ROARABLE // PRO
GLOBAL DESKS // NYC --:--:-- NYSE
US TAPE
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ALMU // Aeluma Inc.

DES <GO> NASDAQ RQD COCKPIT → CIK 0001828805 ↗
Technology • Semiconductors
$8.04 ▲ +0.17 (+2.16%)
MKT CAP: $155.3M • VOL: 598.5K
ALMU // ROARABLE RATING & 5-PILLAR RQD CONFIDENCE 02:00 EST DETERMINISTIC ENGINE
▼ DOWNGRADE // D (RQD 45) -> E (RQD 30)
ROARABLE E
RQD CONFIDENCE
30 / 100 -15D
5 X 20-PT QUANT PILLARS
E 0 D 35 C 59 B 70 A 86+
Roarable Strong Sell — Forensic Risk / Avoid
01 MASSIVE / SEC XBRL
Forensic Fundamentals
9 / 20
WARNING
FCF +65.3% vs NI +33.8% • ROIC-WACC -30.4% • Z 3.2
02 INSTITUTIONAL TAPE & TREND
Whale & Options Flow
3 / 20
CRITICAL
52W RANGE 6% • VS 200D -51.5% • RSI 37.3
03 SEC XBRL CAPITAL ALLOCATION
Insider & Capital Conviction
[LOCKED] FLAGGED
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04 FRED 90D r-MATRIX
Macro Regime Fit
4 / 20
CRITICAL
HEADWIND • r(10Y)=+0.01 (+23bp) • r(OAS)=-0.14
05 10-K REDLINE AUDIT
Forensic 10-K Risk
[LOCKED] FLAGGED
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ALERT

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ALMU // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -64.98%⚡ TESTING RESISTANCE
2026-11-02O $7.87H $8.04L $7.87C $8.04VOL 598.5K
RES: $8.35SUP: $5.82SMA50: $11.44SMA200: $16.59
$33.55$26.25$18.94$11.63$4.32RES $8.35SUP $5.82$8.042026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-172026-11-02
ALMU // INSTITUTIONAL BULL VS. BEAR FORENSIC DEBATE
HIGH-CONVICTION LONG CONVICTION: 88/100
BEAR 0
100 BULL

Aeluma Inc. (ALMU) exhibits 59.6% gross margins and -21.8% return on invested capital within Technology (Semiconductors), balanced against a 24.0x enterprise multiple and 4.8% implied options volatility.

▲ INSTITUTIONAL BULL THESIS (LONG)
01. Operating Leverage & Capital Efficiency Moat

Sustained 59.6% gross profitability converts into -45.9% operating margin and -21.8% ROIC, outpacing sector cost of capital.

ROIC: -21.8% // GM: 59.6%
02. Top-Line Expansion & Cash Conversion

YoY revenue trajectory of +180.0% paired with -0.84% free cash flow yield supports self-funded R&D and capital return.

REV YOY: +180.0% // FCF YLD: -0.84%
03. Balance Sheet Solvency & Forensic Quality

Altman Z-Score of 3.80 and Piotroski F-Score of 5/9 indicate low near-term refinancing stress.

ALTMAN Z: 3.80 // F-SCORE: 5/9
▼ INSTITUTIONAL BEAR THESIS (SHORT / RISK)
01. Multiple Compression & Duration Sensitivity

Trading at 24.0x trailing P/E (— Fwd P/E) leaves valuation vulnerable if real 10Y TIPS yields spike.

P/E: 24.0x // EV/EBITDA: —
02. Options Skew & Event Volatility Risk

Options market prices a ±5.2% implied move with a 0.85 put/call ratio around $8.04 max pain.

IMPL MOVE: ±5.2% // P/C: 0.85
03. Competitive Margin & CapEx Cycle Pressure

Elevated industry capital intensity and customer concentration in Semiconductors require continuous execution to defend -60.0% net margins.

NET MARGIN: -60.0% // D/E: 0.45x
KEY CATALYST // Upcoming 10-Q/10-K XBRL margin progression, guidance revision vs — forward consensus, and institutional 13F positioning.
MACRO REGIME // Monitor US 10Y Real Yields (DFII10) and High-Yield Credit Spreads (OAS) for beta-adjusted multiple impact (Beta 1.10).
FORM 4 & 13F FLOW OPEN OWN <GO>
FILER SIDE $ VALUE
INSPECT FULL OWNERSHIP LEDGER IN OWN <GO>
UNUSUAL OPTIONS TAPE OPEN OPT <GO>
STRIKE / EXP TYPE PREMIUM
INSPECT GEX & CHAIN IN OPT <GO>
KEY VALUATION & PROFITABILITY RATIOS XBRL FA <GO>
TRAILING P/E —
FORWARD P/E —
EV / EBITDA —
FCF YIELD -0.84%
GROSS MARGIN 59.6%
OPERATING MARGIN -45.9%
NET MARGIN -60.0%
ROIC % -21.8%
REV GROWTH YOY +180.0%
DILUTED EPS TTM —
DEBT / EQUITY —
DIVIDEND YIELD 0.00%
RSI-14 MOMENTUM 37.3
5Y EQUITY BETA —
FRED MACRO SENSITIVITY (PEARSON r) ECST <GO>
MACRO CORRELATION CALIBRATION ACTIVE BELOW.
FRED MACRO REGIME STRESS-TEST SIMULATOR // ALMUPEARSON R VARIANCE ENGINE
01 // SELECT FEDERAL RESERVE & CREDIT SHOCK SCENARIO
02 // POSITION NOTIONAL EXPOSURE
HEADLINE STRESS SCORE
75/100SEVERE DRAWDOWN PRESSURE
PRIMARY FACTOR EXPOSURE
DFII10 // -0.61 r
Latest: 2.08%
EST. DIRECTIONAL MOVE
-8.50%
Implied Px: $7.36
EST. DOLLAR VARIANCE
-$4,248
On $50,000 Notional
[LOCKED // MULTI-FACTOR DRAWDOWN HEDGE & MACRO TRIGGER ALERT]

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HEAD-TO-HEAD PEER COMPARISONS COMP <GO>