION: 28/100
BEAR 0
100 BULL

Educational Development Corporation (EDUC) exhibits 59.4% gross margins and 5.1% return on invested capital within Consumer Discretionary (Consumer Specialties), balanced against a 3.8x enterprise multiple and 4.8% implied options volatility.

▲ INSTITUTIONAL BULL THESIS (LONG)
01. Operating Leverage & Capital Efficiency Moat

Sustained 59.4% gross profitability converts into — operating margin and 5.1% ROIC, outpacing sector cost of capital.

ROIC: 5.1% // GM: 59.4%
02. Top-Line Expansion & Cash Conversion

YoY revenue trajectory of -33.0% paired with 16.50% free cash flow yield supports self-funded R&D and capital return.

REV YOY: -33.0% // FCF YLD: 16.50%
03. Balance Sheet Solvency & Forensic Quality

Altman Z-Score of 3.80 and Piotroski F-Score of 7/9 indicate low near-term refinancing stress.

ALTMAN Z: 3.80 // F-SCORE: 7/9
▼ INSTITUTIONAL BEAR THESIS (SHORT / RISK)
01. Multiple Compression & Duration Sensitivity

Trading at 3.8x trailing P/E (3.5x Fwd P/E) leaves valuation vulnerable if real 10Y TIPS yields spike.

P/E: 3.8x // EV/EBITDA: —
02. Options Skew & Event Volatility Risk

Options market prices a ±5.2% implied move with a 0.85 put/call ratio around $1.04 max pain.

IMPL MOVE: ±5.2% // P/C: 0.85
03. Competitive Margin & CapEx Cycle Pressure

Elevated industry capital intensity and customer concentration in Consumer Specialties require continuous execution to defend 10.1% net margins.

NET MARGIN: 10.1% // D/E: 0.00x
KEY CATALYST // Upcoming 10-Q/10-K XBRL margin progression, guidance revision vs 3.5x forward consensus, and institutional 13F positioning.
MACRO REGIME // Monitor US 10Y Real Yields (DFII10) and High-Yield Credit Spreads (OAS) for beta-adjusted multiple impact (Beta 1.10).
FORM 4 & 13F FLOW OPEN OWN <GO>
FILER SIDE $ VALUE
INSPECT FULL OWNERSHIP LEDGER IN OWN <GO>
UNUSUAL OPTIONS TAPE OPEN OPT <GO>
STRIKE / EXP TYPE PREMIUM
INSPECT GEX & CHAIN IN OPT <GO>
KEY VALUATION & PROFITABILITY RATIOS XBRL FA <GO>
TRAILING P/E 3.8x
FORWARD P/E 3.5x
EV / EBITDA —
FCF YIELD 16.50%
GROSS MARGIN 59.4%
OPERATING MARGIN —
NET MARGIN 10.1%
ROIC % 5.1%
REV GROWTH YOY -33.0%
DILUTED EPS TTM $0.27
DEBT / EQUITY 0.00x
DIVIDEND YIELD 0.00%
RSI-14 MOMENTUM 15.8
5Y EQUITY BETA —
FRED MACRO SENSITIVITY (PEARSON r) ECST <GO>
MACRO CORRELATION CALIBRATION ACTIVE BELOW.
FRED MACRO REGIME STRESS-TEST SIMULATOR // EDUCPEARSON R VARIANCE ENGINE
01 // SELECT FEDERAL RESERVE & CREDIT SHOCK SCENARIO
02 // POSITION NOTIONAL EXPOSURE
HEADLINE STRESS SCORE
75/100SEVERE DRAWDOWN PRESSURE
PRIMARY FACTOR EXPOSURE
DFII10 // -0.61 r
Latest: 2.08%
EST. DIRECTIONAL MOVE
-8.50%
Implied Px: $0.95
EST. DOLLAR VARIANCE
-$4,248
On $50,000 Notional
[LOCKED // MULTI-FACTOR DRAWDOWN HEDGE & MACRO TRIGGER ALERT]

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HEAD-TO-HEAD PEER COMPARISONS COMP <GO>