COMP <GO>
ITW vs NOC // OPTIONS IMPLIED MOVE & PUT/CALL SKEW
Illinois Tool Works Inc. (NYSE) VS. Northrop Grumman Corporation (NYSE) • 15-METRIC TALLY: ITW 5
— NOC 8
■ METRIC PARITY
LAST: $290.05 (+4.13%) • MKT CAP: $79.16B
options-implied-move
—
LAST: $555.32 (-0.40%) • MKT CAP: $79.21B
options-implied-move
—
15-METRIC INSTITUTIONAL SIDE-BY-SIDE SCORECARD (ITW VS. NOC)
EMERALD CELL = QUANTITATIVE EDGE
| INSTITUTIONAL METRIC | ITW | NOC | SPREAD (A - B) | ADVANTAGE | DEDICATED URL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gross Profit Margin | 52.90% | — | — | TIE | /gross-margins <GO> |
| Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) | 23.40% | 13.00% | +10.40 | ITW | /roic <GO> |
| EV/EBITDA & P/E Valuation | 18.8x | 15.8x | +3.00 | NOC | /valuation <GO> |
| Free Cash Flow Yield | 3.38% | 4.14% | -0.76 | NOC | /fcf-yield <GO> |
| Operating Margin | 26.30% | 10.80% | +15.50 | ITW | /operating-margins <GO> |
| Net Profit Margin | 20.50% | 10.00% | +10.50 | ITW | /net-margins <GO> |
| Revenue Growth (YoY) | 0.90% | 2.20% | -1.30 | NOC | /revenue-growth <GO> |
| Dividend Yield & FCF Payout Safety | 2.23% | 1.62% | +0.61 | ITW | /dividend-safety <GO> |
| Altman Z-Score & Debt/Equity | 10.74 | 2.97 | +7.77 | ITW | /balance-sheet <GO> |
| Piotroski F-Score Quality | 6/9 | 8/9 | -2.00 | NOC | /piotroski-score <GO> |
| Options Implied Move & Put/Call Skew ACTIVE | — | — | — | TIE | /options-implied-move <GO> |
| RSI-14 & 200D SMA Momentum | 56.8 | 62.4 | -5.60 | NOC | /rsi-technicals <GO> |
| 10Y Yield & FRED Macro Beta | 0.92 | 0.94 | -0.02 | NOC | /macro-sensitivity <GO> |
| Forward P/E Multiple | 22.6x | 17.8x | +4.80 | NOC | /forward-pe <GO> |
| Enterprise Scale & Market Cap | $79.16B | $79.21B | -$42.7M | NOC | /market-cap <GO> |
5-YEAR HISTORICAL XBRL REVENUE & MARGIN TRAJECTORY SEC FORM 10-K FY
| FISCAL YEAR | ITW REV | NOC REV | ITW GROSS % | NOC GROSS % | ITW FCF | NOC FCF |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY 2025 | $16.04B | $41.95B | 52.9% | — | $2.71B | $3.31B |
| FY 2024 | $15.90B | $41.03B | 52.2% | — | $2.84B | $2.62B |
| FY 2023 | $16.11B | $39.29B | — | — | $2.81B | $2.11B |
FRED MACRO REGIME CORRELATION COMPARISON PEARSON r
ITW // BETA 0.92
NOC // BETA 0.94