ROARABLE // PRO
GLOBAL DESKS // NYC --:--:-- NYSE
US TAPE
ROAR ▸

CATO // Cato Corporation (Class A)

DES <GO> NYSE RQD COCKPIT → CIK 0000018255 ↗
Consumer Discretionary • Clothing/Shoe/Accessory Stores
$2.38 ▼ -0.01 (-0.42%)
MKT CAP: $47.4M • VOL: 21.3K
CATO // ROARABLE RATING & 5-PILLAR RQD CONFIDENCE 02:00 EST DETERMINISTIC ENGINE
PRIOR: RQD 41/100 [D-] (+0 PT) • UNCHANGED
ROARABLE D-
RQD CONFIDENCE
41 / 100 +0D
5 X 20-PT QUANT PILLARS
E 0 D 35 C 59 B 70 A 86+
Roarable Sell — Vulnerable Balance Sheet & Flow
01 MASSIVE / SEC XBRL
Forensic Fundamentals
8 / 20
WARNING
FCF +81.1% vs NI +67.3% • ROIC-WACC -15.7% • Z 3.2
02 INSTITUTIONAL TAPE & TREND
Whale & Options Flow
9 / 20
WARNING
52W RANGE 64% • VS 200D +4.8% • RSI 52.4
03 SEC XBRL CAPITAL ALLOCATION
Insider & Capital Conviction
[LOCKED] FLAGGED
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04 FRED 90D r-MATRIX
Macro Regime Fit
10 / 20
NEUTRAL
NEUTRAL • r(10Y)=+0.00 (+23bp) • r(OAS)=+0.00
05 10-K REDLINE AUDIT
Forensic 10-K Risk
[LOCKED] FLAGGED
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ALERT

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CATO // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -17.07%📐 HORIZONTAL RANGE
2026-10-30O $2.31H $2.38L $2.30C $2.38VOL 45.0K
RES: $3.82SUP: $1.84SMA50: $2.46SMA200: $2.95
$3.89$3.45$3.01$2.58$2.14RES $3.82SUP $1.84$2.382026-04-302026-06-152026-07-312026-09-162026-10-30
CATO // INSTITUTIONAL BULL VS. BEAR FORENSIC DEBATE
UNDERWEIGHT CONVICTION: 34/100
BEAR 0
100 BULL

Cato Corporation (Class A) (CATO) exhibits 34.0% gross margins and -7.1% return on invested capital within Consumer Discretionary (Clothing/Shoe/Accessory Stores), balanced against a 24.0x enterprise multiple and 4.8% implied options volatility.

▲ INSTITUTIONAL BULL THESIS (LONG)
01. Operating Leverage & Capital Efficiency Moat

Sustained 34.0% gross profitability converts into -1.9% operating margin and -7.1% ROIC, outpacing sector cost of capital.

ROIC: -7.1% // GM: 34.0%
02. Top-Line Expansion & Cash Conversion

YoY revenue trajectory of +0.6% paired with -11.02% free cash flow yield supports self-funded R&D and capital return.

REV YOY: +0.6% // FCF YLD: -11.02%
03. Balance Sheet Solvency & Forensic Quality

Altman Z-Score of 3.80 and Piotroski F-Score of 4/9 indicate low near-term refinancing stress.

ALTMAN Z: 3.80 // F-SCORE: 4/9
▼ INSTITUTIONAL BEAR THESIS (SHORT / RISK)
01. Multiple Compression & Duration Sensitivity

Trading at 24.0x trailing P/E (— Fwd P/E) leaves valuation vulnerable if real 10Y TIPS yields spike.

P/E: 24.0x // EV/EBITDA: —
02. Options Skew & Event Volatility Risk

Options market prices a ±5.2% implied move with a 0.85 put/call ratio around $2.38 max pain.

IMPL MOVE: ±5.2% // P/C: 0.85
03. Competitive Margin & CapEx Cycle Pressure

Elevated industry capital intensity and customer concentration in Clothing/Shoe/Accessory Stores require continuous execution to defend -0.9% net margins.

NET MARGIN: -0.9% // D/E: 0.45x
KEY CATALYST // Upcoming 10-Q/10-K XBRL margin progression, guidance revision vs — forward consensus, and institutional 13F positioning.
MACRO REGIME // Monitor US 10Y Real Yields (DFII10) and High-Yield Credit Spreads (OAS) for beta-adjusted multiple impact (Beta 1.10).
FORM 4 & 13F FLOW OPEN OWN <GO>
FILER SIDE $ VALUE
INSPECT FULL OWNERSHIP LEDGER IN OWN <GO>
UNUSUAL OPTIONS TAPE OPEN OPT <GO>
STRIKE / EXP TYPE PREMIUM
INSPECT GEX & CHAIN IN OPT <GO>
KEY VALUATION & PROFITABILITY RATIOS XBRL FA <GO>
TRAILING P/E —
FORWARD P/E —
EV / EBITDA —
FCF YIELD -11.02%
GROSS MARGIN 34.0%
OPERATING MARGIN -1.9%
NET MARGIN -0.9%
ROIC % -7.1%
REV GROWTH YOY +0.6%
DILUTED EPS TTM —
DEBT / EQUITY —
DIVIDEND YIELD 0.00%
RSI-14 MOMENTUM 40.6
5Y EQUITY BETA —
FRED MACRO SENSITIVITY (PEARSON r) ECST <GO>
MACRO CORRELATION CALIBRATION ACTIVE BELOW.
FRED MACRO REGIME STRESS-TEST SIMULATOR // CATOPEARSON R VARIANCE ENGINE
01 // SELECT FEDERAL RESERVE & CREDIT SHOCK SCENARIO
02 // POSITION NOTIONAL EXPOSURE
HEADLINE STRESS SCORE
75/100SEVERE DRAWDOWN PRESSURE
PRIMARY FACTOR EXPOSURE
DFII10 // -0.61 r
Latest: 2.08%
EST. DIRECTIONAL MOVE
-8.50%
Implied Px: $2.18
EST. DOLLAR VARIANCE
-$4,248
On $50,000 Notional
[LOCKED // MULTI-FACTOR DRAWDOWN HEDGE & MACRO TRIGGER ALERT]

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HEAD-TO-HEAD PEER COMPARISONS COMP <GO>