Stock Ratings / Consumer Discretionary / CVEO

PUSA (39) HCMA (56) MSC (42) BALY (24) ⌘ Pro Terminal →

Civeo Corporation (Canada) (CVEO) — RQD Stock Rating Cockpit

$30.55 +1.09% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $30.55

Civeo Corporation (Canada) (CVEO) carries a Roarable Rating of D- (Sell) with 42/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (42/100 · D-) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows →

ROARABLE D- • SELL / AVOID Cap $315.8M

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

EXT / AFTER-HRS: $30.55 (+0.01%)🧬 Dilution Drag (+1.92% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 6/20 (E) • 0.3% FCF Margin

Verify 90D Bucket Audit →

📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (42/100 · D-) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-7.0% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).

Audit Bucket Track Record →

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D-

3-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D- · Rk D

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE-7.2% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for CVEO)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±9.1%

Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (42/100 Composite)

🔍 WHY CVEO SCORES 42/100 (D-) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag

▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+13/20 pts (31% of score)

FRED Regime × Technicals: 56% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 69.4 (BULLISH MOMENTUM)

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Whale & Options Positioning+12/20 pts (29% of score)

20D Institutional Volume Accumulation (±9.1% realized swing band)

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution5/20 pts (-15 pt drag)

Dilution Drag (+1.92% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 15 pts from alignment

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current

Q1 (-3Q)

Grade C-$32.12-8.7% Next Q

Q2 (-2Q)

Grade D$29.33-4.7% Next Q

Q3 (-1Q)

Grade D$27.95+9.3% Next Q

Current

Grade D-$30.55-7% Hist 90D α

Trajectory: C- (50) → D- (42)Full Audit →

⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a CVEO Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While CVEO currently carries a cautious 42/100 (D-) rating due to Insider Conviction & Share Dilution (5/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($32.33) and Max Pain ($32.08) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $39.96.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Dilution Drag (+1.92% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $CVEO• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite

Contract: “CVEO Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”

YES 42%NO 58%Trade / Inspect Odds →

RSI-14 MOMENTUMBULLISH MOMENTUM

69.430 Oversold · 70 Hot

ALTMAN-Z SHIELDDISTRESS RISK (<1.8)

0.20>3.0 Fortress Safe

PIOTROSKI F-SCORESOLID CORE (5–6)

5 / 99-Pt Accounting

52-WEEK LASER RANGE56% OF RANGE

L: $21$30.55H: $38

1. Money & Cash Health● WEAK

Are profits real cash in the bank?

Weak cash conversion or heavy valuation strain compared to actual cash earned.

Factor Grade: ERQD 6 / 20

2. Big Money & Insiders● TRIMMING

Are whales & executives buying or selling?

Insiders and big institutional desks have been trimming shares rather than stepping up to buy.

Factor Grade: D-RQD 17 / 40

3. Hidden Risks & Market Weather● WARNING

SEC fine-print scan & interest-rate fit

High sensitivity to tight interest rates or new risk warnings added to recent SEC annual filings.

Factor Grade: DRQD 19 / 40

MULTI-MODEL JEV QUANT JURY DELIBERATION

3-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning on CVEO

Cash & Moat Bull AI

ROIC & Free Cash Flow Model

BEARISH (30)

0.9% ROIC with 23.7% gross margin and 0.68% FCF yield.

SEC Forensic Auditor AI

10-K Accruals & Altman-Z Guard

BEARISH (30)

Altman-Z 0.20 and Piotroski 5/9 pass balance-sheet audit.

Whale & Macro Hawk AI

Options Skew, 13F & Fed NetLiq

BEARISH (50)

17/40 institutional & smart-money positioning score with 13/20 macro alignment.

Bull Case: Why Buyers Like CVEO

✓Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity.

Bear Case: What Could Go Wrong

!Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.
!Recent SEC filings added new risk-factor disclosures that warrant keeping an eye on margins.

