COMP <GO>
YUMC vs CMG // 10Y YIELD & FRED MACRO BETA
Yum China Holdings Inc. (NYSE) VS. Chipotle Mexican Grill Inc. (NYSE) • 15-METRIC TALLY: YUMC 6
— CMG 6
▲ 10Y YIELD & FRED MACRO BETA LEADER: YUMC
LAST: $45.20 (+1.60%) • MKT CAP: $15.48B
macro-sensitivity
1.16
LAST: $31.28 (+8.88%) • MKT CAP: $39.58B
macro-sensitivity
0.99
15-METRIC INSTITUTIONAL SIDE-BY-SIDE SCORECARD (YUMC VS. CMG)
EMERALD CELL = QUANTITATIVE EDGE
| INSTITUTIONAL METRIC | YUMC | CMG | SPREAD (A - B) | ADVANTAGE | DEDICATED URL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gross Profit Margin | — | — | — | TIE | /gross-margins <GO> |
| Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) | 14.90% | 30.20% | -15.30 | CMG | /roic <GO> |
| EV/EBITDA & P/E Valuation | 9.3x | 16.7x | -7.40 | YUMC | /valuation <GO> |
| Free Cash Flow Yield | 5.43% | 3.66% | +1.77 | YUMC | /fcf-yield <GO> |
| Operating Margin | 10.90% | 16.20% | -5.30 | CMG | /operating-margins <GO> |
| Net Profit Margin | 7.90% | 12.90% | -5.00 | CMG | /net-margins <GO> |
| Revenue Growth (YoY) | 4.40% | 5.40% | -1.00 | CMG | /revenue-growth <GO> |
| Dividend Yield & FCF Payout Safety | 2.28% | 0.00% | +2.28 | YUMC | /dividend-safety <GO> |
| Altman Z-Score & Debt/Equity | 3.71 | 6.02 | -2.31 | CMG | /balance-sheet <GO> |
| Piotroski F-Score Quality | 9/9 | 9/9 | 0.00 | TIE | /piotroski-score <GO> |
| Options Implied Move & Put/Call Skew | — | — | — | TIE | /options-implied-move <GO> |
| RSI-14 & 200D SMA Momentum | 59.0 | 53.1 | +5.90 | YUMC | /rsi-technicals <GO> |
| 10Y Yield & FRED Macro Beta ACTIVE | 1.16 | 0.99 | +0.17 | YUMC | /macro-sensitivity <GO> |
| Forward P/E Multiple | 15.5x | 24.0x | -8.50 | YUMC | /forward-pe <GO> |
| Enterprise Scale & Market Cap | $15.48B | $39.58B | -$24.10B | CMG | /market-cap <GO> |
5-YEAR HISTORICAL XBRL REVENUE & MARGIN TRAJECTORY SEC FORM 10-K FY
| FISCAL YEAR | YUMC REV | CMG REV | YUMC GROSS % | CMG GROSS % | YUMC FCF | CMG FCF |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY 2025 | $11.80B | $11.93B | — | — | $840.0M | $1.45B |
| FY 2024 | $11.30B | $11.31B | — | — | $714.0M | $1.51B |
| FY 2023 | $10.98B | $9.87B | — | — | $979.0M | $1.34B |
FRED MACRO REGIME CORRELATION COMPARISON PEARSON r
YUMC // BETA 1.16
CMG // BETA 0.99