ROARABLE // PRO
GLOBAL DESKS // NYC --:--:-- NYSE
US TAPE
ROAR ▸

AVD // American Vanguard Corporation ($0.10 Par Value)

DES <GO> NYSE RQD COCKPIT → CIK 0000005981 ↗
Materials • Agricultural Chemicals
$1.10 ▼ -0.04 (-3.51%)
MKT CAP: $32.5M • VOL: 206.6K
AVD // ROARABLE RATING & 5-PILLAR RQD CONFIDENCE 02:00 EST DETERMINISTIC ENGINE
PRIOR: RQD 35/100 [D-] (+0 PT) • UNCHANGED
ROARABLE D-
RQD CONFIDENCE
35 / 100 +0D
5 X 20-PT QUANT PILLARS
E 0 D 35 C 59 B 70 A 86+
Roarable Sell — Vulnerable Balance Sheet & Flow
01 MASSIVE / SEC XBRL
Forensic Fundamentals
[LOCKED] FLAGGED
UNLOCK BELOW TO REVEAL
02 INSTITUTIONAL TAPE & TREND
Whale & Options Flow
7 / 20
WARNING
52W RANGE 58% • VS 200D +1.9% • RSI 42.7
03 SEC XBRL CAPITAL ALLOCATION
Insider & Capital Conviction
[LOCKED] FLAGGED
UNLOCK BELOW TO REVEAL
04 FRED 90D r-MATRIX
Macro Regime Fit
13 / 20
SOLID
TAILWIND • r(10Y)=+0.00 (+23bp) • r(OAS)=+0.00
05 10-K REDLINE AUDIT
Forensic 10-K Risk
8 / 20
WARNING
20 BASE - 12 DEDUCT • 0 CRIT / 0 MED • STABLE
ALERT

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AVD // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -61.81%🛡️ HOLDING TREND SUPPORT
2026-10-30O $1.11H $1.11L $1.06C $1.10VOL 105.3K
RES: $2.87SUP: $0.93SMA50: $1.78SMA200: $2.87
$4.64$3.65$2.67$1.68$0.69RES $2.87SUP $0.93$1.102026-04-302026-06-152026-07-312026-09-162026-10-30
AVD // INSTITUTIONAL BULL VS. BEAR FORENSIC DEBATE
UNDERWEIGHT CONVICTION: 31/100
BEAR 0
100 BULL

American Vanguard Corporation ($0.10 Par Value) (AVD) exhibits 28.6% gross margins and -6.1% return on invested capital within Materials (Agricultural Chemicals), balanced against a 24.0x enterprise multiple and 4.8% implied options volatility.

▲ INSTITUTIONAL BULL THESIS (LONG)
01. Operating Leverage & Capital Efficiency Moat

Sustained 28.6% gross profitability converts into -5.5% operating margin and -6.1% ROIC, outpacing sector cost of capital.

ROIC: -6.1% // GM: 28.6%
02. Top-Line Expansion & Cash Conversion

YoY revenue trajectory of -5.9% paired with 2.80% free cash flow yield supports self-funded R&D and capital return.

REV YOY: -5.9% // FCF YLD: 2.80%
03. Balance Sheet Solvency & Forensic Quality

Altman Z-Score of 1.44 and Piotroski F-Score of 5/9 indicate low near-term refinancing stress.

ALTMAN Z: 1.44 // F-SCORE: 5/9
▼ INSTITUTIONAL BEAR THESIS (SHORT / RISK)
01. Multiple Compression & Duration Sensitivity

Trading at 24.0x trailing P/E (— Fwd P/E) leaves valuation vulnerable if real 10Y TIPS yields spike.

P/E: 24.0x // EV/EBITDA: —
02. Options Skew & Event Volatility Risk

Options market prices a ±5.2% implied move with a 0.85 put/call ratio around $1.10 max pain.

IMPL MOVE: ±5.2% // P/C: 0.85
03. Competitive Margin & CapEx Cycle Pressure

Elevated industry capital intensity and customer concentration in Agricultural Chemicals require continuous execution to defend -9.7% net margins.

NET MARGIN: -9.7% // D/E: 0.90x
KEY CATALYST // Upcoming 10-Q/10-K XBRL margin progression, guidance revision vs — forward consensus, and institutional 13F positioning.
MACRO REGIME // Monitor US 10Y Real Yields (DFII10) and High-Yield Credit Spreads (OAS) for beta-adjusted multiple impact (Beta 1.10).
FORM 4 & 13F FLOW OPEN OWN <GO>
FILER SIDE $ VALUE
INSPECT FULL OWNERSHIP LEDGER IN OWN <GO>
UNUSUAL OPTIONS TAPE OPEN OPT <GO>
STRIKE / EXP TYPE PREMIUM
INSPECT GEX & CHAIN IN OPT <GO>
KEY VALUATION & PROFITABILITY RATIOS XBRL FA <GO>
TRAILING P/E —
FORWARD P/E —
EV / EBITDA —
FCF YIELD —
GROSS MARGIN 28.6%
OPERATING MARGIN -5.5%
NET MARGIN -9.7%
ROIC % -6.1%
REV GROWTH YOY -5.9%
DILUTED EPS TTM —
DEBT / EQUITY 0.90x
DIVIDEND YIELD 0.00%
RSI-14 MOMENTUM 27.9
5Y EQUITY BETA —
FRED MACRO SENSITIVITY (PEARSON r) ECST <GO>
MACRO CORRELATION CALIBRATION ACTIVE BELOW.
FRED MACRO REGIME STRESS-TEST SIMULATOR // AVDPEARSON R VARIANCE ENGINE
01 // SELECT FEDERAL RESERVE & CREDIT SHOCK SCENARIO
02 // POSITION NOTIONAL EXPOSURE
HEADLINE STRESS SCORE
75/100SEVERE DRAWDOWN PRESSURE
PRIMARY FACTOR EXPOSURE
DFII10 // -0.61 r
Latest: 2.08%
EST. DIRECTIONAL MOVE
-8.50%
Implied Px: $1.01
EST. DOLLAR VARIANCE
-$4,248
On $50,000 Notional
[LOCKED // MULTI-FACTOR DRAWDOWN HEDGE & MACRO TRIGGER ALERT]

Unblur the exact $50,000 delta-adjusted ETF/options hedge ratio for AVD & activate live FRED threshold breach alerts.

HEAD-TO-HEAD PEER COMPARISONS COMP <GO>