Sierra Bancorp (BSRR) — RQD Stock Rating Cockpit

$42.43 +0.21% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot)

Sierra Bancorp (BSRR) carries a Roarable Rating of C (Hold) with 65/100 RQD Confidence. The composite score sits in the neutral Hold band (59–69), meaning current holders don’t need to panic-sell while prospective buyers can wait for a move into the 70+ Buy zone.

ROARABLE C • HOLD / WATCH Cap $550.2M
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERHOLD / WATCH • C
025507510065
JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw C- · Rk B
Cash (10)Whales (10)SEC (13)Macro (16)CEO (16)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE+3.2% Base Target
$52 Bull$44 Base$34 Bear
📬 FREE BSRR RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for BSRR)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±6%
RSI-14 MOMENTUMBULLISH MOMENTUM
60.830 Oversold · 70 Hot
ALTMAN-Z SHIELDFORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)
3.80>3.0 Fortress Safe
PIOTROSKI F-SCOREWEAK QUALITY (1–4)
4 / 99-Pt Accounting
52-WEEK LASER RANGE90% OF RANGE
L: $28$42.43H: $44
1. Money & Cash Health● WEAK
Are profits real cash in the bank?

Weak cash conversion or heavy valuation strain compared to actual cash earned.

Factor Grade: DRQD 10 / 20
2. Big Money & Insiders● NEUTRAL
Are whales & executives buying or selling?

Big funds and company insiders are mostly holding steady without aggressive buying or panic selling.

Factor Grade: CRQD 26 / 40
3. Hidden Risks & Market Weather● ALL CLEAR
SEC fine-print scan & interest-rate fit

Clean SEC fine-print check with low hidden accounting risk and favorable interest-rate weather.

Factor Grade: BRQD 29 / 40
MULTI-MODEL JEV QUANT JURY DELIBERATION

JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground) on BSRR

Cash & Moat Bull AI
ROIC & Free Cash Flow Model
BEARISH (50)

11.6% ROIC with 42.0% gross margin and 5.85% FCF yield.

SEC Forensic Auditor AI
10-K Accruals & Altman-Z Guard
NEUTRAL (65)

Altman-Z 4.20 and Piotroski 4/9 pass balance-sheet audit.

Whale & Macro Hawk AI
Options Skew, 13F & Fed NetLiq
BULLISH (70)

26/40 institutional & smart-money positioning score with 16/20 macro alignment.

Bull Case: Why Buyers Like BSRR
  • ✓Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction.
Bear Case: What Could Go Wrong
  • !Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.
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Scheduled RQD Strong Buys & Whale Accumulation Briefing (BSRR Tape Review)

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BSRR // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +17.60%📐 HORIZONTAL RANGE
2026-10-30O $42.42H $42.84L $41.80C $42.43VOL 69.4K
RES: $44.15SUP: $37.77SMA50: $40.15SMA200: $38.25
$44.83$41.40$37.98$34.55$31.13RES $44.15SUP $37.77$42.432026-04-302026-06-152026-07-312026-09-162026-10-30
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

BSRR Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
4.2%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +6.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on BSRR today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for BSRR. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for BSRR today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (BSRR)

Financials Rank #328 of 1096 ⚔️ BWFG vs BSRR Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Financials Peer Comparison (BSRR vs. BWFG, NPB, BSVN, BWB)

Industry: Major Banks (248 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1096 tracked Financials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Sierra Bancorp (BSRR) ranks #328 by composite RQD confidence (65/100, grade C) and #683 by equity capitalization ($550.2M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, NPB leads on earnings valuation at 6.7x trailing P/E, while BSVN leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 17.2% ROIC and — gross margin. BSVN currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 70/100 (B-) compared with BSRR at 65/100 (C).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
BSRR ACTIVE
Sierra Bancorp
C 65/100 13.0x — 11.6% +0.21% $550.2M Benchmark Subject
BWFG
Bankwell Financial Group Inc.
C+ 67/100 15.8x — 11.7% +4.13% $555.2M /bwfg-vs-bsrr →
NPB
Northpointe Bancshares Inc.
C 63/100 6.7x — 14.7% -0.06% $559.5M /npb-vs-bsrr →
BSVN
Bank7 Corp.
B- 70/100 13.1x — 17.2% +0.46% $564.9M /bsvn-vs-bsrr →
BWB
Bridgewater Bancshares Inc.
D+ 53/100 12.3x — 8.9% -0.24% $567.2M /bwb-vs-bsrr →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001130144

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Sierra Bancorp (BSRR) reported GAAP revenue of $0 (N/A vs. FY2024 revenue of $0 ) , GAAP net income of $42.3M, operating cash flow of $33.7M, and free cash flow of $32.2M (-42.5% YoY). On the balance sheet, BSRR closed FY2025 with $3.83B in total assets against $49.5M in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 4/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $0 $42.3M $33.7M $32.2M $3.83B $49.5M
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $0 $40.6M $57.2M $56.0M $3.61B $49.4M
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $0 $34.8M $53.2M $53.2M — —

3. BSRR Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is BSRR stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-01, Sierra Bancorp (NASDAQ: BSRR) is rated C (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 65/100 at a spot price of $42.43 (+0.21% 1D, market cap $550.2M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 10/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 10/20, Executive Insider Alignment 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 16/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 16/20. Across 1096 tracked Financials issuers, BSRR ranks #328 in composite RQD confidence.

How does BSRR compare to BWFG and NPB in the Financials sector?

Within the Financials sector (Major Banks), BSRR carries a Roarable C (65/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 13.0x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 11.6%. By comparison, BWFG (Bankwell Financial Group Inc.) holds a C+ grade (67/100 RQD, P/E 15.8x, ROIC 11.7%, cap $555.2M) and NPB (Northpointe Bancshares Inc.) posts a C grade (63/100 RQD, P/E 6.7x, ROIC 14.7%, cap $559.5M). Among the 5-stock peer group, NPB leads on earnings multiple (6.7x) while BSVN leads on capital efficiency (17.2% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for BSRR?

Per BSRR's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001130144), Sierra Bancorp generated $0 in revenue, $42.3M in net income, and $32.2M in free cash flow against $3.83B in total assets and $49.5M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction.. Primary risk factors monitored: Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is BSRR trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

BSRR last traded at $42.43 (+0.21% on volume of 126,302 shares), positioning the stock +5.68% above its 50-day simple moving average ($40.15) and +10.93% above its 200-day simple moving average ($38.25). Across its 52-week range of $27.93 to $44.00, BSRR sits at the 90.2% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 60.8 (BULLISH MOMENTUM) and an implied next-earnings move of ±6.0% ($39.88 to $44.98).

BSRR Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

Should I buy, hold, or sell BSRR stock right now?

Sierra Bancorp (BSRR) currently earns a Roarable Rating of C (Hold — HOLD) with 65/100 RQD Confidence. Solid steady margins (12% return on capital), mixed timing at 13x P/E—hold if owned, no rush to chase.

What is BSRR's 12-month price target and RQD AI Jury consensus?

BSRR's 12-month base price target is $43.77 (range $34.14 to $51.65), backed by transparent SEC XBRL cash-flow, Form 4 insider, and CBOE options flow analysis.

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