COMP <GO>
FOR vs EFC // 10Y YIELD & FRED MACRO BETA
Forestar Group Inc (NYSE) VS. Ellington Financial Inc. (NYSE) • 15-METRIC TALLY: FOR 2
— EFC 2
■ METRIC PARITY
LAST: $25.03 (-3.43%) • MKT CAP: $1.28B
macro-sensitivity
—
LAST: $11.83 (+0.77%) • MKT CAP: $1.52B
macro-sensitivity
—
15-METRIC INSTITUTIONAL SIDE-BY-SIDE SCORECARD (FOR VS. EFC)
EMERALD CELL = QUANTITATIVE EDGE
| INSTITUTIONAL METRIC | FOR | EFC | SPREAD (A - B) | ADVANTAGE | DEDICATED URL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gross Profit Margin | — | — | — | TIE | /gross-margins <GO> |
| Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) | 9.40% | 8.20% | +1.20 | FOR | /roic <GO> |
| EV/EBITDA & P/E Valuation | — | — | — | TIE | /valuation <GO> |
| Free Cash Flow Yield | -15.65% | — | — | TIE | /fcf-yield <GO> |
| Operating Margin | — | — | — | TIE | /operating-margins <GO> |
| Net Profit Margin | 10.10% | — | — | TIE | /net-margins <GO> |
| Revenue Growth (YoY) | 10.10% | — | — | TIE | /revenue-growth <GO> |
| Dividend Yield & FCF Payout Safety | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00 | TIE | /dividend-safety <GO> |
| Altman Z-Score & Debt/Equity | — | — | — | TIE | /balance-sheet <GO> |
| Piotroski F-Score Quality | 2/9 | 2/9 | 0.00 | TIE | /piotroski-score <GO> |
| Options Implied Move & Put/Call Skew | — | — | — | TIE | /options-implied-move <GO> |
| RSI-14 & 200D SMA Momentum | 35.2 | 36.2 | -1.02 | EFC | /rsi-technicals <GO> |
| 10Y Yield & FRED Macro Beta ACTIVE | — | — | — | TIE | /macro-sensitivity <GO> |
| Forward P/E Multiple | 7.1x | 9.4x | -2.30 | FOR | /forward-pe <GO> |
| Enterprise Scale & Market Cap | $1.28B | $1.52B | -$247.8M | EFC | /market-cap <GO> |
5-YEAR HISTORICAL XBRL REVENUE & MARGIN TRAJECTORY SEC FORM 10-K FY
| FISCAL YEAR | FOR REV | EFC REV | FOR GROSS % | EFC GROSS % | FOR FCF | EFC FCF |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY 2025 | $1.66B | $0 | — | — | -$199.9M | -$925.5M |
| FY 2024 | $1.51B | $0 | — | — | -$160.6M | -$430.5M |
| FY 2023 | $1.44B | $0 | — | — | $364.1M | -$241.9M |
FRED MACRO REGIME CORRELATION COMPARISON PEARSON r
FOR // BETA —
EFC // BETA —