Stock Ratings / Consumer Discretionary / MSC

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Studio City International Holdings Limited each representing four (Class A) (MSC) — RQD Stock Rating Cockpit

Q: What is MSC's 12-month price target and RQD AI Jury consensus?

MSC's 12-month base price target is $0.73 (range $0.57 to $4.4), backed by transparent SEC XBRL cash-flow, Form 4 insider, and CBOE options flow analysis.

$0.79 -0.63% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $0.79

Studio City International Holdings Limited each representing four (Class A) (MSC) carries a Roarable Rating of D- (Sell) with 42/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (42/100 · D-) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows →

ROARABLE D- • SELL / AVOID Cap $165.4M

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

EXT / AFTER-HRS: $0.79 (-0.30%)🧬 Disciplined Float (+0.72% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 7/20 (D-) • 30.3% FCF Margin

Verify 90D Bucket Audit →

📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (42/100 · D-) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-7.0% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).

Audit Bucket Track Record →

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D-

3-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D- · Rk D-

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE-7.6% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for MSC)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±12.5%

Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (42/100 Composite)

🔍 WHY MSC SCORES 42/100 (D-) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag

▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Whale & Options Positioning+13/20 pts (31% of score)

20D Institutional Volume Accumulation (±12.5% realized swing band)

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+11/20 pts (26% of score)

FRED Regime × Technicals: 2% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 30.2 (OVERSOLD (<32))

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution5/20 pts (-15 pt drag)

Disciplined Float (+0.72% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 15 pts from alignment

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current

Q1 (-3Q)

Grade C-$1.00-2% Next Q

Q2 (-2Q)

Grade D$0.98-19.4% Next Q

Q3 (-1Q)

Grade D$0.79+0% Next Q

Current

Grade D-$0.79-7% Hist 90D α

Trajectory: C- (50) → D- (42)Full Audit →

⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a MSC Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While MSC currently carries a cautious 42/100 (D-) rating due to Insider Conviction & Share Dilution (5/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($1.19) and Max Pain ($0.83) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $4.40.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Disciplined Float (+0.72% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $MSC• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite

Contract: “MSC Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”

YES 42%NO 58%Trade / Inspect Odds →

RSI-14 MOMENTUMOVERSOLD (<32)

30.230 Oversold · 70 Hot

ALTMAN-Z SHIELDDISTRESS RISK (<1.8)

0.20>3.0 Fortress Safe

PIOTROSKI F-SCORESOLID CORE (5–6)

5 / 99-Pt Accounting

52-WEEK LASER RANGE2% OF RANGE

L: $1$0.79H: $4

1. Money & Cash Health● WEAK

Are profits real cash in the bank?

Weak cash conversion or heavy valuation strain compared to actual cash earned.

Factor Grade: D-RQD 7 / 20

2. Big Money & Insiders● TRIMMING

Are whales & executives buying or selling?

Insiders and big institutional desks have been trimming shares rather than stepping up to buy.

Factor Grade: DRQD 18 / 40

3. Hidden Risks & Market Weather● WARNING

SEC fine-print scan & interest-rate fit

High sensitivity to tight interest rates or new risk warnings added to recent SEC annual filings.

Factor Grade: D-RQD 17 / 40

MULTI-MODEL JEV QUANT JURY DELIBERATION

3-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning on MSC

Cash & Moat Bull AI

ROIC & Free Cash Flow Model

BEARISH (35)

2.3% ROIC with 42.0% gross margin and 2.80% FCF yield.

SEC Forensic Auditor AI

10-K Accruals & Altman-Z Guard

BEARISH (30)

Altman-Z 0.20 and Piotroski 5/9 pass balance-sheet audit.

Whale & Macro Hawk AI

Options Skew, 13F & Fed NetLiq

BEARISH (48)

18/40 institutional & smart-money positioning score with 11/20 macro alignment.

Bull Case: Why Buyers Like MSC

✓Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity.

Bear Case: What Could Go Wrong

!Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.
!Recent SEC filings added new risk-factor disclosures that warrant keeping an eye on margins.

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring MSC)

✓Walkthrough of MSC's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks

RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED

Want Custom AI PineScript / Python Indicators & Priority Rating-Change Alerts?

