ROARABLE // PRO
GLOBAL DESKS // NYC --:--:-- NYSE
US TAPE
ROAR ▸

AHRT // AH Realty Trust Inc.

DES <GO> NYSE RQD COCKPIT → CIK 0001569187 ↗
Financials • Real Estate
$6.08 ▼ -0.03 (-0.49%)
MKT CAP: $455.8M • VOL: 886.2K
AHRT // ROARABLE RATING & 5-PILLAR RQD CONFIDENCE 02:00 EST DETERMINISTIC ENGINE
▼ DOWNGRADE // D (RQD 50) -> D- (RQD 37)
ROARABLE D-
RQD CONFIDENCE
37 / 100 -13D
5 X 20-PT QUANT PILLARS
E 0 D 35 C 59 B 70 A 86+
Roarable Sell — Vulnerable Balance Sheet & Flow
01 MASSIVE / SEC XBRL
Forensic Fundamentals
9 / 20
WARNING
FCF -97% vs NI -90.8% • ROIC-WACC -2.5% • Z 3.2
02 INSTITUTIONAL TAPE & TREND
Whale & Options Flow
7 / 20
WARNING
52W RANGE 45% • VS 200D -5% • RSI 51.3
03 SEC XBRL CAPITAL ALLOCATION
Insider & Capital Conviction
[LOCKED] FLAGGED
UNLOCK BELOW TO REVEAL
04 FRED 90D r-MATRIX
Macro Regime Fit
6 / 20
CRITICAL
HEADWIND • r(10Y)=-0.18 (+23bp) • r(OAS)=-0.28
05 10-K REDLINE AUDIT
Forensic 10-K Risk
[LOCKED] FLAGGED
UNLOCK BELOW TO REVEAL
ALERT

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AHRT // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +1.67%📐 HORIZONTAL RANGE
2026-11-02O $6.04H $6.11L $6.04C $6.08VOL 545.8K
RES: $7.67SUP: $5.55SMA50: $6.20SMA200: $6.43
$7.30$6.89$6.49$6.08$5.67RES $7.67SUP $5.55$6.082026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-172026-11-02
AHRT // INSTITUTIONAL BULL VS. BEAR FORENSIC DEBATE
UNDERWEIGHT CONVICTION: 28/100
BEAR 0
100 BULL

AH Realty Trust Inc. (AHRT) exhibits 45.0% gross margins and 6.5% return on invested capital within Financials (Real Estate), balanced against a 8.5x enterprise multiple and 4.8% implied options volatility.

▲ INSTITUTIONAL BULL THESIS (LONG)
01. Operating Leverage & Capital Efficiency Moat

Sustained 45.0% gross profitability converts into 23.1% operating margin and 6.5% ROIC, outpacing sector cost of capital.

ROIC: 6.5% // GM: 45.0%
02. Top-Line Expansion & Cash Conversion

YoY revenue trajectory of -51.5% paired with 2.80% free cash flow yield supports self-funded R&D and capital return.

REV YOY: -51.5% // FCF YLD: 2.80%
03. Balance Sheet Solvency & Forensic Quality

Altman Z-Score of 3.80 and Piotroski F-Score of 1/9 indicate low near-term refinancing stress.

ALTMAN Z: 3.80 // F-SCORE: 1/9
▼ INSTITUTIONAL BEAR THESIS (SHORT / RISK)
01. Multiple Compression & Duration Sensitivity

Trading at 116.9x trailing P/E (108.7x Fwd P/E) leaves valuation vulnerable if real 10Y TIPS yields spike.

P/E: 116.9x // EV/EBITDA: 8.5x
02. Options Skew & Event Volatility Risk

Options market prices a ±5.2% implied move with a 0.85 put/call ratio around $6.08 max pain.

IMPL MOVE: ±5.2% // P/C: 0.85
03. Competitive Margin & CapEx Cycle Pressure

Elevated industry capital intensity and customer concentration in Real Estate require continuous execution to defend 1.9% net margins.

NET MARGIN: 1.9% // D/E: 0.45x
KEY CATALYST // Upcoming 10-Q/10-K XBRL margin progression, guidance revision vs 108.7x forward consensus, and institutional 13F positioning.
MACRO REGIME // Monitor US 10Y Real Yields (DFII10) and High-Yield Credit Spreads (OAS) for beta-adjusted multiple impact (Beta 1.10).
FORM 4 & 13F FLOW OPEN OWN <GO>
FILER SIDE $ VALUE
INSPECT FULL OWNERSHIP LEDGER IN OWN <GO>
UNUSUAL OPTIONS TAPE OPEN OPT <GO>
STRIKE / EXP TYPE PREMIUM
INSPECT GEX & CHAIN IN OPT <GO>
KEY VALUATION & PROFITABILITY RATIOS XBRL FA <GO>
TRAILING P/E 116.9x
FORWARD P/E 108.7x
EV / EBITDA 8.5x
FCF YIELD —
GROSS MARGIN —
OPERATING MARGIN 23.1%
NET MARGIN 1.9%
ROIC % 6.5%
REV GROWTH YOY -51.5%
DILUTED EPS TTM $0.05
DEBT / EQUITY —
DIVIDEND YIELD 0.00%
RSI-14 MOMENTUM 51.3
5Y EQUITY BETA —
FRED MACRO SENSITIVITY (PEARSON r) ECST <GO>
MACRO CORRELATION CALIBRATION ACTIVE BELOW.
FRED MACRO REGIME STRESS-TEST SIMULATOR // AHRTPEARSON R VARIANCE ENGINE
01 // SELECT FEDERAL RESERVE & CREDIT SHOCK SCENARIO
02 // POSITION NOTIONAL EXPOSURE
HEADLINE STRESS SCORE
75/100SEVERE DRAWDOWN PRESSURE
PRIMARY FACTOR EXPOSURE
DFII10 // -0.61 r
Latest: 2.08%
EST. DIRECTIONAL MOVE
-8.50%
Implied Px: $5.56
EST. DOLLAR VARIANCE
-$4,248
On $50,000 Notional
[LOCKED // MULTI-FACTOR DRAWDOWN HEDGE & MACRO TRIGGER ALERT]

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HEAD-TO-HEAD PEER COMPARISONS COMP <GO>