ROARABLE // PRO
GLOBAL DESKS // NYC --:--:-- NYSE
US TAPE
ROAR ▸

ACEL // Accel Entertainment Inc.

DES <GO> NYSE RQD COCKPIT → CIK 0001698991 ↗
Consumer Discretionary • Services-Misc. Amusement & Recreation
$11.30 ▲ +0.21 (+1.89%)
MKT CAP: $917.5M • VOL: 331.8K
ACEL // ROARABLE RATING & 5-PILLAR RQD CONFIDENCE 02:00 EST DETERMINISTIC ENGINE
PRIOR: RQD 64/100 [C] (+0 PT) • UNCHANGED
ROARABLE C
RQD CONFIDENCE
64 / 100 +0D
5 X 20-PT QUANT PILLARS
E 0 D 35 C 59 B 70 A 86+
Roarable Hold — Fair / Balanced Risk-Reward
01 MASSIVE / SEC XBRL
Forensic Fundamentals
14 / 20
SOLID
FCF +13.4% vs NI +46% • ROIC-WACC +9% • Z 3.2
02 INSTITUTIONAL TAPE & TREND
Whale & Options Flow
[LOCKED] FLAGGED
UNLOCK BELOW TO REVEAL
03 SEC XBRL CAPITAL ALLOCATION
Insider & Capital Conviction
16 / 20
STRONG
FCF YIELD +6.8% • P/E 16.6x • F-SCORE 6/9
04 FRED 90D r-MATRIX
Macro Regime Fit
13 / 20
SOLID
TAILWIND • r(10Y)=+0.00 (+23bp) • r(OAS)=+0.00
05 10-K REDLINE AUDIT
Forensic 10-K Risk
[LOCKED] FLAGGED
UNLOCK BELOW TO REVEAL
ALERT

Why did ACEL's Whale & Options Flow & Forensic 10-K Risk sub-score just flash a warning? Enter your email to unlock the full 5-Pillar Rating Breakdown + get instant alerts whenever ACEL is Upgraded or Downgraded.

ACEL // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -9.53%⚡ TESTING RESISTANCE
2026-10-30O $11.37H $11.43L $11.25C $11.30VOL 393.4K
RES: $11.45SUP: $9.82SMA50: $11.28SMA200: $11.71
$14.24$13.25$12.26$11.27$10.28RES $11.45SUP $9.82$11.302026-04-302026-06-152026-07-312026-09-162026-10-30
ACEL // INSTITUTIONAL BULL VS. BEAR FORENSIC DEBATE
NEUTRAL / PAIR TRADE CONVICTION: 54/100
BEAR 0
100 BULL

Accel Entertainment Inc. (ACEL) exhibits 45.0% gross margins and 15.7% return on invested capital within Consumer Discretionary (Services-Misc. Amusement & Recreation), balanced against a 6.5x enterprise multiple and 4.8% implied options volatility.

▲ INSTITUTIONAL BULL THESIS (LONG)
01. Operating Leverage & Capital Efficiency Moat

Sustained 45.0% gross profitability converts into — operating margin and 15.7% ROIC, outpacing sector cost of capital.

ROIC: 15.7% // GM: 45.0%
02. Top-Line Expansion & Cash Conversion

YoY revenue trajectory of — paired with 6.75% free cash flow yield supports self-funded R&D and capital return.

REV YOY: — // FCF YLD: 6.75%
03. Balance Sheet Solvency & Forensic Quality

Altman Z-Score of 3.80 and Piotroski F-Score of 6/9 indicate low near-term refinancing stress.

ALTMAN Z: 3.80 // F-SCORE: 6/9
▼ INSTITUTIONAL BEAR THESIS (SHORT / RISK)
01. Multiple Compression & Duration Sensitivity

Trading at 17.8x trailing P/E (16.6x Fwd P/E) leaves valuation vulnerable if real 10Y TIPS yields spike.

P/E: 17.8x // EV/EBITDA: 6.5x
02. Options Skew & Event Volatility Risk

Options market prices a ±5.2% implied move with a 0.85 put/call ratio around $11.30 max pain.

IMPL MOVE: ±5.2% // P/C: 0.85
03. Competitive Margin & CapEx Cycle Pressure

Elevated industry capital intensity and customer concentration in Services-Misc. Amusement & Recreation require continuous execution to defend — net margins.

NET MARGIN: — // D/E: 2.11x
KEY CATALYST // Upcoming 10-Q/10-K XBRL margin progression, guidance revision vs 16.6x forward consensus, and institutional 13F positioning.
MACRO REGIME // Monitor US 10Y Real Yields (DFII10) and High-Yield Credit Spreads (OAS) for beta-adjusted multiple impact (Beta 1.10).
FORM 4 & 13F FLOW OPEN OWN <GO>
FILER SIDE $ VALUE
INSPECT FULL OWNERSHIP LEDGER IN OWN <GO>
UNUSUAL OPTIONS TAPE OPEN OPT <GO>
STRIKE / EXP TYPE PREMIUM
INSPECT GEX & CHAIN IN OPT <GO>
KEY VALUATION & PROFITABILITY RATIOS XBRL FA <GO>
TRAILING P/E 17.8x
FORWARD P/E 16.6x
EV / EBITDA 6.5x
FCF YIELD 6.75%
GROSS MARGIN —
OPERATING MARGIN —
NET MARGIN —
ROIC % 15.7%
REV GROWTH YOY —
DILUTED EPS TTM $0.63
DEBT / EQUITY 2.11x
DIVIDEND YIELD 0.00%
RSI-14 MOMENTUM 57.5
5Y EQUITY BETA —
FRED MACRO SENSITIVITY (PEARSON r) ECST <GO>
MACRO CORRELATION CALIBRATION ACTIVE BELOW.
FRED MACRO REGIME STRESS-TEST SIMULATOR // ACELPEARSON R VARIANCE ENGINE
01 // SELECT FEDERAL RESERVE & CREDIT SHOCK SCENARIO
02 // POSITION NOTIONAL EXPOSURE
HEADLINE STRESS SCORE
75/100SEVERE DRAWDOWN PRESSURE
PRIMARY FACTOR EXPOSURE
DFII10 // -0.61 r
Latest: 2.08%
EST. DIRECTIONAL MOVE
-8.50%
Implied Px: $10.34
EST. DOLLAR VARIANCE
-$4,248
On $50,000 Notional
[LOCKED // MULTI-FACTOR DRAWDOWN HEDGE & MACRO TRIGGER ALERT]

Unblur the exact $50,000 delta-adjusted ETF/options hedge ratio for ACEL & activate live FRED threshold breach alerts.

HEAD-TO-HEAD PEER COMPARISONS COMP <GO>