Bally's Corporation (BALY) — RQD Stock Rating Cockpit

$13.50 +0.22% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot)

Bally's Corporation (BALY) carries a Roarable Rating of E (Strong Sell) with 24/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE E • RED ALERT Cap $681.3M
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERRED ALERT • E
025507510024
3-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw E · Rk E
Cash (3)Whales (9)SEC (3)Macro (9)CEO (3)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-15.3% Base Target
$21 Bull$11 Base$9 Bear
📬 FREE BALY RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for BALY)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±9.2%
RSI-14 MOMENTUMBULLISH MOMENTUM
55.230 Oversold · 70 Hot
ALTMAN-Z SHIELDDISTRESS RISK (<1.8)
0.20>3.0 Fortress Safe
PIOTROSKI F-SCOREWEAK QUALITY (1–4)
1 / 99-Pt Accounting
52-WEEK LASER RANGE45% OF RANGE
L: $8$13.50H: $20
1. Money & Cash Health● WEAK
Are profits real cash in the bank?

Weak cash conversion or heavy valuation strain compared to actual cash earned.

Factor Grade: ERQD 2 / 20
2. Big Money & Insiders● TRIMMING
Are whales & executives buying or selling?

Insiders and big institutional desks have been trimming shares rather than stepping up to buy.

Factor Grade: ERQD 12 / 40
3. Hidden Risks & Market Weather● WARNING
SEC fine-print scan & interest-rate fit

High sensitivity to tight interest rates or new risk warnings added to recent SEC annual filings.

Factor Grade: ERQD 10 / 40
MULTI-MODEL JEV QUANT JURY DELIBERATION

3-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning on BALY

Cash & Moat Bull AI
ROIC & Free Cash Flow Model
BEARISH (15)

-4.7% ROIC with 42.0% gross margin and 2.80% FCF yield.

SEC Forensic Auditor AI
10-K Accruals & Altman-Z Guard
BEARISH (18)

Altman-Z 0.20 and Piotroski 1/9 pass balance-sheet audit.

Whale & Macro Hawk AI
Options Skew, 13F & Fed NetLiq
BEARISH (35)

12/40 institutional & smart-money positioning score with 9/20 macro alignment.

Bull Case: Why Buyers Like BALY
  • ✓Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity.
Bear Case: What Could Go Wrong
  • !Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.
  • !Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.
  • !Recent SEC filings added new risk-factor disclosures that warrant keeping an eye on margins.
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring BALY)

  • ✓Walkthrough of BALY's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
  • ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
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BALY // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +1.35%▼ DESCENDING CHANNEL
2026-10-30O $13.31H $13.69L $13.31C $13.50VOL 92.2K
RES: $14.22SUP: $7.17SMA50: $11.94SMA200: $12.92
$16.14$14.06$11.97$9.88$7.79RES $14.22SUP $7.17$13.502026-04-302026-06-152026-07-312026-09-162026-10-30
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

BALY Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. -0.6% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on BALY today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for BALY. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for BALY today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (BALY)

Consumer Discretionary Rank #991 of 1011 ⚔️ HBNB vs BALY Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Consumer Discretionary Peer Comparison (BALY vs. HBNB, HCMA, TH, CVEO)

Industry: Hotels/Resorts (35 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Bally's Corporation (BALY) ranks #991 by composite RQD confidence (24/100, grade E) and #558 by equity capitalization ($681.3M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, BALY leads on earnings valuation at N/A trailing P/E, while CVEO leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 0.9% ROIC and 23.7% gross margin. HCMA currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 56/100 (D+) compared with BALY at 24/100 (E).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
BALY ACTIVE
Bally's Corporation
E 24/100 — — -4.7% +0.22% $681.3M Benchmark Subject
HBNB
Hotel101 Global Holdings Corp. (Class A)
D 48/100 — — — -5.09% $1.09B /hbnb-vs-baly →
HCMA
HCM III Acquisition Corp. Class A Ordinary Share
D+ 56/100 — — — 0.00% $400.5M /hcma-vs-baly →
TH
Target Hospitality Corp.
D 48/100 — 15.5% -7.2% +0.92% $1.42B /th-vs-baly →
CVEO
Civeo Corporation (Canada)
D- 42/100 — 23.7% 0.9% +1.09% $315.8M /cveo-vs-baly →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001747079

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Bally's Corporation (BALY) reported GAAP revenue of $2.44B (-0.6% vs. FY2024 revenue of $2.45B , and -0.5% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$701.1M, operating cash flow of -$11.0M, and free cash flow of -$178.9M (-108.4% YoY). On the balance sheet, BALY closed FY2025 with $11.23B in total assets against $4.46B in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 0.20, Piotroski F-Score: 1/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $2.44B -$701.1M -$11.0M -$178.9M $11.23B $4.46B
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $2.45B -$567.8M $114.0M -$85.8M $5.86B $3.30B
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $2.45B -$187.5M $188.6M $188.6M — —

3. BALY Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is BALY stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-01, Bally's Corporation (NYSE: BALY) is rated E (Strong Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 24/100 at a spot price of $13.50 (+0.22% 1D, market cap $681.3M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 3/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 9/20, Executive Insider Alignment 3/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 9/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 3/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, BALY ranks #991 in composite RQD confidence.

How does BALY compare to HBNB and HCMA in the Consumer Discretionary sector?

Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Hotels/Resorts), BALY carries a Roarable E (24/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of -4.7%. By comparison, HBNB (Hotel101 Global Holdings Corp. (Class A)) holds a D grade (48/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $1.09B) and HCMA (HCM III Acquisition Corp. Class A Ordinary Share) posts a D+ grade (56/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $400.5M). Among the 5-stock peer group, BALY leads on earnings multiple (N/A) while CVEO leads on capital efficiency (0.9% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for BALY?

Per BALY's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001747079), Bally's Corporation generated $2.44B in revenue (-0.6% YoY), -$701.1M in net income, and -$178.9M in free cash flow against $11.23B in total assets and $4.46B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is BALY trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

BALY last traded at $13.50 (+0.22% on volume of 70,230 shares), positioning the stock +13.07% above its 50-day simple moving average ($11.94) and +4.49% above its 200-day simple moving average ($12.92). Across its 52-week range of $8.44 to $19.60, BALY sits at the 45.3% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 55.2 (BULLISH MOMENTUM) and an implied next-earnings move of ±9.2% ($12.26 to $14.74).

BALY Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

Should I buy, hold, or sell BALY stock right now?

Bally's Corporation (BALY) currently earns a Roarable Rating of E (Strong Sell — SELL) with 24/100 RQD Confidence. Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (-5% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.

What is BALY's 12-month price target and RQD AI Jury consensus?

BALY's 12-month base price target is $11.43 (range $8.92 to $20.58), backed by transparent SEC XBRL cash-flow, Form 4 insider, and CBOE options flow analysis.

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