ROARABLE // PRO
GLOBAL DESKS // NYC --:--:-- NYSE
US TAPE
ROAR ▸

CENTA // Central Garden & Pet Company Nonvoting (Class A)

DES <GO> NASDAQ RQD COCKPIT → CIK 0000887733 ↗
Consumer Discretionary • Consumer Specialties
$39.12 ▲ +0.33 (+0.85%)
MKT CAP: $2.43B • VOL: 457.9K
CENTA // ROARABLE RATING & 5-PILLAR RQD CONFIDENCE 02:00 EST DETERMINISTIC ENGINE
PRIOR: RQD 73/100 [B] (+0 PT) • UNCHANGED
ROARABLE B
RQD CONFIDENCE
73 / 100 +0D
5 X 20-PT QUANT PILLARS
E 0 D 35 C 59 B 70 A 86+
Roarable Buy — Good Risk/Reward
01 MASSIVE / SEC XBRL
Forensic Fundamentals
[LOCKED] FLAGGED
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02 INSTITUTIONAL TAPE & TREND
Whale & Options Flow
15 / 20
SOLID
52W RANGE 85% • VS 200D +10.4% • RSI 66.9
03 SEC XBRL CAPITAL ALLOCATION
Insider & Capital Conviction
17 / 20
STRONG
FCF YIELD +12% • P/E 13.9x • F-SCORE 8/9
04 FRED 90D r-MATRIX
Macro Regime Fit
15 / 20
SOLID
TAILWIND • r(10Y)=-0.11 (+23bp) • r(OAS)=-0.15
05 10-K REDLINE AUDIT
Forensic 10-K Risk
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CENTA // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +21.23%⚡ TESTING RESISTANCE
2026-11-02O $38.31H $39.12L $38.31C $39.12VOL 327.0K
RES: $39.74SUP: $31.57SMA50: $35.99SMA200: $35.14
$41.46$38.72$35.97$33.22$30.48RES $39.74SUP $31.57$39.122026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-172026-11-02
CENTA // INSTITUTIONAL BULL VS. BEAR FORENSIC DEBATE
UNDERWEIGHT CONVICTION: 44/100
BEAR 0
100 BULL

Central Garden & Pet Company Nonvoting (Class A) (CENTA) exhibits 31.9% gross margins and 9.7% return on invested capital within Consumer Discretionary (Consumer Specialties), balanced against a 10.2x enterprise multiple and 4.8% implied options volatility.

▲ INSTITUTIONAL BULL THESIS (LONG)
01. Operating Leverage & Capital Efficiency Moat

Sustained 31.9% gross profitability converts into 8.0% operating margin and 9.7% ROIC, outpacing sector cost of capital.

ROIC: 9.7% // GM: 31.9%
02. Top-Line Expansion & Cash Conversion

YoY revenue trajectory of -2.2% paired with 11.99% free cash flow yield supports self-funded R&D and capital return.

REV YOY: -2.2% // FCF YLD: 11.99%
03. Balance Sheet Solvency & Forensic Quality

Altman Z-Score of 3.80 and Piotroski F-Score of 8/9 indicate low near-term refinancing stress.

ALTMAN Z: 3.80 // F-SCORE: 8/9
▼ INSTITUTIONAL BEAR THESIS (SHORT / RISK)
01. Multiple Compression & Duration Sensitivity

Trading at 14.9x trailing P/E (13.9x Fwd P/E) leaves valuation vulnerable if real 10Y TIPS yields spike.

P/E: 14.9x // EV/EBITDA: 10.2x
02. Options Skew & Event Volatility Risk

Options market prices a ±5.2% implied move with a 0.85 put/call ratio around $39.12 max pain.

IMPL MOVE: ±5.2% // P/C: 0.85
03. Competitive Margin & CapEx Cycle Pressure

Elevated industry capital intensity and customer concentration in Consumer Specialties require continuous execution to defend 5.2% net margins.

NET MARGIN: 5.2% // D/E: 0.76x
KEY CATALYST // Upcoming 10-Q/10-K XBRL margin progression, guidance revision vs 13.9x forward consensus, and institutional 13F positioning.
MACRO REGIME // Monitor US 10Y Real Yields (DFII10) and High-Yield Credit Spreads (OAS) for beta-adjusted multiple impact (Beta 1.10).
FORM 4 & 13F FLOW OPEN OWN <GO>
FILER SIDE $ VALUE
INSPECT FULL OWNERSHIP LEDGER IN OWN <GO>
UNUSUAL OPTIONS TAPE OPEN OPT <GO>
STRIKE / EXP TYPE PREMIUM
INSPECT GEX & CHAIN IN OPT <GO>
KEY VALUATION & PROFITABILITY RATIOS XBRL FA <GO>
TRAILING P/E 14.9x
FORWARD P/E 13.9x
EV / EBITDA 10.2x
FCF YIELD 11.99%
GROSS MARGIN 31.9%
OPERATING MARGIN 8.0%
NET MARGIN 5.2%
ROIC % 9.7%
REV GROWTH YOY -2.2%
DILUTED EPS TTM $2.60
DEBT / EQUITY 0.76x
DIVIDEND YIELD 0.00%
RSI-14 MOMENTUM 66.9
5Y EQUITY BETA —
FRED MACRO SENSITIVITY (PEARSON r) ECST <GO>
MACRO CORRELATION CALIBRATION ACTIVE BELOW.
FRED MACRO REGIME STRESS-TEST SIMULATOR // CENTAPEARSON R VARIANCE ENGINE
01 // SELECT FEDERAL RESERVE & CREDIT SHOCK SCENARIO
02 // POSITION NOTIONAL EXPOSURE
HEADLINE STRESS SCORE
75/100SEVERE DRAWDOWN PRESSURE
PRIMARY FACTOR EXPOSURE
DFII10 // -0.61 r
Latest: 2.08%
EST. DIRECTIONAL MOVE
-8.50%
Implied Px: $35.80
EST. DOLLAR VARIANCE
-$4,248
On $50,000 Notional
[LOCKED // MULTI-FACTOR DRAWDOWN HEDGE & MACRO TRIGGER ALERT]

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HEAD-TO-HEAD PEER COMPARISONS COMP <GO>