COMP <GO>
FLY vs UNP // 10Y YIELD & FRED MACRO BETA
Firefly Aerospace Inc. (NASDAQ) VS. Union Pacific Corporation (NYSE) • 15-METRIC TALLY: FLY 1
— UNP 9
■ METRIC PARITY
LAST: $19.87 (+0.10%) • MKT CAP: $3.33B
macro-sensitivity
—
LAST: $301.93 (+1.39%) • MKT CAP: $179.42B
macro-sensitivity
1.03
15-METRIC INSTITUTIONAL SIDE-BY-SIDE SCORECARD (FLY VS. UNP)
EMERALD CELL = QUANTITATIVE EDGE
| INSTITUTIONAL METRIC | FLY | UNP | SPREAD (A - B) | ADVANTAGE | DEDICATED URL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gross Profit Margin | 19.20% | — | — | TIE | /gross-margins <GO> |
| Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) | -35.00% | 20.10% | -55.10 | UNP | /roic <GO> |
| EV/EBITDA & P/E Valuation | — | 15.3x | — | TIE | /valuation <GO> |
| Free Cash Flow Yield | -7.15% | 3.06% | -10.21 | UNP | /fcf-yield <GO> |
| Operating Margin | -60.00% | 40.20% | -100.20 | UNP | /operating-margins <GO> |
| Net Profit Margin | -60.00% | 29.10% | -89.10 | UNP | /net-margins <GO> |
| Revenue Growth (YoY) | 163.00% | 1.10% | +161.90 | FLY | /revenue-growth <GO> |
| Dividend Yield & FCF Payout Safety | 0.00% | 1.80% | -1.80 | UNP | /dividend-safety <GO> |
| Altman Z-Score & Debt/Equity | 2.47 | 4.31 | -1.84 | UNP | /balance-sheet <GO> |
| Piotroski F-Score Quality | 3/9 | 6/9 | -3.00 | UNP | /piotroski-score <GO> |
| Options Implied Move & Put/Call Skew | — | — | — | TIE | /options-implied-move <GO> |
| RSI-14 & 200D SMA Momentum | 41.5 | 66.2 | -24.71 | UNP | /rsi-technicals <GO> |
| 10Y Yield & FRED Macro Beta ACTIVE | — | 1.03 | — | TIE | /macro-sensitivity <GO> |
| Forward P/E Multiple | — | 23.3x | — | TIE | /forward-pe <GO> |
| Enterprise Scale & Market Cap | $3.33B | $179.42B | -$176.10B | UNP | /market-cap <GO> |
5-YEAR HISTORICAL XBRL REVENUE & MARGIN TRAJECTORY SEC FORM 10-K FY
| FISCAL YEAR | FLY REV | UNP REV | FLY GROSS % | UNP GROSS % | FLY FCF | UNP FCF |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY 2025 | $159.9M | $24.51B | 19.2% | — | -$237.8M | $5.50B |
| FY 2024 | $60.8M | $24.25B | -18.7% | — | -$190.3M | $5.89B |
| FY 2023 | $55.2M | $24.12B | — | — | -$93.4M | $7.29B |
FRED MACRO REGIME CORRELATION COMPARISON PEARSON r
FLY // BETA —
UNP // BETA 1.03