Studio City International Holdings Limited each representing four (Class A) (MSC) Options Positioning, Max Pain & Unusual Sweeps

$0.99 +25.59% NYSE β€’ Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $1.03

Studio City International Holdings Limited each representing four (Class A) (MSC) carries a Roarable Rating of E (Strong Sell) with 28/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE E β€’ RED ALERT Cap $165.3M
πŸ“€ Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
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πŸ€– Mara Quenwick β€’ AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is MSC stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
β–Ό

As of 2026-11-03, Studio City International Holdings Limited each representing four (Class A) (NYSE: MSC) is rated E (Strong Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 28/100 at a spot price of $0.99 (+25.59% 1D, market cap $165.3M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 7/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 3/20, Executive Insider Alignment 6/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 7/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 5/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, MSC ranks #905 in composite RQD confidence.

βœ“ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
πŸ€– Ellis Vennor β€’ AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does MSC compare to PUSA and GHG in the Consumer Discretionary sector?
β–Ό

Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Hotels/Resorts), MSC carries a Roarable E (28/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of β€”, and ROIC of 2.3%. By comparison, PUSA (Powerus Corporation) holds a E grade (26/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -22.8%, cap $285.3M) and GHG (GreenTree Hospitality Group Ltd. each representing one Class A ordinary share) posts a D grade (50/100 RQD, P/E 4.2x, ROIC 85.0%, cap $94.9M). Among the 5-stock peer group, GHG leads on earnings multiple (4.2x) while GHG leads on capital efficiency (85.0% ROIC).

βœ“ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
πŸ€– Gideon Ashmere β€’ AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for MSC?
β–Ό

Per MSC's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001713334), Studio City International Holdings Limited each representing four (Class A) generated $694.6M in revenue (+8.7% YoY), -$58.8M in net income, and $210.3M in free cash flow against $2.80B in total assets and $2.02B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

βœ“ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
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INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
πŸ›‘οΈ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $1.03 (+4.42%)🧬 Disciplined Float (+0.72% YoY Shares)βš™οΈ Cash Engine: 7/20 (D-) β€’ 30.3% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit β†’
πŸ“Š Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (28/100 Β· E) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-10.0% avg 90D alpha vs SPY β€’ 29.0% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record β†’
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERRED ALERT β€’ E
025507510028
3-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) β€” not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw E Β· Rk E
Cash (7)Whales (3)SEC (6)Macro (7)CEO (5)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-13.1% Base Target
$4 Bull$1 Base$1 Bear
πŸ“¬ FREE MSC RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: β€” (No Active Options Snapshot on file for MSC)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: Β±12.5%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (28/100 Composite)
πŸ” WHY MSC SCORES 28/100 (E) β€” TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
β–² #1 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+7/20 pts (25% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 30.3% FCF Margin ($210.3M FCF) & 52% Gross Margin

β–² #2 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+7/20 pts (25% of score)

FRED Regime Γ— Technicals: 7% of 52W Range β€’ RSI-14 at 31.1 (OVERSOLD (<32))

β–Ό #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning4/20 pts (-16 pt drag)

Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-16 pts vs max)

πŸ“ˆ PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 β†’ Q2 β†’ Q3 β†’ Current
Q1 (-3Q)
20
Grade E$0.95-11.6% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
23
Grade E$0.84-6% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
25
Grade E$0.79+25.3% Next Q
Current
28
Grade E$0.99-10% Hist 90D Ξ±
Trajectory: E (20) β†’ E (28)Full Audit β†’
βš”οΈ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

βš”οΈ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a MSC Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk β†’

While MSC currently carries a cautious 28/100 (E) rating due to Whale & Options Positioning (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

πŸš€ Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity.

πŸš€ Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($1.14) and Max Pain ($1.04) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $4.40.

πŸš€ Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Disciplined Float (+0.72% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $MSCβ€’ $2.4M Crowd Pool β€’ Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: β€œMSC Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
CALL VS. PUT WHALE SHARE
β€” (No Active Options Snapshot)
Put/Call Ratio: β€” (No Active Options Snapshot)
MAX-PAIN EXPIRATION MAGNET
β€” (No Active Options Snapshot)
No active options chain max-pain snapshot on file
HISTORICAL 20D VOLATILITY SWING
Β±12.5%
Derived from 20D OHLCV bars (No Active Options Snapshot)

Active Strike Call vs. Put Concentration Ladder (MSC)

β€” (No Active Options Snapshot) β€” No unusual CBOE strike concentration anomalies recorded in the current database snapshot for MSC.

