COMP <GO>
TRU vs CRCL // OPTIONS IMPLIED MOVE & PUT/CALL SKEW
TransUnion (NYSE) VS. Circle Internet Group Inc. (NYSE) • 15-METRIC TALLY: TRU 8
— CRCL 3
■ METRIC PARITY
LAST: $79.23 (+3.18%) • MKT CAP: $14.64B
options-implied-move
—
LAST: $72.08 (-0.63%) • MKT CAP: $18.42B
options-implied-move
—
15-METRIC INSTITUTIONAL SIDE-BY-SIDE SCORECARD (TRU VS. CRCL)
EMERALD CELL = QUANTITATIVE EDGE
| INSTITUTIONAL METRIC | TRU | CRCL | SPREAD (A - B) | ADVANTAGE | DEDICATED URL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gross Profit Margin | — | — | — | TIE | /gross-margins <GO> |
| Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) | 8.00% | -0.20% | +8.20 | TRU | /roic <GO> |
| EV/EBITDA & P/E Valuation | 16.3x | — | — | TIE | /valuation <GO> |
| Free Cash Flow Yield | 4.60% | 2.61% | +1.99 | TRU | /fcf-yield <GO> |
| Operating Margin | 18.70% | -60.00% | +78.70 | TRU | /operating-margins <GO> |
| Net Profit Margin | 10.00% | -60.00% | +70.00 | TRU | /net-margins <GO> |
| Revenue Growth (YoY) | 9.40% | 180.00% | -170.60 | CRCL | /revenue-growth <GO> |
| Dividend Yield & FCF Payout Safety | 0.63% | 0.00% | +0.63 | TRU | /dividend-safety <GO> |
| Altman Z-Score & Debt/Equity | — | — | — | TIE | /balance-sheet <GO> |
| Piotroski F-Score Quality | 8/9 | 6/9 | +2.00 | TRU | /piotroski-score <GO> |
| Options Implied Move & Put/Call Skew ACTIVE | — | — | — | TIE | /options-implied-move <GO> |
| RSI-14 & 200D SMA Momentum | 55.7 | 39.6 | +16.10 | TRU | /rsi-technicals <GO> |
| 10Y Yield & FRED Macro Beta | 0.89 | 1.10 | -0.21 | CRCL | /macro-sensitivity <GO> |
| Forward P/E Multiple | 29.4x | 34.0x | -4.60 | TRU | /forward-pe <GO> |
| Enterprise Scale & Market Cap | $14.64B | $18.42B | -$3.77B | CRCL | /market-cap <GO> |
5-YEAR HISTORICAL XBRL REVENUE & MARGIN TRAJECTORY SEC FORM 10-K FY
| FISCAL YEAR | TRU REV | CRCL REV | TRU GROSS % | CRCL GROSS % | TRU FCF | CRCL FCF |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY 2025 | $4.58B | $109.8M | — | — | $661.6M | $529.7M |
| FY 2024 | $4.18B | $15.2M | — | — | $516.7M | $326.4M |
| FY 2023 | $3.83B | $19.9M | — | — | $473.0M | $138.7M |
FRED MACRO REGIME CORRELATION COMPARISON PEARSON r
TRU // BETA 0.89
CRCL // BETA 1.10