Bloomin' Brands Inc. (BLMN) — RQD Stock Rating Cockpit

$10.69 +7.01% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot)

Bloomin' Brands Inc. (BLMN) carries a Roarable Rating of D+ (Sell) with 58/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE D+ • SELL / AVOID Cap $915.3M
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D+
025507510058
JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D+ · Rk D+
Cash (12)Whales (12)SEC (10)Macro (13)CEO (11)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE+0% Base Target
$13 Bull$11 Base$8 Bear
📬 FREE BLMN RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for BLMN)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±12.5%
RSI-14 MOMENTUMBULLISH MOMENTUM
63.330 Oversold · 70 Hot
ALTMAN-Z SHIELDDISTRESS RISK (<1.8)
0.84>3.0 Fortress Safe
PIOTROSKI F-SCORESOLID CORE (5–6)
6 / 99-Pt Accounting
52-WEEK LASER RANGE74% OF RANGE
L: $5$10.69H: $13
1. Money & Cash Health● MIXED
Are profits real cash in the bank?

Decent core business (70% profit margin), though cash flow growth is moderate rather than explosive right now.

Factor Grade: C-RQD 12 / 20
2. Big Money & Insiders● NEUTRAL
Are whales & executives buying or selling?

Big funds and company insiders are mostly holding steady without aggressive buying or panic selling.

Factor Grade: D+RQD 23 / 40
3. Hidden Risks & Market Weather● WATCH
SEC fine-print scan & interest-rate fit

No major SEC filing blowups, though current interest rates and Fed liquidity call for normal position sizing.

Factor Grade: D+RQD 23 / 40
MULTI-MODEL JEV QUANT JURY DELIBERATION

JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground) on BLMN

Cash & Moat Bull AI
ROIC & Free Cash Flow Model
NEUTRAL (60)

10.7% ROIC with 70.2% gross margin and 10.57% FCF yield.

SEC Forensic Auditor AI
10-K Accruals & Altman-Z Guard
BEARISH (50)

Altman-Z 0.84 and Piotroski 6/9 pass balance-sheet audit.

Whale & Macro Hawk AI
Options Skew, 13F & Fed NetLiq
NEUTRAL (60)

23/40 institutional & smart-money positioning score with 13/20 macro alignment.

Bull Case: Why Buyers Like BLMN
  • ✓Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity.
Bear Case: What Could Go Wrong
  • !Priced at 111x earnings—high expectations leave less room for a lukewarm quarter.
  • !Recent SEC filings added new risk-factor disclosures that warrant keeping an eye on margins.
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring BLMN)

  • ✓Walkthrough of BLMN's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
  • ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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BLMN // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +75.25%▲ RESISTANCE BREAKOUT
2026-10-30O $10.62H $10.96L $10.43C $10.69VOL 2.21M
RES: $10.12SUP: $7.66SMA50: $9.27SMA200: $7.88
$13.13$11.07$9.01$6.95$4.89RES $10.12SUP $7.66$10.692026-04-302026-06-152026-07-312026-09-162026-10-30
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

BLMN Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
48.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +0.1% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on BLMN today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for BLMN. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for BLMN today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (BLMN)

Consumer Discretionary Rank #447 of 1011 ⚔️ BH vs BLMN Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Consumer Discretionary Peer Comparison (BLMN vs. BH, FWRG, CNNE, HDL)

Industry: Restaurants (51 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Bloomin' Brands Inc. (BLMN) ranks #447 by composite RQD confidence (58/100, grade D+) and #521 by equity capitalization ($915.3M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, FWRG leads on earnings valuation at 39.7x trailing P/E, while BLMN leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 10.7% ROIC and 70.2% gross margin. BH currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 65/100 (C) compared with BLMN at 58/100 (D+).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
BLMN ACTIVE
Bloomin' Brands Inc.
D+ 58/100 111.1x 70.2% 10.7% +7.01% $915.3M Benchmark Subject
BH
Biglari Holdings Inc. (Class B)
C 65/100 — 59.2% -7.2% +1.47% $908.1M /bh-vs-blmn →
FWRG
First Watch Restaurant Group Inc.
D 45/100 39.7x — 3.6% +8.31% $772.0M /fwrg-vs-blmn →
CNNE
Cannae Holdings Inc.
D- 35/100 — 15.5% -10.6% +1.78% $743.9M /cnne-vs-blmn →
HDL
SUPER HI INTERNATIONAL HOLDING LTD.
D+ 52/100 — — — 0.00% $643.8M /hdl-vs-blmn →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-28 • CIK 0001546417

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-28), Bloomin' Brands Inc. (BLMN) reported GAAP revenue of $3.96B (+0.1% vs. FY2024 revenue of $3.95B , and -5.1% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $8.2M, operating cash flow of $276.7M, and free cash flow of $96.8M (+1208.6% YoY). On the balance sheet, BLMN closed FY2025 with $3.17B in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 0.84, Piotroski F-Score: 6/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-28 $3.96B $8.2M $276.7M $96.8M $3.17B —
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-29 $3.95B -$128.0M $228.1M $7.4M $3.38B —
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $4.17B $247.4M $532.4M $532.4M — —

3. BLMN Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is BLMN stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-01, Bloomin' Brands Inc. (NASDAQ: BLMN) is rated D+ (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 58/100 at a spot price of $10.69 (+7.01% 1D, market cap $915.3M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 12/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 12/20, Executive Insider Alignment 10/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 13/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 11/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, BLMN ranks #447 in composite RQD confidence.

How does BLMN compare to BH and FWRG in the Consumer Discretionary sector?

Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Restaurants), BLMN carries a Roarable D+ (58/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 111.1x, gross margin of 70.2%, and ROIC of 10.7%. By comparison, BH (Biglari Holdings Inc. (Class B)) holds a C grade (65/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -7.2%, cap $908.1M) and FWRG (First Watch Restaurant Group Inc.) posts a D grade (45/100 RQD, P/E 39.7x, ROIC 3.6%, cap $772.0M). Among the 5-stock peer group, FWRG leads on earnings multiple (39.7x) while BLMN leads on capital efficiency (10.7% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for BLMN?

Per BLMN's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-28, CIK 0001546417), Bloomin' Brands Inc. generated $3.96B in revenue (+0.1% YoY), $8.2M in net income, and $96.8M in free cash flow against $3.17B in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Priced at 111x earnings—high expectations leave less room for a lukewarm quarter.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is BLMN trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

BLMN last traded at $10.69 (+7.01% on volume of 2,726,037 shares), positioning the stock +15.32% above its 50-day simple moving average ($9.27) and +35.66% above its 200-day simple moving average ($7.88). Across its 52-week range of $5.19 to $12.63, BLMN sits at the 73.9% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 63.3 (BULLISH MOMENTUM) and an implied next-earnings move of ±12.5% ($9.35 to $12.03).

BLMN Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

Should I buy, hold, or sell BLMN stock right now?

Bloomin' Brands Inc. (BLMN) currently earns a Roarable Rating of D+ (Sell — SELL) with 58/100 RQD Confidence. Stretched risk/reward at 111x P/E (11% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.

What is BLMN's 12-month price target and RQD AI Jury consensus?

BLMN's 12-month base price target is $10.69 (range $8.34 to $13.26), backed by transparent SEC XBRL cash-flow, Form 4 insider, and CBOE options flow analysis.

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