BSVN (70) NPB (63) SFST (63) BWFG (67) ⌘ Pro Terminal →

Bridgewater Bancshares Inc. (BWB) — RQD Stock Rating Cockpit

$20.34 -0.24% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $20.29

Bridgewater Bancshares Inc. (BWB) carries a Roarable Rating of D+ (Sell) with 53/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 53/100 (D+) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (-0.9% avg 90D alpha vs SPY) →

ROARABLE D+ • SELL / AVOID Cap $567.2M

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

EXT / AFTER-HRS: $20.29 (-0.23%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-2.08% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 7/20 (D-) • 0.5% FCF Margin

Verify 90D Bucket Audit →

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 53/100 (D+) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (-0.9% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 50.6% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).

Audit Bucket Track Record →

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D+

JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D · Rk D+

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE-2.3% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for BWB)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±5.3%

Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (53/100 Composite)

🔍 WHY BWB SCORES 53/100 (D+) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag

▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution+15/20 pts (28% of score)

SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 75% Net Buy • Cannibal Buyback (-2.08% YoY Shares)

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+13/20 pts (25% of score)

Altman Z-Score 3.80 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 4/9

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Cash Engine Quality7/20 pts (-13 pt drag)

Capital intensity & 0% operating margin leave 13 pts on the table

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current

Q1 (-3Q)

Grade D$20.25+1.7% Next Q

Q2 (-2Q)

Grade D$20.60-0.1% Next Q

Q3 (-1Q)

Grade C-$20.58-1.2% Next Q

Current

Grade D+$20.34-0.9% Hist 90D α

Trajectory: D (45) → D+ (53)Full Audit →

⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a BWB Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While BWB currently carries a cautious 53/100 (D+) rating due to Cash Engine Quality (7/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($20.78) and Max Pain ($21.36) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $23.75.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Cannibal Buyback (-2.08% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $BWB• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite

Contract: “BWB Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”

YES 53%NO 47%Trade / Inspect Odds →

RSI-14 MOMENTUMNEUTRAL RANGE

43.630 Oversold · 70 Hot

ALTMAN-Z SHIELDFORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)

3.80>3.0 Fortress Safe

PIOTROSKI F-SCOREWEAK QUALITY (1–4)

4 / 99-Pt Accounting

52-WEEK LASER RANGE65% OF RANGE

L: $16$20.34H: $23

1. Money & Cash Health● WEAK

Are profits real cash in the bank?

Weak cash conversion or heavy valuation strain compared to actual cash earned.

Factor Grade: D-RQD 7 / 20

2. Big Money & Insiders● NEUTRAL

Are whales & executives buying or selling?

Big funds and company insiders are mostly holding steady without aggressive buying or panic selling.

Factor Grade: D+RQD 23 / 40

3. Hidden Risks & Market Weather● WATCH

SEC fine-print scan & interest-rate fit

No major SEC filing blowups, though current interest rates and Fed liquidity call for normal position sizing.

Factor Grade: D+RQD 23 / 40

MULTI-MODEL JEV QUANT JURY DELIBERATION

JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground) on BWB

Cash & Moat Bull AI

ROIC & Free Cash Flow Model

BEARISH (35)

8.9% ROIC with 42.0% gross margin and 3.87% FCF yield.

SEC Forensic Auditor AI

10-K Accruals & Altman-Z Guard

NEUTRAL (65)

Altman-Z 4.20 and Piotroski 4/9 pass balance-sheet audit.

Whale & Macro Hawk AI

Options Skew, 13F & Fed NetLiq

NEUTRAL (55)

23/40 institutional & smart-money positioning score with 10/20 macro alignment.

Bull Case: Why Buyers Like BWB

✓Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction.

Bear Case: What Could Go Wrong

!Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring BWB)

✓Walkthrough of BWB's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks

RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED

Want Custom AI PineScript / Python Indicators & Priority Rating-Change Alerts?

