ROARABLE // PRO
GLOBAL DESKS // NYC --:--:-- NYSE
US TAPE
ROAR ▸

BLMN // Bloomin' Brands Inc.

DES <GO> NASDAQ RQD COCKPIT → CIK 0001546417 ↗
Consumer Discretionary • Restaurants
$10.69 ▲ +0.70 (+7.01%)
MKT CAP: $915.3M • VOL: 2.73M
BLMN // ROARABLE RATING & 5-PILLAR RQD CONFIDENCE 02:00 EST DETERMINISTIC ENGINE
PRIOR: RQD 58/100 [D+] (+0 PT) • UNCHANGED
ROARABLE D+
RQD CONFIDENCE
58 / 100 +0D
5 X 20-PT QUANT PILLARS
E 0 D 35 C 59 B 70 A 86+
Roarable Sell — Weak Fundamentals / Trim
01 MASSIVE / SEC XBRL
Forensic Fundamentals
12 / 20
NEUTRAL
FCF +200% vs NI +106.4% • ROIC-WACC +2.1% • Z 0.84
02 INSTITUTIONAL TAPE & TREND
Whale & Options Flow
12 / 20
NEUTRAL
52W RANGE 59% • VS 200D +3.2% • RSI 70.4
03 SEC XBRL CAPITAL ALLOCATION
Insider & Capital Conviction
[LOCKED] FLAGGED
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04 FRED 90D r-MATRIX
Macro Regime Fit
13 / 20
SOLID
TAILWIND • r(10Y)=+0.00 (+23bp) • r(OAS)=+0.00
05 10-K REDLINE AUDIT
Forensic 10-K Risk
[LOCKED] FLAGGED
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ALERT

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BLMN // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +75.25%▲ RESISTANCE BREAKOUT
2026-10-30O $10.62H $10.96L $10.43C $10.69VOL 2.21M
RES: $10.12SUP: $7.66SMA50: $9.27SMA200: $7.88
$13.13$11.07$9.01$6.95$4.89RES $10.12SUP $7.66$10.692026-04-302026-06-152026-07-312026-09-162026-10-30
BLMN // INSTITUTIONAL BULL VS. BEAR FORENSIC DEBATE
UNDERWEIGHT CONVICTION: 28/100
BEAR 0
100 BULL

Bloomin' Brands Inc. (BLMN) exhibits 70.2% gross margins and 10.7% return on invested capital within Consumer Discretionary (Restaurants), balanced against a 4.5x enterprise multiple and 4.8% implied options volatility.

▲ INSTITUTIONAL BULL THESIS (LONG)
01. Operating Leverage & Capital Efficiency Moat

Sustained 70.2% gross profitability converts into 0.9% operating margin and 10.7% ROIC, outpacing sector cost of capital.

ROIC: 10.7% // GM: 70.2%
02. Top-Line Expansion & Cash Conversion

YoY revenue trajectory of +0.1% paired with 10.57% free cash flow yield supports self-funded R&D and capital return.

REV YOY: +0.1% // FCF YLD: 10.57%
03. Balance Sheet Solvency & Forensic Quality

Altman Z-Score of 0.84 and Piotroski F-Score of 6/9 indicate low near-term refinancing stress.

ALTMAN Z: 0.84 // F-SCORE: 6/9
▼ INSTITUTIONAL BEAR THESIS (SHORT / RISK)
01. Multiple Compression & Duration Sensitivity

Trading at 111.1x trailing P/E (103.3x Fwd P/E) leaves valuation vulnerable if real 10Y TIPS yields spike.

P/E: 111.1x // EV/EBITDA: 4.5x
02. Options Skew & Event Volatility Risk

Options market prices a ±5.2% implied move with a 0.85 put/call ratio around $10.69 max pain.

IMPL MOVE: ±5.2% // P/C: 0.85
03. Competitive Margin & CapEx Cycle Pressure

Elevated industry capital intensity and customer concentration in Restaurants require continuous execution to defend 0.2% net margins.

NET MARGIN: 0.2% // D/E: 0.45x
KEY CATALYST // Upcoming 10-Q/10-K XBRL margin progression, guidance revision vs 103.3x forward consensus, and institutional 13F positioning.
MACRO REGIME // Monitor US 10Y Real Yields (DFII10) and High-Yield Credit Spreads (OAS) for beta-adjusted multiple impact (Beta 1.10).
FORM 4 & 13F FLOW OPEN OWN <GO>
FILER SIDE $ VALUE
INSPECT FULL OWNERSHIP LEDGER IN OWN <GO>
UNUSUAL OPTIONS TAPE OPEN OPT <GO>
STRIKE / EXP TYPE PREMIUM
INSPECT GEX & CHAIN IN OPT <GO>
KEY VALUATION & PROFITABILITY RATIOS XBRL FA <GO>
TRAILING P/E 111.1x
FORWARD P/E 103.3x
EV / EBITDA 4.5x
FCF YIELD 10.57%
GROSS MARGIN 70.2%
OPERATING MARGIN 0.9%
NET MARGIN 0.2%
ROIC % 10.7%
REV GROWTH YOY +0.1%
DILUTED EPS TTM $0.10
DEBT / EQUITY —
DIVIDEND YIELD 4.18%
RSI-14 MOMENTUM 63.3
5Y EQUITY BETA —
FRED MACRO SENSITIVITY (PEARSON r) ECST <GO>
MACRO CORRELATION CALIBRATION ACTIVE BELOW.
FRED MACRO REGIME STRESS-TEST SIMULATOR // BLMNPEARSON R VARIANCE ENGINE
01 // SELECT FEDERAL RESERVE & CREDIT SHOCK SCENARIO
02 // POSITION NOTIONAL EXPOSURE
HEADLINE STRESS SCORE
75/100SEVERE DRAWDOWN PRESSURE
PRIMARY FACTOR EXPOSURE
DFII10 // -0.61 r
Latest: 2.08%
EST. DIRECTIONAL MOVE
-8.50%
Implied Px: $9.78
EST. DOLLAR VARIANCE
-$4,248
On $50,000 Notional
[LOCKED // MULTI-FACTOR DRAWDOWN HEDGE & MACRO TRIGGER ALERT]

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HEAD-TO-HEAD PEER COMPARISONS COMP <GO>