ROARABLE // PRO
GLOBAL DESKS // NYC --:--:-- NYSE
US TAPE
ROAR ▸

CODI // D/B/A Compass Diversified Holdings

DES <GO> NYSE RQD COCKPIT → CIK 0001345126 ↗
Consumer Discretionary • Home Furnishings
$11.28 ▲ +0.51 (+4.74%)
MKT CAP: $848.7M • VOL: 943.3K
CODI // ROARABLE RATING & 5-PILLAR RQD CONFIDENCE 02:00 EST DETERMINISTIC ENGINE
PRIOR: RQD 36/100 [D-] (+0 PT) • UNCHANGED
ROARABLE D-
RQD CONFIDENCE
36 / 100 +0D
5 X 20-PT QUANT PILLARS
E 0 D 35 C 59 B 70 A 86+
Roarable Sell — Vulnerable Balance Sheet & Flow
01 MASSIVE / SEC XBRL
Forensic Fundamentals
6 / 20
CRITICAL
FCF +75.4% vs NI -8.4% • ROIC-WACC -5.8% • Z 0.43
02 INSTITUTIONAL TAPE & TREND
Whale & Options Flow
14 / 20
SOLID
52W RANGE 80% • VS 200D +11.5% • RSI 69.6
03 SEC XBRL CAPITAL ALLOCATION
Insider & Capital Conviction
[LOCKED] FLAGGED
UNLOCK BELOW TO REVEAL
04 FRED 90D r-MATRIX
Macro Regime Fit
7 / 20
WARNING
HEADWIND • r(10Y)=+0.00 (+23bp) • r(OAS)=+0.00
05 10-K REDLINE AUDIT
Forensic 10-K Risk
[LOCKED] FLAGGED
UNLOCK BELOW TO REVEAL
ALERT

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CODI // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -4.49%📐 HORIZONTAL RANGE
2026-10-30O $11.21H $11.28L $10.92C $11.28VOL 498.3K
RES: $13.73SUP: $9.81SMA50: $11.04SMA200: $9.79
$13.69$11.87$10.04$8.22$6.39RES $13.73SUP $9.81$11.282026-04-302026-06-152026-07-312026-09-162026-10-30
CODI // INSTITUTIONAL BULL VS. BEAR FORENSIC DEBATE
UNDERWEIGHT CONVICTION: 41/100
BEAR 0
100 BULL

D/B/A Compass Diversified Holdings (CODI) exhibits 43.5% gross margins and 0.4% return on invested capital within Consumer Discretionary (Home Furnishings), balanced against a 53.7x enterprise multiple and 4.8% implied options volatility.

▲ INSTITUTIONAL BULL THESIS (LONG)
01. Operating Leverage & Capital Efficiency Moat

Sustained 43.5% gross profitability converts into 0.6% operating margin and 0.4% ROIC, outpacing sector cost of capital.

ROIC: 0.4% // GM: 43.5%
02. Top-Line Expansion & Cash Conversion

YoY revenue trajectory of +4.8% paired with -6.03% free cash flow yield supports self-funded R&D and capital return.

REV YOY: +4.8% // FCF YLD: -6.03%
03. Balance Sheet Solvency & Forensic Quality

Altman Z-Score of 0.43 and Piotroski F-Score of 4/9 indicate low near-term refinancing stress.

ALTMAN Z: 0.43 // F-SCORE: 4/9
▼ INSTITUTIONAL BEAR THESIS (SHORT / RISK)
01. Multiple Compression & Duration Sensitivity

Trading at 24.0x trailing P/E (— Fwd P/E) leaves valuation vulnerable if real 10Y TIPS yields spike.

P/E: 24.0x // EV/EBITDA: 53.7x
02. Options Skew & Event Volatility Risk

Options market prices a ±5.2% implied move with a 0.85 put/call ratio around $11.28 max pain.

IMPL MOVE: ±5.2% // P/C: 0.85
03. Competitive Margin & CapEx Cycle Pressure

Elevated industry capital intensity and customer concentration in Home Furnishings require continuous execution to defend -12.1% net margins.

NET MARGIN: -12.1% // D/E: 4.16x
KEY CATALYST // Upcoming 10-Q/10-K XBRL margin progression, guidance revision vs — forward consensus, and institutional 13F positioning.
MACRO REGIME // Monitor US 10Y Real Yields (DFII10) and High-Yield Credit Spreads (OAS) for beta-adjusted multiple impact (Beta 1.10).
FORM 4 & 13F FLOW OPEN OWN <GO>
FILER SIDE $ VALUE
INSPECT FULL OWNERSHIP LEDGER IN OWN <GO>
UNUSUAL OPTIONS TAPE OPEN OPT <GO>
STRIKE / EXP TYPE PREMIUM
INSPECT GEX & CHAIN IN OPT <GO>
KEY VALUATION & PROFITABILITY RATIOS XBRL FA <GO>
TRAILING P/E —
FORWARD P/E —
EV / EBITDA 53.7x
FCF YIELD -6.03%
GROSS MARGIN 43.5%
OPERATING MARGIN 0.6%
NET MARGIN -12.1%
ROIC % 0.4%
REV GROWTH YOY +4.8%
DILUTED EPS TTM —
DEBT / EQUITY 4.16x
DIVIDEND YIELD 0.00%
RSI-14 MOMENTUM 57.6
5Y EQUITY BETA —
FRED MACRO SENSITIVITY (PEARSON r) ECST <GO>
MACRO CORRELATION CALIBRATION ACTIVE BELOW.
FRED MACRO REGIME STRESS-TEST SIMULATOR // CODIPEARSON R VARIANCE ENGINE
01 // SELECT FEDERAL RESERVE & CREDIT SHOCK SCENARIO
02 // POSITION NOTIONAL EXPOSURE
HEADLINE STRESS SCORE
75/100SEVERE DRAWDOWN PRESSURE
PRIMARY FACTOR EXPOSURE
DFII10 // -0.61 r
Latest: 2.08%
EST. DIRECTIONAL MOVE
-8.50%
Implied Px: $10.32
EST. DOLLAR VARIANCE
-$4,248
On $50,000 Notional
[LOCKED // MULTI-FACTOR DRAWDOWN HEDGE & MACRO TRIGGER ALERT]

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HEAD-TO-HEAD PEER COMPARISONS COMP <GO>