COMP <GO>
GEO vs CVCO // 10Y YIELD & FRED MACRO BETA
Geo Group Inc (NYSE) VS. Cavco Industries Inc. (NASDAQ) • 15-METRIC TALLY: GEO 3
— CVCO 7
■ METRIC PARITY
LAST: $27.89 (-2.21%) • MKT CAP: $3.75B
macro-sensitivity
—
LAST: $662.89 (+7.09%) • MKT CAP: $4.76B
macro-sensitivity
0.93
15-METRIC INSTITUTIONAL SIDE-BY-SIDE SCORECARD (GEO VS. CVCO)
EMERALD CELL = QUANTITATIVE EDGE
| INSTITUTIONAL METRIC | GEO | CVCO | SPREAD (A - B) | ADVANTAGE | DEDICATED URL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gross Profit Margin | — | 23.50% | — | TIE | /gross-margins <GO> |
| Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) | 6.60% | 17.60% | -11.00 | CVCO | /roic <GO> |
| EV/EBITDA & P/E Valuation | 12.5x | 16.0x | -3.50 | GEO | /valuation <GO> |
| Free Cash Flow Yield | -3.32% | 5.52% | -8.84 | CVCO | /fcf-yield <GO> |
| Operating Margin | 9.80% | 10.20% | -0.40 | CVCO | /operating-margins <GO> |
| Net Profit Margin | 9.70% | 8.50% | +1.20 | GEO | /net-margins <GO> |
| Revenue Growth (YoY) | 8.60% | 11.40% | -2.80 | CVCO | /revenue-growth <GO> |
| Dividend Yield & FCF Payout Safety | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00 | TIE | /dividend-safety <GO> |
| Altman Z-Score & Debt/Equity | — | 10.31 | — | TIE | /balance-sheet <GO> |
| Piotroski F-Score Quality | 5/9 | 8/9 | -3.00 | CVCO | /piotroski-score <GO> |
| Options Implied Move & Put/Call Skew | — | — | — | TIE | /options-implied-move <GO> |
| RSI-14 & 200D SMA Momentum | 45.3 | 61.9 | -16.60 | CVCO | /rsi-technicals <GO> |
| 10Y Yield & FRED Macro Beta ACTIVE | — | 0.93 | — | TIE | /macro-sensitivity <GO> |
| Forward P/E Multiple | 13.8x | 20.5x | -6.70 | GEO | /forward-pe <GO> |
| Enterprise Scale & Market Cap | $3.75B | $4.76B | -$1.01B | CVCO | /market-cap <GO> |
5-YEAR HISTORICAL XBRL REVENUE & MARGIN TRAJECTORY SEC FORM 10-K FY
| FISCAL YEAR | GEO REV | CVCO REV | GEO GROSS % | CVCO GROSS % | GEO FCF | CVCO FCF |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY 2025 | $2.63B | $2.24B | — | 23.5% | -$124.9M | $232.1M |
| FY 2024 | $2.42B | $2.02B | — | 23.1% | $163.5M | $157.1M |
| FY 2023 | $2.41B | $1.79B | — | — | $277.8M | $143.9M |
FRED MACRO REGIME CORRELATION COMPARISON PEARSON r
GEO // BETA —
CVCO // BETA 0.93