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring CVEO)

✓Walkthrough of CVEO's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks

RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED

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Join Founding VIP Waitlist (No Card Required) →$100K Arena

CVEO // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -4.23%📐 HORIZONTAL RANGE

2026-10-30O $35.61H $38.06L $30.55C $30.55VOL 1.09M

RES: $34.66SUP: $26.71SMA50: $32.33SMA200: $31.08

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

CVEO Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 CVEO Butterfly Map → + Track CVEO →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)

21.9%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. -6.3% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on CVEO today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for CVEO. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for CVEO today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (CVEO)

Consumer Discretionary Rank #788 of 1011 ⚔️ PUSA vs CVEO Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Consumer Discretionary Peer Comparison (CVEO vs. PUSA, HCMA, MSC, BALY)

Industry: Hotels/Resorts (35 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Civeo Corporation (Canada) (CVEO) ranks #788 by composite RQD confidence (42/100, grade D-) and #641 by equity capitalization ($315.8M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, CVEO leads on earnings valuation at N/A trailing P/E, while MSC leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 2.3% ROIC and — gross margin. HCMA currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 56/100 (D+) compared with CVEO at 42/100 (D-).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
CVEO ACTIVE Civeo Corporation (Canada)	D-	42/100	—	23.7%	0.9%	+1.09%	$315.8M	Benchmark Subject
PUSA Powerus Corporation	D-	39/100	—	—	-22.8%	+0.56%	$305.6M	/pusa-vs-cveo →
HCMA HCM III Acquisition Corp. Class A Ordinary Share	D+	56/100	—	—	—	0.00%	$400.5M	/hcma-vs-cveo →
MSC Studio City International Holdings Limited each representing four (Class A)	D-	42/100	—	—	2.3%	-0.63%	$165.4M	/msc-vs-cveo →
BALY Bally's Corporation	E	24/100	—	—	-4.7%	+0.22%	$681.3M	/baly-vs-cveo →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001590584

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Civeo Corporation (Canada) (CVEO) reported GAAP revenue of $638.8M (-6.3% vs. FY2024 revenue of $682.1M , and -8.8% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$20.1M, operating cash flow of $22.3M, and free cash flow of $2.1M (-96.3% YoY). On the balance sheet, CVEO closed FY2025 with $477.4M in total assets against $182.8M in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 0.20, Piotroski F-Score: 5/9).

Fiscal Period	Filing Date	Revenue	Net Income	Operating Cash Flow	Free Cash Flow	Total Assets	Total Debt
FY2025 (FY)	2025-12-31	$638.8M	-$20.1M	$22.3M	$2.1M	$477.4M	$182.8M
FY2024 (FY)	2024-12-31	$682.1M	-$17.1M	$83.5M	$57.4M	$405.1M	$43.3M
FY2023 (FY)	2023-12-31	$700.8M	$30.2M	$96.6M	$96.6M	—	—

3. CVEO Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is CVEO stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-01, Civeo Corporation (Canada) (NYSE: CVEO) is rated D- (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 42/100 at a spot price of $30.55 (+1.09% 1D, market cap $315.8M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 6/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 12/20, Executive Insider Alignment 6/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 13/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 5/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, CVEO ranks #788 in composite RQD confidence.

How does CVEO compare to PUSA and HCMA in the Consumer Discretionary sector?

Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Hotels/Resorts), CVEO carries a Roarable D- (42/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 23.7%, and ROIC of 0.9%. By comparison, PUSA (Powerus Corporation) holds a D- grade (39/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -22.8%, cap $305.6M) and HCMA (HCM III Acquisition Corp. Class A Ordinary Share) posts a D+ grade (56/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $400.5M). Among the 5-stock peer group, CVEO leads on earnings multiple (N/A) while MSC leads on capital efficiency (2.3% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for CVEO?

Per CVEO's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001590584), Civeo Corporation (Canada) generated $638.8M in revenue (-6.3% YoY), -$20.1M in net income, and $2.1M in free cash flow against $477.4M in total assets and $182.8M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is CVEO trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

CVEO last traded at $30.55 (+1.09% on volume of 162,656 shares), positioning the stock -5.51% below its 50-day simple moving average ($32.33) and -1.71% below its 200-day simple moving average ($31.08). Across its 52-week range of $20.94 to $38.06, CVEO sits at the 56.1% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 69.4 (BULLISH MOMENTUM) and an implied next-earnings move of ±9.1% ($27.77 to $33.33).

CVEO Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

Should I buy, hold, or sell CVEO stock right now?

Civeo Corporation (Canada) (CVEO) currently earns a Roarable Rating of D- (Sell — SELL) with 42/100 RQD Confidence. Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (1% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.

What is CVEO's 12-month price target and RQD AI Jury consensus?

CVEO's 12-month base price target is $28.35 (range $22.11 to $39.96), backed by transparent SEC XBRL cash-flow, Form 4 insider, and CBOE options flow analysis.

Direct Sub-Reports: CVEO RQD Cockpit CVEO 12M Forecast CVEO Earnings & Move CVEO Dividends & DRIP CVEO Insiders & 13F CVEO Whale Options CVEO Profit Sankey CVEO News & Why