Join Founding VIP Waitlist (No Card Required) →$100K Arena

MSC // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -66.38%▼ DESCENDING CHANNEL

2026-10-30O $0.79H $0.86L $0.77C $0.79VOL 22.3K

RES: $2.85SUP: $0.32SMA50: $1.19SMA200: $2.15

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

MSC Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 MSC Butterfly Map → + Track MSC →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)

28.5%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +8.7% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on MSC today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for MSC. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for MSC today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (MSC)

Consumer Discretionary Rank #794 of 1011 ⚔️ GHG vs MSC Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Consumer Discretionary Peer Comparison (MSC vs. GHG, PUSA, CVEO, HCMA)

Industry: Hotels/Resorts (35 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Studio City International Holdings Limited each representing four (Class A) (MSC) ranks #794 by composite RQD confidence (42/100, grade D-) and #718 by equity capitalization ($165.4M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, GHG leads on earnings valuation at 4.2x trailing P/E, while GHG leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 85.0% ROIC and 34.9% gross margin. GHG currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 64/100 (C) compared with MSC at 42/100 (D-).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
MSC ACTIVE Studio City International Holdings Limited each representing four (Class A)	D-	42/100	—	—	2.3%	-0.63%	$165.4M	Benchmark Subject
GHG GreenTree Hospitality Group Ltd. each representing one Class A ordinary share	C	64/100	4.2x	34.9%	85.0%	+2.52%	$99.9M	/ghg-vs-msc →
PUSA Powerus Corporation	D-	39/100	—	—	-22.8%	+0.56%	$305.6M	/pusa-vs-msc →
CVEO Civeo Corporation (Canada)	D-	42/100	—	23.7%	0.9%	+1.09%	$315.8M	/cveo-vs-msc →
HCMA HCM III Acquisition Corp. Class A Ordinary Share	D+	56/100	—	—	—	0.00%	$400.5M	/hcma-vs-msc →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001713334

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Studio City International Holdings Limited each representing four (Class A) (MSC) reported GAAP revenue of $694.6M (+8.7% vs. FY2024 revenue of $639.1M , and +55.9% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$58.8M, operating cash flow of $210.3M, and free cash flow of $210.3M (+10.8% YoY). On the balance sheet, MSC closed FY2025 with $2.80B in total assets against $2.02B in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 0.20, Piotroski F-Score: 5/9).

Fiscal Period	Filing Date	Revenue	Net Income	Operating Cash Flow	Free Cash Flow	Total Assets	Total Debt
FY2025 (FY)	2025-12-31	$694.6M	-$58.8M	$210.3M	$210.3M	$2.80B	$2.02B
FY2024 (FY)	2024-12-31	$639.1M	-$96.7M	$189.9M	$189.9M	$2.99B	$2.14B
FY2023 (FY)	2023-12-31	$445.5M	-$133.5M	-$18.9M	-$18.9M	—	—

3. MSC Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is MSC stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-01, Studio City International Holdings Limited each representing four (Class A) (NYSE: MSC) is rated D- (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 42/100 at a spot price of $0.79 (-0.63% 1D, market cap $165.4M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 7/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 13/20, Executive Insider Alignment 6/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 11/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 5/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, MSC ranks #794 in composite RQD confidence.

How does MSC compare to GHG and PUSA in the Consumer Discretionary sector?

Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Hotels/Resorts), MSC carries a Roarable D- (42/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 2.3%. By comparison, GHG (GreenTree Hospitality Group Ltd. each representing one Class A ordinary share) holds a C grade (64/100 RQD, P/E 4.2x, ROIC 85.0%, cap $99.9M) and PUSA (Powerus Corporation) posts a D- grade (39/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -22.8%, cap $305.6M). Among the 5-stock peer group, GHG leads on earnings multiple (4.2x) while GHG leads on capital efficiency (85.0% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for MSC?

Per MSC's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001713334), Studio City International Holdings Limited each representing four (Class A) generated $694.6M in revenue (+8.7% YoY), -$58.8M in net income, and $210.3M in free cash flow against $2.80B in total assets and $2.02B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is MSC trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

MSC last traded at $0.79 (-0.63% on volume of 4,110 shares), positioning the stock -33.61% below its 50-day simple moving average ($1.19) and -63.26% below its 200-day simple moving average ($2.15). Across its 52-week range of $0.75 to $4.19, MSC sits at the 1.2% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 30.2 (OVERSOLD (<32)) and an implied next-earnings move of ±12.5% ($1.00 to $0.89).

MSC Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

Should I buy, hold, or sell MSC stock right now?

Studio City International Holdings Limited each representing four (Class A) (MSC) currently earns a Roarable Rating of D- (Sell — SELL) with 42/100 RQD Confidence. Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (2% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.

What is MSC's 12-month price target and RQD AI Jury consensus?

MSC's 12-month base price target is $0.73 (range $0.57 to $4.4), backed by transparent SEC XBRL cash-flow, Form 4 insider, and CBOE options flow analysis.

Direct Sub-Reports: MSC RQD Cockpit MSC 12M Forecast MSC Earnings & Move MSC Dividends & DRIP MSC Insiders & 13F MSC Whale Options MSC Profit Sankey MSC News & Why