Bloomin' Brands Inc. (BLMN) carries a Roarable Rating of D+ (Sell) with 58/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.
As of 2026-11-01, Bloomin' Brands Inc. (NASDAQ: BLMN) is rated D+ (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 58/100 at a spot price of $10.69 (+7.01% 1D, market cap $915.3M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 12/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 12/20, Executive Insider Alignment 10/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 13/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 11/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, BLMN ranks #447 in composite RQD confidence.
Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Restaurants), BLMN carries a Roarable D+ (58/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 111.1x, gross margin of 70.2%, and ROIC of 10.7%. By comparison, BH (Biglari Holdings Inc. (Class B)) holds a C grade (65/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -7.2%, cap $908.1M) and FWRG (First Watch Restaurant Group Inc.) posts a D grade (45/100 RQD, P/E 39.7x, ROIC 3.6%, cap $772.0M). Among the 5-stock peer group, FWRG leads on earnings multiple (39.7x) while BLMN leads on capital efficiency (10.7% ROIC).
Per BLMN's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-28, CIK 0001546417), Bloomin' Brands Inc. generated $3.96B in revenue (+0.1% YoY), $8.2M in net income, and $96.8M in free cash flow against $3.17B in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Priced at 111x earnings—high expectations leave less room for a lukewarm quarter.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer
FRED Regime × Technicals: 74% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 63.3 (BULLISH MOMENTUM)
SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 2.4% FCF Margin ($96.8M FCF) & 70.2% Gross Margin
Balance-sheet & 10-K footnote risk deducts 10 pts from forensic ceiling
Even with a 58/100 (D+) score, BLMN faces multiple-compression risk if 111.1x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.
Priced at 111x earnings—high expectations leave less room for a lukewarm quarter.
Recent SEC filings added new risk-factor disclosures that warrant keeping an eye on margins.
Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($9.27) or 200D SMA ($7.88) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($10.69) toward Bear Floor ($8.34).
Bloomin' Brands Inc. (BLMN) surged +7.01% to $10.69, trading at 74% of its 52-week range ($5.19 – $12.63). Stretched risk/reward at 111x P/E (11% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.
Bloomin' Brands (BLMN) doesn't possess the right combination of the two key ingredients for a likely earnings beat in its upcoming report. Get prepared with the key expectations.
Small-cap stocks in the Russell 2000 (^RUT) can be a goldmine for investors looking beyond the usual large-cap names. But with less stability and fewer resources than their bigger counterparts, these companies face steep
Cracker Barrel's stronger earnings outlook, upward estimate revisions and improving operations give it an edge over Bloomin' Brands despite the higher valuation.
Bloomin' Brands remains a "Buy" as shares are still attractively valued despite recent underperformance versus the S&P 500. Click to read more on BLMN.
If you are looking for stocks that have gained strong momentum recently but are still trading at reasonable prices, Bloomin' Brands (BLMN) could be a great choice. It is one of the several stocks that passed through our
Citigroup analyst Jon Tower maintains Bloomin Brands (NASDAQ:BLMN) with a Neutral and lowers the price target from $12.75 to $12.25.
What a fantastic six months it’s been for Bloomin' Brands. Shares of the company have skyrocketed 52.7%, hitting $10.08. This was partly thanks to its solid quarterly results, and the run-up might have investors contempl
The closure leaves the nearest Bonefish Grill more than 23 miles away.
Here is how Bloomin' Brands (BLMN) and eBay (EBAY) have performed compared to their sector so far this year.
Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).
vs. +0.1% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).
No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on BLMN today. View full Setup Ledger →
No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for BLMN. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.
Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Bloomin' Brands Inc. (BLMN) ranks #447 by composite RQD confidence (58/100, grade D+) and #521 by equity capitalization ($915.3M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, FWRG leads on earnings valuation at 39.7x trailing P/E, while BLMN leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 10.7% ROIC and 70.2% gross margin. BH currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 65/100 (C) compared with BLMN at 58/100 (D+).
