COMP <GO>
MPC vs VLO // 10Y YIELD & FRED MACRO BETA
Marathon Petroleum Corporation (NYSE) VS. Valero Energy Corporation (NYSE) • 15-METRIC TALLY: MPC 6
— VLO 7
▲ 10Y YIELD & FRED MACRO BETA LEADER: MPC
LAST: $444.73 (+2.83%) • MKT CAP: $121.46B
macro-sensitivity
1.16
LAST: $399.66 (+3.92%) • MKT CAP: $107.25B
macro-sensitivity
0.89
15-METRIC INSTITUTIONAL SIDE-BY-SIDE SCORECARD (MPC VS. VLO)
EMERALD CELL = QUANTITATIVE EDGE
| INSTITUTIONAL METRIC | MPC | VLO | SPREAD (A - B) | ADVANTAGE | DEDICATED URL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gross Profit Margin | 10.00% | — | — | TIE | /gross-margins <GO> |
| Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) | 16.90% | 8.20% | +8.70 | MPC | /roic <GO> |
| EV/EBITDA & P/E Valuation | 12.7x | 26.4x | -13.70 | MPC | /valuation <GO> |
| Free Cash Flow Yield | 3.92% | 4.17% | -0.25 | VLO | /fcf-yield <GO> |
| Operating Margin | 6.20% | 10.60% | -4.40 | VLO | /operating-margins <GO> |
| Net Profit Margin | 3.00% | 7.80% | -4.80 | VLO | /net-margins <GO> |
| Revenue Growth (YoY) | -4.40% | 19.80% | -24.20 | VLO | /revenue-growth <GO> |
| Dividend Yield & FCF Payout Safety | 0.94% | 1.31% | -0.37 | VLO | /dividend-safety <GO> |
| Altman Z-Score & Debt/Equity | 3.86 | 4.36 | -0.50 | VLO | /balance-sheet <GO> |
| Piotroski F-Score Quality | 6/9 | 7/9 | -1.00 | VLO | /piotroski-score <GO> |
| Options Implied Move & Put/Call Skew | — | — | — | TIE | /options-implied-move <GO> |
| RSI-14 & 200D SMA Momentum | 46.6 | 40.3 | +6.30 | MPC | /rsi-technicals <GO> |
| 10Y Yield & FRED Macro Beta ACTIVE | 1.16 | 0.89 | +0.27 | MPC | /macro-sensitivity <GO> |
| Forward P/E Multiple | 27.9x | 38.4x | -10.50 | MPC | /forward-pe <GO> |
| Enterprise Scale & Market Cap | $121.46B | $107.25B | $14.21B | MPC | /market-cap <GO> |
5-YEAR HISTORICAL XBRL REVENUE & MARGIN TRAJECTORY SEC FORM 10-K FY
| FISCAL YEAR | MPC REV | VLO REV | MPC GROSS % | VLO GROSS % | MPC FCF | VLO FCF |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY 2025 | $132.70B | $0 | 10.0% | — | $4.77B | $5.83B |
| FY 2024 | $138.86B | $0 | 9.1% | — | $6.13B | $6.68B |
| FY 2023 | $148.38B | $0 | — | — | $7.44B | $9.23B |
FRED MACRO REGIME CORRELATION COMPARISON PEARSON r
MPC // BETA 1.16
VLO // BETA 0.89