ROARABLE // PRO
GLOBAL DESKS // NYC --:--:-- NYSE
US TAPE
ROAR ▸

BALY // Bally's Corporation

DES <GO> NYSE RQD COCKPIT → CIK 0001747079 ↗
Consumer Discretionary • Hotels/Resorts
$13.50 ▲ +0.03 (+0.22%)
MKT CAP: $681.3M • VOL: 70.2K
BALY // ROARABLE RATING & 5-PILLAR RQD CONFIDENCE 02:00 EST DETERMINISTIC ENGINE
PRIOR: RQD 24/100 [E] (+0 PT) • UNCHANGED
ROARABLE E
RQD CONFIDENCE
24 / 100 +0D
5 X 20-PT QUANT PILLARS
E 0 D 35 C 59 B 70 A 86+
Roarable Strong Sell — Forensic Risk / Avoid
01 MASSIVE / SEC XBRL
Forensic Fundamentals
2 / 20
CRITICAL
FCF -108.4% vs NI -23.5% • ROIC-WACC -10.9% • Z 0.2
02 INSTITUTIONAL TAPE & TREND
Whale & Options Flow
9 / 20
WARNING
52W RANGE 56% • VS 200D +1.9% • RSI 51.9
03 SEC XBRL CAPITAL ALLOCATION
Insider & Capital Conviction
[LOCKED] FLAGGED
UNLOCK BELOW TO REVEAL
04 FRED 90D r-MATRIX
Macro Regime Fit
9 / 20
WARNING
NEUTRAL • r(10Y)=+0.00 (+23bp) • r(OAS)=+0.00
05 10-K REDLINE AUDIT
Forensic 10-K Risk
[LOCKED] FLAGGED
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ALERT

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BALY // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +1.35%▼ DESCENDING CHANNEL
2026-10-30O $13.31H $13.69L $13.31C $13.50VOL 92.2K
RES: $14.22SUP: $7.17SMA50: $11.94SMA200: $12.92
$16.14$14.06$11.97$9.88$7.79RES $14.22SUP $7.17$13.502026-04-302026-06-152026-07-312026-09-162026-10-30
BALY // INSTITUTIONAL BULL VS. BEAR FORENSIC DEBATE
UNDERWEIGHT CONVICTION: 35/100
BEAR 0
100 BULL

Bally's Corporation (BALY) exhibits 45.0% gross margins and -4.7% return on invested capital within Consumer Discretionary (Hotels/Resorts), balanced against a 24.0x enterprise multiple and 4.8% implied options volatility.

▲ INSTITUTIONAL BULL THESIS (LONG)
01. Operating Leverage & Capital Efficiency Moat

Sustained 45.0% gross profitability converts into -11.4% operating margin and -4.7% ROIC, outpacing sector cost of capital.

ROIC: -4.7% // GM: 45.0%
02. Top-Line Expansion & Cash Conversion

YoY revenue trajectory of -0.6% paired with 2.80% free cash flow yield supports self-funded R&D and capital return.

REV YOY: -0.6% // FCF YLD: 2.80%
03. Balance Sheet Solvency & Forensic Quality

Altman Z-Score of 0.20 and Piotroski F-Score of 1/9 indicate low near-term refinancing stress.

ALTMAN Z: 0.20 // F-SCORE: 1/9
▼ INSTITUTIONAL BEAR THESIS (SHORT / RISK)
01. Multiple Compression & Duration Sensitivity

Trading at 24.0x trailing P/E (— Fwd P/E) leaves valuation vulnerable if real 10Y TIPS yields spike.

P/E: 24.0x // EV/EBITDA: —
02. Options Skew & Event Volatility Risk

Options market prices a ±5.2% implied move with a 0.85 put/call ratio around $13.50 max pain.

IMPL MOVE: ±5.2% // P/C: 0.85
03. Competitive Margin & CapEx Cycle Pressure

Elevated industry capital intensity and customer concentration in Hotels/Resorts require continuous execution to defend -28.8% net margins.

NET MARGIN: -28.8% // D/E: 4.49x
KEY CATALYST // Upcoming 10-Q/10-K XBRL margin progression, guidance revision vs — forward consensus, and institutional 13F positioning.
MACRO REGIME // Monitor US 10Y Real Yields (DFII10) and High-Yield Credit Spreads (OAS) for beta-adjusted multiple impact (Beta 1.10).
FORM 4 & 13F FLOW OPEN OWN <GO>
FILER SIDE $ VALUE
INSPECT FULL OWNERSHIP LEDGER IN OWN <GO>
UNUSUAL OPTIONS TAPE OPEN OPT <GO>
STRIKE / EXP TYPE PREMIUM
INSPECT GEX & CHAIN IN OPT <GO>
KEY VALUATION & PROFITABILITY RATIOS XBRL FA <GO>
TRAILING P/E —
FORWARD P/E —
EV / EBITDA —
FCF YIELD —
GROSS MARGIN —
OPERATING MARGIN -11.4%
NET MARGIN -28.8%
ROIC % -4.7%
REV GROWTH YOY -0.6%
DILUTED EPS TTM —
DEBT / EQUITY 4.49x
DIVIDEND YIELD 0.00%
RSI-14 MOMENTUM 55.2
5Y EQUITY BETA —
FRED MACRO SENSITIVITY (PEARSON r) ECST <GO>
MACRO CORRELATION CALIBRATION ACTIVE BELOW.
FRED MACRO REGIME STRESS-TEST SIMULATOR // BALYPEARSON R VARIANCE ENGINE
01 // SELECT FEDERAL RESERVE & CREDIT SHOCK SCENARIO
02 // POSITION NOTIONAL EXPOSURE
HEADLINE STRESS SCORE
75/100SEVERE DRAWDOWN PRESSURE
PRIMARY FACTOR EXPOSURE
DFII10 // -0.61 r
Latest: 2.08%
EST. DIRECTIONAL MOVE
-8.50%
Implied Px: $12.35
EST. DOLLAR VARIANCE
-$4,248
On $50,000 Notional
[LOCKED // MULTI-FACTOR DRAWDOWN HEDGE & MACRO TRIGGER ALERT]

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HEAD-TO-HEAD PEER COMPARISONS COMP <GO>