Join Founding VIP Waitlist (No Card Required) →$100K Arena

BWB // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +12.19%📐 HORIZONTAL RANGE

2026-10-30O $20.46H $21.01L $20.13C $20.34VOL 139.3K

RES: $21.07SUP: $19.65SMA50: $20.78SMA200: $19.71

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

BWB Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 BWB Butterfly Map → + Track BWB →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)

3.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +6.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on BWB today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for BWB. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for BWB today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (BWB)

Financials Rank #742 of 1096 ⚔️ BSVN vs BWB Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Financials Peer Comparison (BWB vs. BSVN, NPB, SFST, BWFG)

Industry: Major Banks (248 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1096 tracked Financials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Bridgewater Bancshares Inc. (BWB) ranks #742 by composite RQD confidence (53/100, grade D+) and #675 by equity capitalization ($567.2M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, NPB leads on earnings valuation at 6.7x trailing P/E, while BSVN leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 17.2% ROIC and — gross margin. BSVN currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 70/100 (B-) compared with BWB at 53/100 (D+).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
BWB ACTIVE Bridgewater Bancshares Inc.	D+	53/100	12.3x	—	8.9%	-0.24%	$567.2M	Benchmark Subject
BSVN Bank7 Corp.	B-	70/100	13.1x	—	17.2%	+0.46%	$564.9M	/bsvn-vs-bwb →
NPB Northpointe Bancshares Inc.	C	63/100	6.7x	—	14.7%	-0.06%	$559.5M	/npb-vs-bwb →
SFST Southern First Bancshares Inc.	C	63/100	19.0x	—	8.2%	-0.18%	$576.5M	/sfst-vs-bwb →
BWFG Bankwell Financial Group Inc.	C+	67/100	15.8x	—	11.7%	+4.13%	$555.2M	/bwfg-vs-bwb →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001341317

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Bridgewater Bancshares Inc. (BWB) reported GAAP revenue of $0 (N/A vs. FY2024 revenue of $0 ) , GAAP net income of $46.1M, operating cash flow of $27.8M, and free cash flow of $22.0M (-48.1% YoY). On the balance sheet, BWB closed FY2025 with $5.41B in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 4/9).

Fiscal Period	Filing Date	Revenue	Net Income	Operating Cash Flow	Free Cash Flow	Total Assets	Total Debt
FY2025 (FY)	2025-12-31	$0	$46.1M	$27.8M	$22.0M	$5.41B	—
FY2024 (FY)	2024-12-31	$0	$32.8M	$46.4M	$42.3M	$5.07B	—
FY2023 (FY)	2023-12-31	$0	$40.0M	$30.0M	$30.0M	—	—

3. BWB Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is BWB stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-01, Bridgewater Bancshares Inc. (NASDAQ: BWB) is rated D+ (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 53/100 at a spot price of $20.34 (-0.24% 1D, market cap $567.2M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 7/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 8/20, Executive Insider Alignment 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 10/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 15/20. Across 1096 tracked Financials issuers, BWB ranks #742 in composite RQD confidence.

How does BWB compare to BSVN and NPB in the Financials sector?

Within the Financials sector (Major Banks), BWB carries a Roarable D+ (53/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 12.3x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 8.9%. By comparison, BSVN (Bank7 Corp.) holds a B- grade (70/100 RQD, P/E 13.1x, ROIC 17.2%, cap $564.9M) and NPB (Northpointe Bancshares Inc.) posts a C grade (63/100 RQD, P/E 6.7x, ROIC 14.7%, cap $559.5M). Among the 5-stock peer group, NPB leads on earnings multiple (6.7x) while BSVN leads on capital efficiency (17.2% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for BWB?

Per BWB's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001341317), Bridgewater Bancshares Inc. generated $0 in revenue, $46.1M in net income, and $22.0M in free cash flow against $5.41B in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction.. Primary risk factors monitored: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is BWB trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

BWB last traded at $20.34 (-0.24% on volume of 150,990 shares), positioning the stock -2.12% below its 50-day simple moving average ($20.78) and +3.20% above its 200-day simple moving average ($19.71). Across its 52-week range of $16.06 to $22.62, BWB sits at the 65.2% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 43.6 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±5.3% ($19.26 to $21.42).

BWB Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

Should I buy, hold, or sell BWB stock right now?

Bridgewater Bancshares Inc. (BWB) currently earns a Roarable Rating of D+ (Sell — SELL) with 53/100 RQD Confidence. Stretched risk/reward at 12x P/E (9% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.

What is BWB's 12-month price target and RQD AI Jury consensus?

BWB's 12-month base price target is $19.88 (range $15.51 to $23.75), backed by transparent SEC XBRL cash-flow, Form 4 insider, and CBOE options flow analysis.

Direct Sub-Reports: BWB RQD Cockpit BWB 12M Forecast BWB Earnings & Move BWB Dividends & DRIP BWB Insiders & 13F BWB Whale Options BWB Profit Sankey BWB News & Why