COMP <GO>
ESTC vs GOOG // OPTIONS IMPLIED MOVE & PUT/CALL SKEW
Elastic N.V. (NYSE) VS. Alphabet Inc. (Class C) (NASDAQ) • 15-METRIC TALLY: ESTC 5
— GOOG 8
■ METRIC PARITY
LAST: $103.30 (-3.08%) • MKT CAP: $10.95B
options-implied-move
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LAST: $282.32 (-12.29%) • MKT CAP: $3.47T
options-implied-move
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15-METRIC INSTITUTIONAL SIDE-BY-SIDE SCORECARD (ESTC VS. GOOG)
EMERALD CELL = QUANTITATIVE EDGE
| INSTITUTIONAL METRIC | ESTC | GOOG | SPREAD (A - B) | ADVANTAGE | DEDICATED URL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gross Profit Margin | 76.10% | 60.86% | +15.24 | ESTC | /gross-margins <GO> |
| Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) | -3.00% | 16.59% | -19.59 | GOOG | /roic <GO> |
| EV/EBITDA & P/E Valuation | — | 19.9x | — | TIE | /valuation <GO> |
| Free Cash Flow Yield | 2.94% | 0.58% | +2.36 | ESTC | /fcf-yield <GO> |
| Operating Margin | -1.90% | 33.32% | -35.22 | GOOG | /operating-margins <GO> |
| Net Profit Margin | 21.10% | 50.03% | -28.93 | GOOG | /net-margins <GO> |
| Revenue Growth (YoY) | 17.30% | 22.21% | -4.91 | GOOG | /revenue-growth <GO> |
| Dividend Yield & FCF Payout Safety | 0.00% | 0.31% | -0.31 | GOOG | /dividend-safety <GO> |
| Altman Z-Score & Debt/Equity | 4.38 | 8.30 | -3.92 | GOOG | /balance-sheet <GO> |
| Piotroski F-Score Quality | 8/9 | 6/9 | +2.00 | ESTC | /piotroski-score <GO> |
| Options Implied Move & Put/Call Skew ACTIVE | — | — | — | TIE | /options-implied-move <GO> |
| RSI-14 & 200D SMA Momentum | 58.4 | 24.8 | +33.60 | ESTC | /rsi-technicals <GO> |
| 10Y Yield & FRED Macro Beta | 1.19 | 1.16 | +0.03 | ESTC | /macro-sensitivity <GO> |
| Forward P/E Multiple | 25.0x | 21.4x | +3.61 | GOOG | /forward-pe <GO> |
| Enterprise Scale & Market Cap | $10.95B | $3.47T | -$3.46T | GOOG | /market-cap <GO> |
5-YEAR HISTORICAL XBRL REVENUE & MARGIN TRAJECTORY SEC FORM 10-K FY
| FISCAL YEAR | ESTC REV | GOOG REV | ESTC GROSS % | GOOG GROSS % | ESTC FCF | GOOG FCF |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY 2025 | $1.74B | $402.84B | 76.1% | 59.7% | $321.8M | $73.27B |
| FY 2024 | $1.48B | $350.02B | 74.4% | 58.2% | $261.8M | $72.76B |
| FY 2023 | $1.27B | $307.39B | — | — | $91.7M | $87.91B |
FRED MACRO REGIME CORRELATION COMPARISON PEARSON r
ESTC // BETA 1.19
GOOG // BETA 1.16