COMP <GO>
GEO vs MA // REVENUE GROWTH (YOY)
Geo Group Inc (NYSE) VS. Mastercard Incorporated (NYSE) • 15-METRIC TALLY: GEO 2
— MA 9
▲ REVENUE GROWTH (YOY) LEADER: MA
LAST: $28.54 (+3.52%) • MKT CAP: $3.76B
revenue-growth
8.60%
LAST: $635.70 (+4.16%) • MKT CAP: $556.88B
revenue-growth
16.40%
15-METRIC INSTITUTIONAL SIDE-BY-SIDE SCORECARD (GEO VS. MA)
EMERALD CELL = QUANTITATIVE EDGE
| INSTITUTIONAL METRIC | GEO | MA | SPREAD (A - B) | ADVANTAGE | DEDICATED URL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gross Profit Margin | — | — | — | TIE | /gross-margins <GO> |
| Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) | 6.60% | 33.50% | -26.90 | MA | /roic <GO> |
| EV/EBITDA & P/E Valuation | 12.5x | 29.2x | -16.70 | GEO | /valuation <GO> |
| Free Cash Flow Yield | -3.32% | 3.08% | -6.40 | MA | /fcf-yield <GO> |
| Operating Margin | 9.80% | 57.60% | -47.80 | MA | /operating-margins <GO> |
| Net Profit Margin | 9.70% | 45.60% | -35.90 | MA | /net-margins <GO> |
| Revenue Growth (YoY) ACTIVE | 8.60% | 16.40% | -7.80 | MA | /revenue-growth <GO> |
| Dividend Yield & FCF Payout Safety | 0.00% | 0.49% | -0.49 | MA | /dividend-safety <GO> |
| Altman Z-Score & Debt/Equity | — | 11.17 | — | TIE | /balance-sheet <GO> |
| Piotroski F-Score Quality | 5/9 | 8/9 | -3.00 | MA | /piotroski-score <GO> |
| Options Implied Move & Put/Call Skew | — | — | — | TIE | /options-implied-move <GO> |
| RSI-14 & 200D SMA Momentum | 45.3 | 68.8 | -23.50 | MA | /rsi-technicals <GO> |
| 10Y Yield & FRED Macro Beta | — | 0.90 | — | TIE | /macro-sensitivity <GO> |
| Forward P/E Multiple | 13.8x | 31.2x | -17.40 | GEO | /forward-pe <GO> |
| Enterprise Scale & Market Cap | $3.76B | $556.88B | -$553.12B | MA | /market-cap <GO> |
5-YEAR HISTORICAL XBRL REVENUE & MARGIN TRAJECTORY SEC FORM 10-K FY
| FISCAL YEAR | GEO REV | MA REV | GEO GROSS % | MA GROSS % | GEO FCF | MA FCF |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY 2025 | $2.63B | $32.79B | — | — | -$124.9M | $17.16B |
| FY 2024 | $2.42B | $28.17B | — | — | $163.5M | $14.31B |
| FY 2023 | $2.41B | $25.10B | — | — | $277.8M | $10.85B |
FRED MACRO REGIME CORRELATION COMPARISON PEARSON r
GEO // BETA —
MA // BETA 0.90