ROARABLE // PRO
GLOBAL DESKS // NYC --:--:-- NYSE
US TAPE
ROAR ▸

CBRL // Cracker Barrel Old Country Store Inc

DES <GO> NASDAQ RQD COCKPIT → CIK 0001067294 ↗
Consumer Discretionary • Restaurants
$72.45 ▲ +1.58 (+2.23%)
MKT CAP: $1.62B • VOL: 743.1K
CBRL // ROARABLE RATING & 5-PILLAR RQD CONFIDENCE 02:00 EST DETERMINISTIC ENGINE
PRIOR: RQD 65/100 [C] (+0 PT) • UNCHANGED
ROARABLE C
RQD CONFIDENCE
65 / 100 +0D
5 X 20-PT QUANT PILLARS
E 0 D 35 C 59 B 70 A 86+
Roarable Hold — Fair / Balanced Risk-Reward
01 MASSIVE / SEC XBRL
Forensic Fundamentals
14 / 20
SOLID
FCF +46.9% vs NI +13.4% • ROIC-WACC -2.4% • Z 3.2
02 INSTITUTIONAL TAPE & TREND
Whale & Options Flow
[LOCKED] FLAGGED
UNLOCK BELOW TO REVEAL
03 SEC XBRL CAPITAL ALLOCATION
Insider & Capital Conviction
[LOCKED] FLAGGED
UNLOCK BELOW TO REVEAL
04 FRED 90D r-MATRIX
Macro Regime Fit
11 / 20
NEUTRAL
NEUTRAL • r(10Y)=+0.00 (+23bp) • r(OAS)=+0.00
05 10-K REDLINE AUDIT
Forensic 10-K Risk
15 / 20
SOLID
20 BASE - 5 DEDUCT • 0 CRIT / 0 MED • STABLE
ALERT

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CBRL // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +131.32%⚡ TESTING RESISTANCE
2026-10-30O $72.50H $73.67L $69.83C $72.45VOL 743.6K
RES: $72.51SUP: $40.27SMA50: $56.85SMA200: $42.72
$76.85$63.67$50.50$37.32$24.14RES $72.51SUP $40.27$72.452026-04-302026-06-152026-07-312026-09-162026-10-30
CBRL // INSTITUTIONAL BULL VS. BEAR FORENSIC DEBATE
UNDERWEIGHT CONVICTION: 43/100
BEAR 0
100 BULL

Cracker Barrel Old Country Store Inc (CBRL) exhibits 69.0% gross margins and 5.4% return on invested capital within Consumer Discretionary (Restaurants), balanced against a 10.5x enterprise multiple and 4.8% implied options volatility.

▲ INSTITUTIONAL BULL THESIS (LONG)
01. Operating Leverage & Capital Efficiency Moat

Sustained 69.0% gross profitability converts into 1.6% operating margin and 5.4% ROIC, outpacing sector cost of capital.

ROIC: 5.4% // GM: 69.0%
02. Top-Line Expansion & Cash Conversion

YoY revenue trajectory of +0.4% paired with 3.69% free cash flow yield supports self-funded R&D and capital return.

REV YOY: +0.4% // FCF YLD: 3.69%
03. Balance Sheet Solvency & Forensic Quality

Altman Z-Score of 3.80 and Piotroski F-Score of 7/9 indicate low near-term refinancing stress.

ALTMAN Z: 3.80 // F-SCORE: 7/9
▼ INSTITUTIONAL BEAR THESIS (SHORT / RISK)
01. Multiple Compression & Duration Sensitivity

Trading at 34.9x trailing P/E (32.5x Fwd P/E) leaves valuation vulnerable if real 10Y TIPS yields spike.

P/E: 34.9x // EV/EBITDA: 10.5x
02. Options Skew & Event Volatility Risk

Options market prices a ±5.2% implied move with a 0.85 put/call ratio around $72.45 max pain.

IMPL MOVE: ±5.2% // P/C: 0.85
03. Competitive Margin & CapEx Cycle Pressure

Elevated industry capital intensity and customer concentration in Restaurants require continuous execution to defend 1.3% net margins.

NET MARGIN: 1.3% // D/E: 0.90x
KEY CATALYST // Upcoming 10-Q/10-K XBRL margin progression, guidance revision vs 32.5x forward consensus, and institutional 13F positioning.
MACRO REGIME // Monitor US 10Y Real Yields (DFII10) and High-Yield Credit Spreads (OAS) for beta-adjusted multiple impact (Beta 1.10).
FORM 4 & 13F FLOW OPEN OWN <GO>
FILER SIDE $ VALUE
INSPECT FULL OWNERSHIP LEDGER IN OWN <GO>
UNUSUAL OPTIONS TAPE OPEN OPT <GO>
STRIKE / EXP TYPE PREMIUM
INSPECT GEX & CHAIN IN OPT <GO>
KEY VALUATION & PROFITABILITY RATIOS XBRL FA <GO>
TRAILING P/E 34.9x
FORWARD P/E 32.5x
EV / EBITDA 10.5x
FCF YIELD 3.69%
GROSS MARGIN 69.0%
OPERATING MARGIN 1.6%
NET MARGIN 1.3%
ROIC % 5.4%
REV GROWTH YOY +0.4%
DILUTED EPS TTM $2.08
DEBT / EQUITY 0.90x
DIVIDEND YIELD 1.43%
RSI-14 MOMENTUM 67.6
5Y EQUITY BETA —
FRED MACRO SENSITIVITY (PEARSON r) ECST <GO>
MACRO CORRELATION CALIBRATION ACTIVE BELOW.
FRED MACRO REGIME STRESS-TEST SIMULATOR // CBRLPEARSON R VARIANCE ENGINE
01 // SELECT FEDERAL RESERVE & CREDIT SHOCK SCENARIO
02 // POSITION NOTIONAL EXPOSURE
HEADLINE STRESS SCORE
75/100SEVERE DRAWDOWN PRESSURE
PRIMARY FACTOR EXPOSURE
DFII10 // -0.61 r
Latest: 2.08%
EST. DIRECTIONAL MOVE
-8.50%
Implied Px: $66.29
EST. DOLLAR VARIANCE
-$4,248
On $50,000 Notional
[LOCKED // MULTI-FACTOR DRAWDOWN HEDGE & MACRO TRIGGER ALERT]

Unblur the exact $50,000 delta-adjusted ETF/options hedge ratio for CBRL & activate live FRED threshold breach alerts.

HEAD-TO-HEAD PEER COMPARISONS COMP <GO>