| Ticker / Company | Roarable Grade | RQD Score | Trailing P/E | Gross Margin | ROIC | 1D Change | Market Cap | Head-to-Head |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BLMN
ACTIVE
Bloomin' Brands Inc. | D+ | 58/100 | 111.1x | 70.2% | 10.7% | +7.01% | $915.3M | Benchmark Subject |
| BH Biglari Holdings Inc. (Class B) | C | 65/100 | — | 59.2% | -7.2% | +1.47% | $908.1M | /bh-vs-blmn → |
| FWRG First Watch Restaurant Group Inc. | D | 45/100 | 39.7x | — | 3.6% | +8.31% | $772.0M | /fwrg-vs-blmn → |
| CNNE Cannae Holdings Inc. | D- | 35/100 | — | 15.5% | -10.6% | +1.78% | $743.9M | /cnne-vs-blmn → |
| HDL SUPER HI INTERNATIONAL HOLDING LTD. | D+ | 52/100 | — | — | — | 0.00% | $643.8M | /hdl-vs-blmn → |
In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-28), Bloomin' Brands Inc. (BLMN) reported GAAP revenue of $3.96B (+0.1% vs. FY2024 revenue of $3.95B , and -5.1% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $8.2M, operating cash flow of $276.7M, and free cash flow of $96.8M (+1208.6% YoY). On the balance sheet, BLMN closed FY2025 with $3.17B in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 0.84, Piotroski F-Score: 6/9).
| Fiscal Period | Filing Date | Revenue | Net Income | Operating Cash Flow | Free Cash Flow | Total Assets | Total Debt |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2025 (FY) | 2025-12-28 | $3.96B | $8.2M | $276.7M | $96.8M | $3.17B | — |
| FY2024 (FY) | 2024-12-29 | $3.95B | -$128.0M | $228.1M | $7.4M | $3.38B | — |
| FY2023 (FY) | 2023-12-31 | $4.17B | $247.4M | $532.4M | $532.4M | — | — |
As of 2026-11-01, Bloomin' Brands Inc. (NASDAQ: BLMN) is rated D+ (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 58/100 at a spot price of $10.69 (+7.01% 1D, market cap $915.3M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 12/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 12/20, Executive Insider Alignment 10/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 13/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 11/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, BLMN ranks #447 in composite RQD confidence.
Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Restaurants), BLMN carries a Roarable D+ (58/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 111.1x, gross margin of 70.2%, and ROIC of 10.7%. By comparison, BH (Biglari Holdings Inc. (Class B)) holds a C grade (65/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -7.2%, cap $908.1M) and FWRG (First Watch Restaurant Group Inc.) posts a D grade (45/100 RQD, P/E 39.7x, ROIC 3.6%, cap $772.0M). Among the 5-stock peer group, FWRG leads on earnings multiple (39.7x) while BLMN leads on capital efficiency (10.7% ROIC).
Per BLMN's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-28, CIK 0001546417), Bloomin' Brands Inc. generated $3.96B in revenue (+0.1% YoY), $8.2M in net income, and $96.8M in free cash flow against $3.17B in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Priced at 111x earnings—high expectations leave less room for a lukewarm quarter.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
BLMN last traded at $10.69 (+7.01% on volume of 2,726,037 shares), positioning the stock +15.32% above its 50-day simple moving average ($9.27) and +35.66% above its 200-day simple moving average ($7.88). Across its 52-week range of $5.19 to $12.63, BLMN sits at the 73.9% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 63.3 (BULLISH MOMENTUM) and an implied next-earnings move of ±12.5% ($9.35 to $12.03).
Why BLMN Stock surged +7.01% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash. Stretched risk/reward at 111x P/E (11% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.
To protect compute speed and zero-delay Cboe BZX data quality for active members, our current $9.95/month Roarable Pro cohort is 100% full. Join the priority waiting list below and we will notify you the moment the next batch of Pro accounts opens (and lock in your $9.95/mo rate).
Link your personal ChatGPT, Claude Desktop, or Cursor via Roarable's Model Context Protocol (`mcp.roarable.com`) to query all 5,289 stocks, inspect Butterfly supply chains, and trade your `$100K Arena` account.
Interrogate SEC 10-K/10-Q filings on demand and ask custom ticker, valuation, or short-thesis questions directly to any of our 8 specialized AI Quant Analysts.
Command our AI agents to sort and sift 5,289 stocks by custom formulas, follow multi-indicator technical & cash-flow setups, and send you instant Email/SMS breakout & downgrade alerts.
Unlock sub-second Cboe BZX streaming quotes, pre-market/after-hours delta scanners, instant SEC Form 4 insider cluster alerts, and unlimited portfolio stress-testing.
All 8 Roarable Analysts (Mara Quenwick, Devon Kess, Gideon Vane, Eliott Vance, Sorel Thorne, Corin Hale, Tessa Rane, and Felix Orven) are proprietary AI Quant Analysts and automated algorithmic specialists — not human financial advisors, fiduciaries, or registered broker-dealers. While one-to-many daily stock ratings and briefings are free, custom 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alert agents, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections consume dedicated per-user compute and require a $9.95/month Roarable Pro membership. All AI outputs are for educational and research purposes only and never constitute individualized investment advice.
Enter your Google email below for instant 1-step account activation, daily A–E stock rating alerts, and immediate access to your $100,000.00 Paper Trading Arena account.