COMP <GO>
OSG vs MBI // 10Y YIELD & FRED MACRO BETA
Octave Specialty Group Inc. (NYSE) VS. MBIA Inc. (NYSE) • 15-METRIC TALLY: OSG 1
— MBI 3
■ METRIC PARITY
LAST: $5.04 (+1.82%) • MKT CAP: $223.0M
macro-sensitivity
—
LAST: $4.46 (+0.23%) • MKT CAP: $227.0M
macro-sensitivity
—
15-METRIC INSTITUTIONAL SIDE-BY-SIDE SCORECARD (OSG VS. MBI)
EMERALD CELL = QUANTITATIVE EDGE
| INSTITUTIONAL METRIC | OSG | MBI | SPREAD (A - B) | ADVANTAGE | DEDICATED URL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gross Profit Margin | — | — | — | TIE | /gross-margins <GO> |
| Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) | -35.00% | — | — | TIE | /roic <GO> |
| EV/EBITDA & P/E Valuation | — | — | — | TIE | /valuation <GO> |
| Free Cash Flow Yield | — | 16.74% | — | TIE | /fcf-yield <GO> |
| Operating Margin | — | — | — | TIE | /operating-margins <GO> |
| Net Profit Margin | -60.00% | -60.00% | 0.00 | TIE | /net-margins <GO> |
| Revenue Growth (YoY) | 55.80% | 90.50% | -34.70 | MBI | /revenue-growth <GO> |
| Dividend Yield & FCF Payout Safety | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00 | TIE | /dividend-safety <GO> |
| Altman Z-Score & Debt/Equity | — | — | — | TIE | /balance-sheet <GO> |
| Piotroski F-Score Quality | 2/9 | 4/9 | -2.00 | MBI | /piotroski-score <GO> |
| Options Implied Move & Put/Call Skew | — | — | — | TIE | /options-implied-move <GO> |
| RSI-14 & 200D SMA Momentum | 60.5 | 47.2 | +13.30 | OSG | /rsi-technicals <GO> |
| 10Y Yield & FRED Macro Beta ACTIVE | — | — | — | TIE | /macro-sensitivity <GO> |
| Forward P/E Multiple | — | — | — | TIE | /forward-pe <GO> |
| Enterprise Scale & Market Cap | $223.0M | $227.0M | -$4.0M | MBI | /market-cap <GO> |
5-YEAR HISTORICAL XBRL REVENUE & MARGIN TRAJECTORY SEC FORM 10-K FY
| FISCAL YEAR | OSG REV | MBI REV | OSG GROSS % | MBI GROSS % | OSG FCF | MBI FCF |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY 2025 | $143.4M | $80.0M | — | — | — | $38.0M |
| FY 2024 | $92.0M | $42.0M | — | — | — | -$176.0M |
| FY 2023 | $51.3M | $7.0M | — | — | — | -$195.0M |
FRED MACRO REGIME CORRELATION COMPARISON PEARSON r
OSG // BETA —
MBI // BETA —