MARKET WIREReuters • 3h ago
Iran's IRGC Navy says two tankers 'exploded' after hitting mines in Hormuz - ReutersIran's IRGC Navy says two tankers 'exploded' after hitting mines in Hormuz Reuters
Why BALY Stock advanced +0.22% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
$13.50 +0.22% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot)
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $13.48
Bally's Corporation (BALY) carries a Roarable Rating of E (Strong Sell) with 24/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.
ROARABLE E • RED ALERT
Cap $681.3M
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $13.48 (-0.15%)🧬 Dilution Drag (+1.28% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 3/20 (E) • 0% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (24/100 · E) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-10.9% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record →RQD QUANT TACHOMETERRED ALERT • E
3-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning
Cash
SEC
Whale
Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer
5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw E · Rk E
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-15.3% Base Target
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for BALY)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±9.2%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (24/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY BALY SCORES 24/100 (E) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Whale & Options Positioning+9/20 pts (38% of score)
20D Institutional Volume Accumulation (±9.2% realized swing band)
▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+9/20 pts (38% of score)
FRED Regime × Technicals: 45% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 55.2 (BULLISH MOMENTUM)
▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution4/20 pts (-16 pt drag)
Dilution Drag (+1.28% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 16 pts from alignment
📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)Grade E$13.94-6.6% Next Q
32
Q2 (-2Q)Grade E$13.02+6.5% Next Q
29
Q3 (-1Q)Grade E$13.86-2.6% Next Q
27
CurrentGrade E$13.50-10.9% Hist 90D α
24
Trajectory: E (32) → E (24)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER
⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a BALY Turnaround Squeeze
While BALY currently carries a cautious 24/100 (E) rating due to Insider Conviction & Share Dilution (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.
🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1
Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity.
🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2
Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($11.94) and Max Pain ($14.18) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $20.58.
🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3
Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Dilution Drag (+1.28% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.
🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $BALY• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “BALY Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
AUTOMATED RQD QUANT DESK MOVER BRIEFINGFull Market News Desk →
Why BALY Stock advanced +0.22% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
Bally's Corporation (BALY) advanced +0.22% to $13.50, trading at 45% of its 52-week range ($8.44 – $19.6). Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (-5% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.
- ▸Technical Tape: Trading at 45% of its 52-week range ($8.44 – $19.6) with RSI-14 at 55.2 (BULLISH MOMENTUM).
- ▸Volatility Profile: Historical 20-day realized swing band of ±9.2% around $13.50 (no active unusual options sweep snapshot on file).
- ▸Fundamental Anchor: Roarable E (Strong Sell) backed by 52% gross margin and $0 annual free cash flow.
Live BALY Headlines & Catalysts
MARKET WIRECNBC • 5h ago
Here are 3 big things we're watching in the stock market in the week aheadThe market could use a few victories in the days ahead, which will be filled with more earnings, an election, and jobs data.
MARKET WIRECNBC • 5h ago
Democratic Rep. Stevens endorses Rogers over El-Sayed in Michigan Senate electionHaley Stevens had lost the Democratic nomination for Senate in Michigan to Abdul El-Sayed earlier this year.
RISK WATCHReuters • 7h ago
Israeli strikes kill eight people in Gaza - medics say - ReutersIsraeli strikes kill eight people in Gaza - medics say Reuters
MARKET WIREReuters • 8h ago
Russia's FSB says minor detained over park attack threat after US tip-off - ReutersRussia's FSB says minor detained over park attack threat after US tip-off Reuters
MARKET WIREReuters • 9h ago
Iran, Qatari mediators hold third day of talks to end US-Iran war - ReutersIran, Qatari mediators hold third day of talks to end US-Iran war Reuters
CATALYSTReuters • 9h ago
Qatar surges, bucking Gulf market slide on Iran war concerns - ReutersQatar surges, bucking Gulf market slide on Iran war concerns Reuters
MARKET WIREReuters • 10h ago
OPEC+ keeps December oil output targets steady ahead of tougher call for 2027 - ReutersOPEC+ keeps December oil output targets steady ahead of tougher call for 2027 Reuters
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk
Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring BALY)
- ✓Walkthrough of BALY's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
- ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
- ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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BALY // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +1.35%▼ DESCENDING CHANNEL
2026-10-30O $13.31H $13.69L $13.31C $13.50VOL 92.2K
RES: $14.22SUP: $7.17SMA50: $11.94SMA200: $12.92
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK
BALY Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure
Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)
Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).
Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth
vs. -0.6% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).
Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)
No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on BALY today. View full Setup Ledger →
🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections
Open Graph →
No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for BALY. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.
AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for BALY today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK
📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (BALY)
Consumer Discretionary Rank #991 of 1011
⚔️ HBNB vs BALY Full Matrix →
1. Head-to-Head Consumer Discretionary Peer Comparison (BALY vs. HBNB, HCMA, TH, CVEO)
Industry: Hotels/Resorts (35 Tracked Issuers)Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Bally's Corporation (BALY) ranks #991 by composite RQD confidence (24/100, grade E) and #558 by equity capitalization ($681.3M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, BALY leads on earnings valuation at N/A trailing P/E, while CVEO leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 0.9% ROIC and 23.7% gross margin. HCMA currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 56/100 (D+) compared with BALY at 24/100 (E).
| Ticker / Company | Roarable Grade | RQD Score | Trailing P/E | Gross Margin | ROIC | 1D Change | Market Cap | Head-to-Head |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BALY
ACTIVE
Bally's Corporation | E | 24/100 | — | — | -4.7% | +0.22% | $681.3M | Benchmark Subject |
| HBNB Hotel101 Global Holdings Corp. (Class A) | D | 48/100 | — | — | — | -5.09% | $1.09B | /hbnb-vs-baly → |
| HCMA HCM III Acquisition Corp. Class A Ordinary Share | D+ | 56/100 | — | — | — | 0.00% | $400.5M | /hcma-vs-baly → |
| TH Target Hospitality Corp. | D | 48/100 | — | 15.5% | -7.2% | +0.92% | $1.42B | /th-vs-baly → |
| CVEO Civeo Corporation (Canada) | D- | 42/100 | — | 23.7% | 0.9% | +1.09% | $315.8M | /cveo-vs-baly → |
2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)
SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001747079In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Bally's Corporation (BALY) reported GAAP revenue of $2.44B (-0.6% vs. FY2024 revenue of $2.45B , and -0.5% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$701.1M, operating cash flow of -$11.0M, and free cash flow of -$178.9M (-108.4% YoY). On the balance sheet, BALY closed FY2025 with $11.23B in total assets against $4.46B in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 0.20, Piotroski F-Score: 1/9).
| Fiscal Period | Filing Date | Revenue | Net Income | Operating Cash Flow | Free Cash Flow | Total Assets | Total Debt |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2025 (FY) | 2025-12-31 | $2.44B | -$701.1M | -$11.0M | -$178.9M | $11.23B | $4.46B |
| FY2024 (FY) | 2024-12-31 | $2.45B | -$567.8M | $114.0M | -$85.8M | $5.86B | $3.30B |
| FY2023 (FY) | 2023-12-31 | $2.45B | -$187.5M | $188.6M | $188.6M | — | — |
3. BALY Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)
✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLEDIs BALY stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
As of 2026-11-01, Bally's Corporation (NYSE: BALY) is rated E (Strong Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 24/100 at a spot price of $13.50 (+0.22% 1D, market cap $681.3M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 3/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 9/20, Executive Insider Alignment 3/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 9/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 3/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, BALY ranks #991 in composite RQD confidence.
How does BALY compare to HBNB and HCMA in the Consumer Discretionary sector?
Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Hotels/Resorts), BALY carries a Roarable E (24/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of -4.7%. By comparison, HBNB (Hotel101 Global Holdings Corp. (Class A)) holds a D grade (48/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $1.09B) and HCMA (HCM III Acquisition Corp. Class A Ordinary Share) posts a D+ grade (56/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $400.5M). Among the 5-stock peer group, BALY leads on earnings multiple (N/A) while CVEO leads on capital efficiency (0.9% ROIC).
What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for BALY?
Per BALY's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001747079), Bally's Corporation generated $2.44B in revenue (-0.6% YoY), -$701.1M in net income, and -$178.9M in free cash flow against $11.23B in total assets and $4.46B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
Where is BALY trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?
BALY last traded at $13.50 (+0.22% on volume of 70,230 shares), positioning the stock +13.07% above its 50-day simple moving average ($11.94) and +4.49% above its 200-day simple moving average ($12.92). Across its 52-week range of $8.44 to $19.60, BALY sits at the 45.3% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 55.2 (BULLISH MOMENTUM) and an implied next-earnings move of ±9.2% ($12.26 to $14.74).
BALY Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index
100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FREDWhy is BALY stock moving today?
Why BALY Stock advanced +0.22% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash. Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (-5% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.