ROARABLE // PRO
GLOBAL DESKS // NYC --:--:-- NYSE
US TAPE
ROAR ▸

CTM // Castellum Inc.

DES <GO> NYSE RQD COCKPIT → CIK 0001877939 ↗
Consumer Discretionary • Professional Services
$0.51 ▼ -0.02 (-4.32%)
MKT CAP: $47.9M • VOL: 191.5K
CTM // ROARABLE RATING & 5-PILLAR RQD CONFIDENCE 02:00 EST DETERMINISTIC ENGINE
PRIOR: RQD 36/100 [D-] (+0 PT) • UNCHANGED
ROARABLE D-
RQD CONFIDENCE
36 / 100 +0D
5 X 20-PT QUANT PILLARS
E 0 D 35 C 59 B 70 A 86+
Roarable Sell — Vulnerable Balance Sheet & Flow
01 MASSIVE / SEC XBRL
Forensic Fundamentals
5 / 20
CRITICAL
FCF -120% vs NI +76% • ROIC-WACC -14.8% • Z 4.37
02 INSTITUTIONAL TAPE & TREND
Whale & Options Flow
11 / 20
NEUTRAL
52W RANGE 100% • VS 200D +78.6% • RSI 34.9
03 SEC XBRL CAPITAL ALLOCATION
Insider & Capital Conviction
[LOCKED] FLAGGED
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04 FRED 90D r-MATRIX
Macro Regime Fit
6 / 20
CRITICAL
HEADWIND • r(10Y)=+0.00 (+23bp) • r(OAS)=+0.00
05 10-K REDLINE AUDIT
Forensic 10-K Risk
[LOCKED] FLAGGED
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ALERT

Why did CTM's Insider & Capital Conviction & Forensic 10-K Risk sub-score just flash a warning? Enter your email to unlock the full 5-Pillar Rating Breakdown + get instant alerts whenever CTM is Upgraded or Downgraded.

CTM // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -23.88%🛡️ HOLDING TREND SUPPORT
2026-10-30O $0.50H $0.51L $0.48C $0.51VOL 497.9K
RES: $0.57SUP: $0.48SMA50: $0.60SMA200: $0.72
$1.04$0.89$0.73$0.58$0.43RES $0.57SUP $0.48$0.512026-04-302026-06-152026-07-312026-09-162026-10-30
CTM // INSTITUTIONAL BULL VS. BEAR FORENSIC DEBATE
UNDERWEIGHT CONVICTION: 43/100
BEAR 0
100 BULL

Castellum Inc. (CTM) exhibits 36.6% gross margins and -6.2% return on invested capital within Consumer Discretionary (Professional Services), balanced against a 24.0x enterprise multiple and 4.8% implied options volatility.

▲ INSTITUTIONAL BULL THESIS (LONG)
01. Operating Leverage & Capital Efficiency Moat

Sustained 36.6% gross profitability converts into -5.3% operating margin and -6.2% ROIC, outpacing sector cost of capital.

ROIC: -6.2% // GM: 36.6%
02. Top-Line Expansion & Cash Conversion

YoY revenue trajectory of +18.1% paired with -4.39% free cash flow yield supports self-funded R&D and capital return.

REV YOY: +18.1% // FCF YLD: -4.39%
03. Balance Sheet Solvency & Forensic Quality

Altman Z-Score of 4.37 and Piotroski F-Score of 5/9 indicate low near-term refinancing stress.

ALTMAN Z: 4.37 // F-SCORE: 5/9
▼ INSTITUTIONAL BEAR THESIS (SHORT / RISK)
01. Multiple Compression & Duration Sensitivity

Trading at 24.0x trailing P/E (— Fwd P/E) leaves valuation vulnerable if real 10Y TIPS yields spike.

P/E: 24.0x // EV/EBITDA: —
02. Options Skew & Event Volatility Risk

Options market prices a ±5.2% implied move with a 0.85 put/call ratio around $0.51 max pain.

IMPL MOVE: ±5.2% // P/C: 0.85
03. Competitive Margin & CapEx Cycle Pressure

Elevated industry capital intensity and customer concentration in Professional Services require continuous execution to defend -4.5% net margins.

NET MARGIN: -4.5% // D/E: 0.45x
KEY CATALYST // Upcoming 10-Q/10-K XBRL margin progression, guidance revision vs — forward consensus, and institutional 13F positioning.
MACRO REGIME // Monitor US 10Y Real Yields (DFII10) and High-Yield Credit Spreads (OAS) for beta-adjusted multiple impact (Beta 1.10).
FORM 4 & 13F FLOW OPEN OWN <GO>
FILER SIDE $ VALUE
INSPECT FULL OWNERSHIP LEDGER IN OWN <GO>
UNUSUAL OPTIONS TAPE OPEN OPT <GO>
STRIKE / EXP TYPE PREMIUM
INSPECT GEX & CHAIN IN OPT <GO>
KEY VALUATION & PROFITABILITY RATIOS XBRL FA <GO>
TRAILING P/E —
FORWARD P/E —
EV / EBITDA —
FCF YIELD -4.39%
GROSS MARGIN 36.6%
OPERATING MARGIN -5.3%
NET MARGIN -4.5%
ROIC % -6.2%
REV GROWTH YOY +18.1%
DILUTED EPS TTM —
DEBT / EQUITY —
DIVIDEND YIELD 0.00%
RSI-14 MOMENTUM 30.1
5Y EQUITY BETA —
FRED MACRO SENSITIVITY (PEARSON r) ECST <GO>
MACRO CORRELATION CALIBRATION ACTIVE BELOW.
FRED MACRO REGIME STRESS-TEST SIMULATOR // CTMPEARSON R VARIANCE ENGINE
01 // SELECT FEDERAL RESERVE & CREDIT SHOCK SCENARIO
02 // POSITION NOTIONAL EXPOSURE
HEADLINE STRESS SCORE
75/100SEVERE DRAWDOWN PRESSURE
PRIMARY FACTOR EXPOSURE
DFII10 // -0.61 r
Latest: 2.08%
EST. DIRECTIONAL MOVE
-8.50%
Implied Px: $0.47
EST. DOLLAR VARIANCE
-$4,248
On $50,000 Notional
[LOCKED // MULTI-FACTOR DRAWDOWN HEDGE & MACRO TRIGGER ALERT]

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HEAD-TO-HEAD PEER COMPARISONS COMP <GO>