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Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring MSC)

  • βœ“Walkthrough of MSC's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • βœ“3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
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MSC // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -61.92%β–Ό DESCENDING CHANNEL
2026-11-03O $0.78H $0.99L $0.78C $0.99VOL 22.3K
RES: $2.84SUP: $0.29SMA50: $1.14SMA200: $2.12
$3.81$2.98$2.15$1.32$0.49RES $2.84SUP $0.29$0.992026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-182026-11-03
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

MSC Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
28.5%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +8.7% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on MSC today. View full Setup Ledger β†’

πŸ¦‹ Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph β†’

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for MSC. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for MSC today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk β†’
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT β€’ SEC EDGAR XBRL Γ— RQD PEER BENCHMARK

πŸ“Š Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (MSC)

Consumer Discretionary Rank #905 of 1011 βš”οΈ PUSA vs MSC Full Matrix β†’

1. Head-to-Head Consumer Discretionary Peer Comparison (MSC vs. PUSA, GHG, CVEO, HCMA)

Industry: Hotels/Resorts (35 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Studio City International Holdings Limited each representing four (Class A) (MSC) ranks #905 by composite RQD confidence (28/100, grade E) and #713 by equity capitalization ($165.3M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, GHG leads on earnings valuation at 4.2x trailing P/E, while GHG leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 85.0% ROIC and 34.9% gross margin. HCMA currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 58/100 (D+) compared with MSC at 28/100 (E).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
MSC ACTIVE
Studio City International Holdings Limited each representing four (Class A)
E 28/100 β€” β€” 2.3% +25.59% $165.3M Benchmark Subject
PUSA
Powerus Corporation
E 26/100 β€” β€” -22.8% -4.44% $285.3M /pusa-vs-msc β†’
GHG
GreenTree Hospitality Group Ltd. each representing one Class A ordinary share
D 50/100 4.2x 34.9% 85.0% +3.06% $94.9M /ghg-vs-msc β†’
CVEO
Civeo Corporation (Canada)
D 44/100 β€” 23.7% 0.9% +0.39% $371.8M /cveo-vs-msc β†’
HCMA
HCM III Acquisition Corp. Class A Ordinary Share
D+ 58/100 β€” β€” β€” 0.00% $400.5M /hcma-vs-msc β†’

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K β€’ FILED 2025-12-31 β€’ CIK 0001713334

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Studio City International Holdings Limited each representing four (Class A) (MSC) reported GAAP revenue of $694.6M (+8.7% vs. FY2024 revenue of $639.1M , and +55.9% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$58.8M, operating cash flow of $210.3M, and free cash flow of $210.3M (+10.8% YoY). On the balance sheet, MSC closed FY2025 with $2.80B in total assets against $2.02B in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 0.20, Piotroski F-Score: 5/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $694.6M -$58.8M $210.3M $210.3M $2.80B $2.02B
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $639.1M -$96.7M $189.9M $189.9M $2.99B $2.14B
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $445.5M -$133.5M -$18.9M -$18.9M β€” β€”

3. MSC Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

βœ“ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is MSC stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-03, Studio City International Holdings Limited each representing four (Class A) (NYSE: MSC) is rated E (Strong Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 28/100 at a spot price of $0.99 (+25.59% 1D, market cap $165.3M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 7/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 3/20, Executive Insider Alignment 6/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 7/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 5/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, MSC ranks #905 in composite RQD confidence.

How does MSC compare to PUSA and GHG in the Consumer Discretionary sector?

Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Hotels/Resorts), MSC carries a Roarable E (28/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of β€”, and ROIC of 2.3%. By comparison, PUSA (Powerus Corporation) holds a E grade (26/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -22.8%, cap $285.3M) and GHG (GreenTree Hospitality Group Ltd. each representing one Class A ordinary share) posts a D grade (50/100 RQD, P/E 4.2x, ROIC 85.0%, cap $94.9M). Among the 5-stock peer group, GHG leads on earnings multiple (4.2x) while GHG leads on capital efficiency (85.0% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for MSC?

Per MSC's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001713334), Studio City International Holdings Limited each representing four (Class A) generated $694.6M in revenue (+8.7% YoY), -$58.8M in net income, and $210.3M in free cash flow against $2.80B in total assets and $2.02B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is MSC trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

MSC last traded at $0.99 (+25.59% on volume of 106,174 shares), positioning the stock -13.16% below its 50-day simple moving average ($1.14) and -53.30% below its 200-day simple moving average ($2.12). Across its 52-week range of $0.75 to $4.19, MSC sits at the 7.0% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 31.1 (OVERSOLD (<32)) and an implied next-earnings move of Β±12.5% ($1.00 to $1.11).

