ROARABLE // PRO
GLOBAL DESKS // NYC --:--:-- NYSE
US TAPE
ROAR ▸

ASLE // AerSale Corporation

DES <GO> NASDAQ RQD COCKPIT → CIK 0001754170 ↗
Consumer Discretionary • Industrial Specialties
$4.69 ▲ +0.11 (+2.40%)
MKT CAP: $223.8M • VOL: 480.5K
ASLE // ROARABLE RATING & 5-PILLAR RQD CONFIDENCE 02:00 EST DETERMINISTIC ENGINE
PRIOR: RQD 43/100 [D-] (+0 PT) • UNCHANGED
ROARABLE D-
RQD CONFIDENCE
43 / 100 +0D
5 X 20-PT QUANT PILLARS
E 0 D 35 C 59 B 70 A 86+
Roarable Sell — Vulnerable Balance Sheet & Flow
01 MASSIVE / SEC XBRL
Forensic Fundamentals
[LOCKED] FLAGGED
UNLOCK BELOW TO REVEAL
02 INSTITUTIONAL TAPE & TREND
Whale & Options Flow
11 / 20
NEUTRAL
52W RANGE 63% • VS 200D +4.7% • RSI 59.4
03 SEC XBRL CAPITAL ALLOCATION
Insider & Capital Conviction
[LOCKED] FLAGGED
UNLOCK BELOW TO REVEAL
04 FRED 90D r-MATRIX
Macro Regime Fit
12 / 20
NEUTRAL
NEUTRAL • r(10Y)=+0.00 (+23bp) • r(OAS)=+0.00
05 10-K REDLINE AUDIT
Forensic 10-K Risk
12 / 20
NEUTRAL
20 BASE - 8 DEDUCT • 0 CRIT / 0 MED • STABLE
ALERT

Why did ASLE's Forensic Fundamentals & Insider & Capital Conviction sub-score just flash a warning? Enter your email to unlock the full 5-Pillar Rating Breakdown + get instant alerts whenever ASLE is Upgraded or Downgraded.

ASLE // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -30.21%🛡️ HOLDING TREND SUPPORT
2026-10-30O $4.70H $4.85L $4.68C $4.69VOL 467.4K
RES: $5.69SUP: $4.44SMA50: $5.19SMA200: $6.26
$7.73$6.86$6.00$5.14$4.27RES $5.69SUP $4.44$4.692026-04-302026-06-152026-07-312026-09-162026-10-30
ASLE // INSTITUTIONAL BULL VS. BEAR FORENSIC DEBATE
UNDERWEIGHT CONVICTION: 39/100
BEAR 0
100 BULL

AerSale Corporation (ASLE) exhibits 31.5% gross margins and 2.3% return on invested capital within Consumer Discretionary (Industrial Specialties), balanced against a 15.8x enterprise multiple and 4.8% implied options volatility.

▲ INSTITUTIONAL BULL THESIS (LONG)
01. Operating Leverage & Capital Efficiency Moat

Sustained 31.5% gross profitability converts into 4.7% operating margin and 2.3% ROIC, outpacing sector cost of capital.

ROIC: 2.3% // GM: 31.5%
02. Top-Line Expansion & Cash Conversion

YoY revenue trajectory of -2.8% paired with -12.98% free cash flow yield supports self-funded R&D and capital return.

REV YOY: -2.8% // FCF YLD: -12.98%
03. Balance Sheet Solvency & Forensic Quality

Altman Z-Score of 1.92 and Piotroski F-Score of 5/9 indicate low near-term refinancing stress.

ALTMAN Z: 1.92 // F-SCORE: 5/9
▼ INSTITUTIONAL BEAR THESIS (SHORT / RISK)
01. Multiple Compression & Duration Sensitivity

Trading at 26.1x trailing P/E (24.3x Fwd P/E) leaves valuation vulnerable if real 10Y TIPS yields spike.

P/E: 26.1x // EV/EBITDA: 15.8x
02. Options Skew & Event Volatility Risk

Options market prices a ±5.2% implied move with a 0.85 put/call ratio around $4.69 max pain.

IMPL MOVE: ±5.2% // P/C: 0.85
03. Competitive Margin & CapEx Cycle Pressure

Elevated industry capital intensity and customer concentration in Industrial Specialties require continuous execution to defend 2.6% net margins.

NET MARGIN: 2.6% // D/E: 0.26x
KEY CATALYST // Upcoming 10-Q/10-K XBRL margin progression, guidance revision vs 24.3x forward consensus, and institutional 13F positioning.
MACRO REGIME // Monitor US 10Y Real Yields (DFII10) and High-Yield Credit Spreads (OAS) for beta-adjusted multiple impact (Beta 1.10).
FORM 4 & 13F FLOW OPEN OWN <GO>
FILER SIDE $ VALUE
INSPECT FULL OWNERSHIP LEDGER IN OWN <GO>
UNUSUAL OPTIONS TAPE OPEN OPT <GO>
STRIKE / EXP TYPE PREMIUM
INSPECT GEX & CHAIN IN OPT <GO>
KEY VALUATION & PROFITABILITY RATIOS XBRL FA <GO>
TRAILING P/E 26.1x
FORWARD P/E 24.3x
EV / EBITDA 15.8x
FCF YIELD -12.98%
GROSS MARGIN 31.5%
OPERATING MARGIN 4.7%
NET MARGIN 2.6%
ROIC % 2.3%
REV GROWTH YOY -2.8%
DILUTED EPS TTM $0.18
DEBT / EQUITY 0.26x
DIVIDEND YIELD 0.00%
RSI-14 MOMENTUM 46.6
5Y EQUITY BETA —
FRED MACRO SENSITIVITY (PEARSON r) ECST <GO>
MACRO CORRELATION CALIBRATION ACTIVE BELOW.
FRED MACRO REGIME STRESS-TEST SIMULATOR // ASLEPEARSON R VARIANCE ENGINE
01 // SELECT FEDERAL RESERVE & CREDIT SHOCK SCENARIO
02 // POSITION NOTIONAL EXPOSURE
HEADLINE STRESS SCORE
75/100SEVERE DRAWDOWN PRESSURE
PRIMARY FACTOR EXPOSURE
DFII10 // -0.61 r
Latest: 2.08%
EST. DIRECTIONAL MOVE
-8.50%
Implied Px: $4.29
EST. DOLLAR VARIANCE
-$4,248
On $50,000 Notional
[LOCKED // MULTI-FACTOR DRAWDOWN HEDGE & MACRO TRIGGER ALERT]

Unblur the exact $50,000 delta-adjusted ETF/options hedge ratio for ASLE & activate live FRED threshold breach alerts.

HEAD-TO-HEAD PEER COMPARISONS COMP <GO>