ROARABLE // PRO
GLOBAL DESKS // NYC --:--:-- NYSE
US TAPE
ROAR ▸

BWB // Bridgewater Bancshares Inc.

DES <GO> NASDAQ RQD COCKPIT → CIK 0001341317 ↗
Financials • Major Banks
$20.21 ▼ -0.13 (-0.64%)
MKT CAP: $567.2M • VOL: 139.3K
BWB // ROARABLE RATING & 5-PILLAR RQD CONFIDENCE 02:00 EST DETERMINISTIC ENGINE
PRIOR: RQD 53/100 [D+] (+2 PT) • UNCHANGED
ROARABLE D+
RQD CONFIDENCE
55 / 100 +2D
5 X 20-PT QUANT PILLARS
E 0 D 35 C 59 B 70 A 86+
Roarable Sell — Weak Fundamentals / Trim
01 MASSIVE / SEC XBRL
Forensic Fundamentals
[LOCKED] FLAGGED
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02 INSTITUTIONAL TAPE & TREND
Whale & Options Flow
9 / 20
WARNING
52W RANGE 65% • VS 200D +3.1% • RSI 46.5
03 SEC XBRL CAPITAL ALLOCATION
Insider & Capital Conviction
15 / 20
SOLID
FCF YIELD +3.9% • P/E 11.4x • F-SCORE 4/9
04 FRED 90D r-MATRIX
Macro Regime Fit
11 / 20
NEUTRAL
NEUTRAL • r(10Y)=-0.08 (+23bp) • r(OAS)=-0.33
05 10-K REDLINE AUDIT
Forensic 10-K Risk
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ALERT

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BWB // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +12.40%📐 HORIZONTAL RANGE
2026-11-02O $20.39H $20.39L $20.21C $20.21VOL 151.0K
RES: $21.04SUP: $19.65SMA50: $20.76SMA200: $19.72
$22.98$21.50$20.01$18.53$17.05RES $21.04SUP $19.65$20.212026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-172026-11-02
BWB // INSTITUTIONAL BULL VS. BEAR FORENSIC DEBATE
NEUTRAL / PAIR TRADE CONVICTION: 49/100
BEAR 0
100 BULL

Bridgewater Bancshares Inc. (BWB) exhibits 45.0% gross margins and 8.9% return on invested capital within Financials (Major Banks), balanced against a 12.3x enterprise multiple and 4.8% implied options volatility.

▲ INSTITUTIONAL BULL THESIS (LONG)
01. Operating Leverage & Capital Efficiency Moat

Sustained 45.0% gross profitability converts into — operating margin and 8.9% ROIC, outpacing sector cost of capital.

ROIC: 8.9% // GM: 45.0%
02. Top-Line Expansion & Cash Conversion

YoY revenue trajectory of — paired with 3.87% free cash flow yield supports self-funded R&D and capital return.

REV YOY: — // FCF YLD: 3.87%
03. Balance Sheet Solvency & Forensic Quality

Altman Z-Score of 3.80 and Piotroski F-Score of 4/9 indicate low near-term refinancing stress.

ALTMAN Z: 3.80 // F-SCORE: 4/9
▼ INSTITUTIONAL BEAR THESIS (SHORT / RISK)
01. Multiple Compression & Duration Sensitivity

Trading at 12.3x trailing P/E (11.4x Fwd P/E) leaves valuation vulnerable if real 10Y TIPS yields spike.

P/E: 12.3x // EV/EBITDA: —
02. Options Skew & Event Volatility Risk

Options market prices a ±5.2% implied move with a 0.85 put/call ratio around $20.21 max pain.

IMPL MOVE: ±5.2% // P/C: 0.85
03. Competitive Margin & CapEx Cycle Pressure

Elevated industry capital intensity and customer concentration in Major Banks require continuous execution to defend — net margins.

NET MARGIN: — // D/E: 0.45x
KEY CATALYST // Upcoming 10-Q/10-K XBRL margin progression, guidance revision vs 11.4x forward consensus, and institutional 13F positioning.
MACRO REGIME // Monitor US 10Y Real Yields (DFII10) and High-Yield Credit Spreads (OAS) for beta-adjusted multiple impact (Beta 1.10).
FORM 4 & 13F FLOW OPEN OWN <GO>
FILER SIDE $ VALUE
INSPECT FULL OWNERSHIP LEDGER IN OWN <GO>
UNUSUAL OPTIONS TAPE OPEN OPT <GO>
STRIKE / EXP TYPE PREMIUM
INSPECT GEX & CHAIN IN OPT <GO>
KEY VALUATION & PROFITABILITY RATIOS XBRL FA <GO>
TRAILING P/E 12.3x
FORWARD P/E 11.4x
EV / EBITDA —
FCF YIELD 3.87%
GROSS MARGIN —
OPERATING MARGIN —
NET MARGIN —
ROIC % 8.9%
REV GROWTH YOY —
DILUTED EPS TTM $1.65
DEBT / EQUITY —
DIVIDEND YIELD 0.00%
RSI-14 MOMENTUM 46.5
5Y EQUITY BETA —
FRED MACRO SENSITIVITY (PEARSON r) ECST <GO>
MACRO CORRELATION CALIBRATION ACTIVE BELOW.
FRED MACRO REGIME STRESS-TEST SIMULATOR // BWBPEARSON R VARIANCE ENGINE
01 // SELECT FEDERAL RESERVE & CREDIT SHOCK SCENARIO
02 // POSITION NOTIONAL EXPOSURE
HEADLINE STRESS SCORE
75/100SEVERE DRAWDOWN PRESSURE
PRIMARY FACTOR EXPOSURE
DFII10 // -0.61 r
Latest: 2.08%
EST. DIRECTIONAL MOVE
-8.50%
Implied Px: $18.49
EST. DOLLAR VARIANCE
-$4,248
On $50,000 Notional
[LOCKED // MULTI-FACTOR DRAWDOWN HEDGE & MACRO TRIGGER ALERT]

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HEAD-TO-HEAD PEER COMPARISONS COMP <GO>