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF β€’ RQD 28/100 (E) βœ“ STAGE-C NUMBER FIREWALL VERIFIED

MSC β€” Studio City International Holdings Limited each representing four (Class A): What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Engine: anthropic/claude-haiku-5.5
As of: 2026-11-02T15:42:19Z

1. Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

The stock scores 28 out of 100, graded E, with the verdict "Roarable Strong Sell β€” Forensic Risk / Avoid." The five pillars are: Fundamental Cash Engine at 7/20 (ROIC 2.3%; FCF yield 0%); Whale 13F Flow at 3/20 (institutional accumulation and options positioning); Insider Conviction at 5/20 (SEC Form 4 and Congressional PTR cluster flow); Macro Regime Fit at 7/20 (Beta 1.0; sector sensitivity); and Forensic Balance Sheet at 6/20 (Altman Z 0.2; Piotroski F 5/9; Debt/Equity 3.86). Taken together, the pillars indicate weak cash returns on capital, the weakest signal in institutional positioning, and a balance sheet flagged for forensic risk. The valuation tradeoff is that the EV/EBITDA of 29.7 is elevated relative to the company's low ROIC and negative net margin. The rating is an analytical summary of the source data and not personalized financial advice.

2. Business Model, Unit Margins & SEC Financial Trajectory

. Its market capitalization is listed as $0.2B. β€” for specifics on products, customers, or revenue mix.

Operating margin is 10.1% and net margin is -8.5%, while gross margin is 0%. Per the market data, ROIC is 2.3%. Per the RQD rating, the Altman Z-Score is 0.2 and the Piotroski F-Score is 5/9, and Debt/Equity is 3.86. Reported debt remains large relative to reported cash across the periods shown.

3. Institutional Bull vs. Bear Thesis & Valuation Tradeoff

  • πŸ‚ Primary Bull Case: Operating income rose from $38.1M to $70.0M and reported free cash flow reached $210.3M in FY 2025. With Fundamental Cash Engine at 7/20 (ROIC 2.3%, FCF yield β€”) and Institutional Whale Flow at 3/20, sustained execution supports upside toward the top of the $0.75 – $4.19 52-week range.
  • 🐻 Primary Bear Case: The Altman Z-Score of 0.2 and Debt/Equity of 3.86 signal forensic balance-sheet risk alongside an E-grade RQD score. Investors must weigh current valuation and 29.7x EV/EBITDA against 10.1% operating margins and a 1.00 macro beta if sector demand softens.

4. 2nd-Order Butterfly Ripples & Key Questions to Watch

Operating in Hotels/Resorts (Consumer Discretionary), MSC carries a macro regime beta of 1.00 and gross margin of β€”.

  • Key Question #1: What is the EPS figure for any period, since every reported EPS value is N/A?
  • Key Question #2: How is the company's free cash flow reconciled with its low FCF yield of 0% and its debt load?
  • Key Question #3: How sensitive is MSC's β€” gross margin and equity valuation to Consumer Discretionary demand cycles and macro interest-rate shifts (Beta 1.00)?

MSC Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Studio City International Holdings Limited each representing four (Class A) (MSC) β€’ Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

πŸ’¬ Jump to MSC Debate Forum (3) ↓
πŸ”₯ THE ROAR PIT β€’ LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

MSC Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board β€” What's Your Call at $0.99?

πŸ‚ 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON MSC 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on MSC:
πŸ’‘ Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
BR BreakoutHunter Swing & Catalyst Trader πŸ‚ BULLISH 🎯 Target: $0.92 (+17.9%)
πŸ“Œ Pinned Debate

Operating income rose from $38.1M to $70.0M and reported free cash flow reached $210.3M in FY 2025.

Here is why I am bullish on MSC here at $0.78: Operating income rose from $38.1M to $70.0M and reported free cash flow reached $210.3M in FY 2025.. Compare MSC's 10.1% operating margin and 2.3% ROIC against the rest of Hotels/Resorts. As long as cash conversion holds up, dips toward $0.74 are getting bought.

VolSurface_Trader πŸ‚ BULL

Both sides have a point here β€” MSC's 6/20 balance sheet score keeps downside contained, so the real swing factor next earnings call is backlog and FCF conversion.

RE RedlineAuditor Accounting Quality Watch 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $0.63 (-19.2%)
Spot @ $0.78

The Altman Z-Score of 0.2 and Debt/Equity of 3.86 signal forensic balance-sheet risk alongside an E-grade RQD score.

Sitting on the sidelines or leaning short MSC above $0.78. The Altman Z-Score of 0.2 and Debt/Equity of 3.86 signal forensic balance-sheet risk alongside an E-grade RQD score.. Until Fundamental Cash Engine (7/20) and FCF yield (0.0%) inflect higher, upside is capped near $4.19.

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