Stock Ratings / Financials / BWB / forecast

BSVN (70) NPB (63) SFST (63) BWFG (67) ⌘ Pro Terminal →

Bridgewater Bancshares Inc. (BWB) 12-Month Stock Forecast & Price Target Cone

$20.34 -0.24% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot)

Bridgewater Bancshares Inc. (BWB) carries a Roarable Rating of D+ (Sell) with 53/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE D+ • SELL / AVOID Cap $567.2M

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D+

JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D · Rk D+

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE-2.3% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for BWB)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±5.3%

INTERACTIVE 12-MONTH POSITION SIMULATOR

Drag to Test Your BWB Position Size: $10,000

Shares at $20.34: 491.6 sh

$1,000$10,000$25,000$50,000$100,000

12M Bear Case FloorTarget $15.51

$7,625

$-2,375 (-23.7%)

12M Consensus BaseTarget $19.88

$9,774

$-226 (-2.3%)

12M Bull Case BreakoutTarget $23.75

$11,676

+$1,676 (+16.8%)

Wall Street Analyst Breakdown & Historical Accuracy Audit (32 Desks)

Street Historical Accuracy: 64/100

● Strong Buy / Buy: 17● Hold: 9● Sell: 6

Wall Street Firm	Stance	12M Target	1Y Accuracy	Track Grade
Morgan StanleyInstitutional Equity Desk	HOLD	$21	74%	A
Goldman SachsSector Coverage Lead	UNDERPERFORM	$22	69%	B
JP MorganUS Large-Cap Research	SELL	$18	58%	C

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring BWB)

✓Walkthrough of BWB's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks

RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED

Want Custom AI PineScript / Python Indicators & Priority Rating-Change Alerts?

Join Founding VIP Waitlist (No Card Required) →$100K Arena

BWB // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +12.19%📐 HORIZONTAL RANGE

2026-10-30O $20.46H $21.01L $20.13C $20.34VOL 139.3K

RES: $21.07SUP: $19.65SMA50: $20.78SMA200: $19.71

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

BWB Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 BWB Butterfly Map → + Track BWB →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)

3.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +6.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on BWB today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for BWB. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for BWB today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (BWB)

Financials Rank #742 of 1096 ⚔️ BSVN vs BWB Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Financials Peer Comparison (BWB vs. BSVN, NPB, SFST, BWFG)

Industry: Major Banks (248 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1096 tracked Financials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Bridgewater Bancshares Inc. (BWB) ranks #742 by composite RQD confidence (53/100, grade D+) and #675 by equity capitalization ($567.2M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, NPB leads on earnings valuation at 6.7x trailing P/E, while BSVN leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 17.2% ROIC and — gross margin. BSVN currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 70/100 (B-) compared with BWB at 53/100 (D+).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
BWB ACTIVE Bridgewater Bancshares Inc.	D+	53/100	12.3x	—	8.9%	-0.24%	$567.2M	Benchmark Subject
BSVN Bank7 Corp.	B-	70/100	13.1x	—	17.2%	+0.46%	$564.9M	/bsvn-vs-bwb →
NPB Northpointe Bancshares Inc.	C	63/100	6.7x	—	14.7%	-0.06%	$559.5M	/npb-vs-bwb →
SFST Southern First Bancshares Inc.	C	63/100	19.0x	—	8.2%	-0.18%	$576.5M	/sfst-vs-bwb →
BWFG Bankwell Financial Group Inc.	C+	67/100	15.8x	—	11.7%	+4.13%	$555.2M	/bwfg-vs-bwb →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001341317

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Bridgewater Bancshares Inc. (BWB) reported GAAP revenue of $0 (N/A vs. FY2024 revenue of $0 ) , GAAP net income of $46.1M, operating cash flow of $27.8M, and free cash flow of $22.0M (-48.1% YoY). On the balance sheet, BWB closed FY2025 with $5.41B in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 4/9).

Fiscal Period	Filing Date	Revenue	Net Income	Operating Cash Flow	Free Cash Flow	Total Assets	Total Debt
FY2025 (FY)	2025-12-31	$0	$46.1M	$27.8M	$22.0M	$5.41B	—
FY2024 (FY)	2024-12-31	$0	$32.8M	$46.4M	$42.3M	$5.07B	—
FY2023 (FY)	2023-12-31	$0	$40.0M	$30.0M	$30.0M	—	—

3. BWB Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is BWB stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-01, Bridgewater Bancshares Inc. (NASDAQ: BWB) is rated D+ (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 53/100 at a spot price of $20.34 (-0.24% 1D, market cap $567.2M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 7/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 8/20, Executive Insider Alignment 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 10/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 15/20. Across 1096 tracked Financials issuers, BWB ranks #742 in composite RQD confidence.

How does BWB compare to BSVN and NPB in the Financials sector?

Within the Financials sector (Major Banks), BWB carries a Roarable D+ (53/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 12.3x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 8.9%. By comparison, BSVN (Bank7 Corp.) holds a B- grade (70/100 RQD, P/E 13.1x, ROIC 17.2%, cap $564.9M) and NPB (Northpointe Bancshares Inc.) posts a C grade (63/100 RQD, P/E 6.7x, ROIC 14.7%, cap $559.5M). Among the 5-stock peer group, NPB leads on earnings multiple (6.7x) while BSVN leads on capital efficiency (17.2% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for BWB?

Per BWB's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001341317), Bridgewater Bancshares Inc. generated $0 in revenue, $46.1M in net income, and $22.0M in free cash flow against $5.41B in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction.. Primary risk factors monitored: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is BWB trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

BWB last traded at $20.34 (-0.24% on volume of 150,990 shares), positioning the stock -2.12% below its 50-day simple moving average ($20.78) and +3.20% above its 200-day simple moving average ($19.71). Across its 52-week range of $16.06 to $22.62, BWB sits at the 65.2% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 43.6 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±5.3% ($19.26 to $21.42).

BWB Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

What is BWB's 12-month stock price target?

Bridgewater Bancshares Inc. (BWB) carries a 12-month consensus base price target of $19.88 (-2.3% from $20.34), with a bull-case target of $23.75 and a bear-case floor of $15.51.

Is BWB stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now?

Roarable's 5-Pillar RQD Quant Engine rates BWB D+ (Sell — SELL) with an RQD Confidence score of 53/100.

Direct Sub-Reports: BWB RQD Cockpit BWB 12M Forecast BWB Earnings & Move BWB Dividends & DRIP BWB Insiders & 13F BWB Whale Options BWB Profit Sankey BWB News & Why